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The data recently released by the US Department of Commerce indicate that the overall economic environment is experiencing modest growth; however, the pace of growth appears to be slowing. The preliminary estimate of the YoY real GDP growth rate for the third quarter is 2.8%, lower than the second quarter’s final estimate of...
CapEx figures, production capacity figures, and inventory levels of MLCC suppliers are constantly being tracked and updated on a regular basis. TrendForce also provides analyses on the price trends and inventory statuses of production-related materials.
The global economic outlook remains uncertain. In the US, despite Federal Reserve initiating interest rate cuts starting in September, the labor market continues to stay robust, pushing the country’s economy towards a soft landing. However, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has worsened, leading to full-scale military conflicts between Israel and neighboring countries such as Lebanon and Iran. This development has led to significant global ramifications...
The US Department of Commerce recently reported a significant narrowing of the trade deficit in August, decreasing by 10.8% MoM. This shift is attributed to an increase in exports and a decline in imports. Moreover, the data suggest that trade may exert a slight drag on economic growth for the third quarter, and there have also been a slowdown in domestic retail demand. Additionally, the US CPI for September showed a YoY increase of 2.4%, which is slightly higher than expected. Meanwhile...
In September, the US initiated a cycle of interest rate cuts. Following this move, the latest US economic data for August showed that PCE grew by only 2.2% YoY, marking the lowest increase since March 2021. This suggests that inflation continues to cool, raising market expectations that the Federal Reserve will further accelerate rate cuts before the end of the year to support a soft landing for the economy...
To curb inflation and promote economic growth, the US Federal Reserve has implemented a series of interest rate hikes and related tightening monetary policies since March 2022. As of today, the latest US CPI for August shows a YoY increase of 2.5%, the smallest rise since March 2021. While progress has been made in fighting inflation, some concerns remain...
The US economic data continues to be volatile, with the economy caught between slowing growth and easing inflation. Following the lower-than-expected non-farm payroll numbers for August, the US Labor Department recently reported that the CPI for August rose by 2.5% YoY marking the fifth consecutive month of weakening trend and the lowest increase since February 2021. However, the core CPI showed an upward trend, climbing by 0.3% MoM and marking the largest rise in four months...
Recent economic data from the US have consistently shown a cooling trend in the domestic labor market. Coupled with inflation continuing on a downward trajectory towards 2%, this has prompted Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to announce at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium that “the time has come to adjust monetary policy.” With an imminent start to a cycle of interest rate cuts, economic and social pressures related to financing and borrowing are expected to gradually ease...
Inflation in the US continues on a cooling trajectory, with the latest data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showing a 2.9% YoY increase in the CPI for July and a 3.2% YoY increase in the core CPI. Both figures align with market expectations. Aside from a slight uptick in rental costs, prices of goods and energy have kept falling. Additionally, the economic data from July indicate that the job and consumer markets remain resilient...
In July, US economic data delivered three positive outcomes. The YoY growth rate of the US CPI dropped to 2.9%, marking its first dip below 3% since March 2021. Initial jobless claims in the US also fell to 227,000. Moreover, retail sales in the US for July saw a 1% MoM increase, the highest since January 2023. Inflation is on a cooling trajectory, and the US job market, along with consumer spending, continues to show resilience. This alleviates market concerns about the economy entering a “Sahm Rule” recession cycle and paves the way for the Federal Reserve to potentially cut interest rates soon...
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