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[Selected Topics] Restrictions on Export of AI Chips from NVIDIA and AMD to China Will Weaken Sales Momentum and Prompt Supply Chain to Assess Extent of Impact

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Last Modified

2025-04-17

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Overview

TrendForce reports the US now requires export licenses for AI chips like NVIDIA's H20 and AMD's MI308 to China, effective immediately. This forces NVIDIA and AMD to recognize potential multi-billion dollar losses. Aimed at preventing supercomputer use, licenses might still be granted for general AI applications. H20 China shipments could fall 20-30% in 2025, impacting the supply chain and risking downward revision for HBM demand (H20/MI308 originally ~5%). The restriction accelerates China's move to domestic AI solutions (e.g., Huawei Ascend), deepening US-China supply chain divergence.

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