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TrendForce indicates that the updated US export controls announced on January 15th, 2025, will impact CXMT's process technology, wafer input, yield rates, and market deployment. US equipment suppliers have begun withdrawing personnel from CXMT's fabs since mid-February, affecting its 2025-2026 development plans. The new regulations cover all of CXMT's process nodes, impacting not only its G4 and G4B processes but also the already mass-produced G3 process. This will lead to a downward revision of CXMT's bit output and affect its position in the server DRAM and mobile DRAM markets. In the long term, CXMT's development in the LPDDR5X and DDR5 markets will be hindered.
In recent years, the global consumer market has experienced sluggish demand due to inflation and the overall economic uncertainty caused by the pandemic, marking the end of the high-growth trend for smartphones. Nevertheless, emerging markets have shown increasing demand for entry-level Android smartphones, which led to stabilizing global smartphone shipments in 2H23. Currently, MediaTek and Qualcomm are advancing AI chip development and introducing generative AI features into smartphones. These technological breakthroughs not only enhance smartphone performance but also gradually integrate AI applications into people's daily lives. As a result, the smartphone market is expected to recover in 2024 by moving away from the shadow of negative growth.
The explosive surge of generative AI (gen AI) has prompted global telecom operators to successively incorporate large language models (LLMs), and develop various services related to gen AI applications, whilst unfolding preliminary verifications on gen AI application scenes. Taiwanese telecom operators are also offering gen AI services as integrated solutions to enterprise users in the hope of improving their overall revenue.
The advent of Generative AI has ushered in a wave of AI-driven innovations, and introduced new opportunities to smartphones. Major brands are incorporating AI-related features into their flagship models in the hope that AI empowerment would incentivize consumers in upgrading to new devices.
AI functionalities prioritized by mainstream smartphone brands can be broadly categorized into four major application areas that encompass a total of eight distinct features. Among which, Samsung's S24 is equipped with the most extensive array of AI functionalities. Furthermore, smartphone brands are actively focused on developing their in-house large language models (LLMs). Enhancing on-device computing power is poised to become a crucial foundation in light of security risks and the objective of minimizing latency.
The global automotive industry is accelerating innovation with a focus on EVs and autonomous driving technology, alongside software-defined vehicles. This vision of safety, efficiency, and sustainability is creating a new blue ocean for automotive sensors
1. Global Trends in Mobile Base Station Development
2. AI Applications: Mobile Base Stations
3. TRI’s View
1. Overview of Global Memory Supply
2. Analysis of Mobile Memory Demand
3. Overview of the Smartphone Market
4. TRI’s View
As international geopolitical risks rise, Apple is beginning to face the issue of supply chain relocation. Since 2000, Apple has established a complete supply chain layout in China. Before the outbreak of the epidemic, the assembly factory located in Zhengzhou of Henan provided sufficient production capacity for iPhones every year, allowing the products to be exported worldwide. However, the factory's capacity utilization rate continued to decline after the outbreak of the epidemic. In November 2022, a large-scale protest erupted due to some employees' dissatisfaction with wages and epidemic restrictions, leading to serious problems in the supply chain. Apple realized that it could no longer concentrate a large amount of production capacity on a single supplier or region, so it accelerated the relocation of its supply chain.
Demand for large panel driver ICs is set to rise sequentially throughout 2024, with ample overall supply. However, uncertainty in end-user demand has led to conservative stocking practices in the supply chain, fostering a reliance on short-term, rush orders—a practice that threatens long-term supply chain health.
In 2023, mobile TDDI chips benefited significantly from active repair and second-hand markets, resulting in annual shipments far exceeding intial forecasts. The release of lower-cost capacities by Chinese wafer foundries has helped sustain robust demand for mobile TDDIs through 2023 to 2024. Nonetheless, intense comptition in this segment has escalated price wars.
For AMOLED driver ICs, the introduction of new production capacities has boosted demand as AMOLED smartphone panel penetration increases. Currently, the market faces no-short-term supply shortages. As more suppliers enter the AMOLED DDI market, prices continue to decline. Maintaining profitability in AMOLED DDI production remains a critical challenge for IC manufacturers, especially with stable wafer prices.
As global internet data transmission volume continues to reach new highs, the performance bottleneck of light communication solutions becomes increasingly apparent. This report, on the one hand, explores the shortcomings of existing light communication solutions. On the other hand, it focuses on silicon photonics and CPO technology, analyzing their competitive advantages in the field of light communication, and keeping track of the development dynamics of key manufacturers.
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