TrendForce’s latest LED industry report indicates that the global market is set to recover in 2024, with estimated revenues reaching US$13 billion—marking a YoY growth of 3%.
TrendForce maintains a positive outlook on bio-sensing tech in the wearables market. Substantial growth is predicted, with the market value for bio-sensing in smartwatches and smart bands expected to reach US$422 million by 2028, growing a CAGR of 14.7% from 2023.
TrendForce’s latest report, “TrendForce 2024 Infrared Sensing Application Market and Branding Strategies” reveals a market decline for consumer electronics 3D sensing VCSEL in 2023 to US$847 million. This downturn has been attributed to a weak consumer market and pricing pressure.
According to TrendForce's latest "2023 Global LED Video Wall Market Outlook and Price–Cost Analysis" report, the global LED video wall market for virtual production applications in 2021 was worth approximately US$283 million, an annual increase of 136% (+136% YoY). Despite being affected by inflation and the global economic downturn, the value of the virtual production LED video wall market is estimated to grow steadily to US$431 million in 2022, or 52% YoY, thanks to the adoption of virtual production technology by more studios.
According to TrendForce's latest "2022 Global Automotive LED Product Trend and Regional Market Analysis " report, although demand in the car market will decline in 2022 due to the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war and China's pandemic resurgence, gains made in the penetration rate of LED headlights coupled with the development of advanced technologies such as intelligent headlights, logo lamps, and intelligent ambient lights will sustain a backstop for market demand in automotive lighting in 2022. At the same time, the soaring cost of plastics will compel automotive lighting product pricing to remain flat or even increase. Therefore, TrendForce forecasts that the market value of the global automotive lighting will reach US$32.68 billion in 2022, 4% YoY. The top five international automotive lighting manufacturers Koito, Valeo, Marelli Automotive Lighting, Hella, and Stanley, maintained a combined market share of 65% in 2021.
TrendForce’s 2020-2021 Global Automotive LED Product Trend and Regional Market Analysis research indicates, the global penetration rate of LED headlights exceeds 60% in 2021 with penetration in new energy vehicles (NEV) exceeding 90%, according to TrendForce’s latest investigations. Influenced by growth momentum from increasing automotive market shipments and the rising penetration rate of LED lighting, global automotive LED market value is estimated to be valued at US$3.51 billion in 2021, a 31.8% YoY growth rate. This demonstrates that LED headlights and automotive display LED products remain the main driving force for growth in the automotive LED market.
Apple’s latest AirPods 3 still feature an optical in-ear detection mechanism, according to TrendForce’s 2021 Infrared Sensing Market Trend - 3D Sensing, LiDAR, SWIR LED report. Through the integration of PPG (photoplethysmography) technology, the AirPods 3 contain an improved in-ear detection mechanism based on skin-detect sensors that are equipped with four SWIR (short-wave infrared) LED chips that have two different wavelengths, as well as two InGaAs photodiodes. Industry insiders indicate that the AirPods 3’s skin-detect sensors may potentially detect the water content in the wearer’s skin, giving them the ability to differentiate between human skin and other surfaces. TrendForce expects annual AirPods shipment for 2022 to reach 85 million sets, a 3.7% YoY increase.
The COVID-19 pandemic heavily impacted the global auto market and in turn damaged the automotive LED industry in 1H20, according to TrendForce’s latest investigations. In 2H20, however, the gradual recovery of vehicle sales as well as the development of NEVs provided some upward momentum for the automotive LED industry, whose revenue for the year reached US$2.572 billion, a 3.7% decline YoY. Automotive LED revenue for 2021 is projected to reach $2.926 billion, a 13.7% growth YoY, thanks to the increasing demand for automotive headlights and display panels. As automakers continue to incorporate LED lighting solutions into new car models, the penetration rate of automotive LED will continue to undergo a corresponding increase as well.
While major OEMs such as Apple and Samsung prepare to release their new notebook computers, tablets, and TVs that are fully equipped with Mini LED backlights this year, various companies in the LED supply chain began procuring Mini LED chips ahead of time in 4Q20, leading to an explosive demand growth for these chips, which in turn crowded out the LED suppliers’ production capacities for other mainstream LED chips, according to TrendForce’s latest investigations. Given this structure-wide shortage of LED chips, certain LED chip suppliers have been raising the quotes on chips supplied to non-core clients and chips with relatively low gross margins. This price hike is estimated at about 5-10%.
