The semiconductor industry, driven by AI, is entering a new upward cycle. According to a forecast report from SEMI, after the trough in 2023, the total sales of equipment in 2024 will hit a new high, with growth momentum continuing into 2025. Among this trend, per a report from Commercial Times, major companies including TSMC, Intel, Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron are all actively preparing, with plans to continue increasing capital expenditure next year in preparation for the AI era.
TSMC and Intel are the most proactive foundries. Intel plans to increase its capital expenditure by 2% in 2024, reaching USD 26.2 billion; TSMC’s capital expenditure for this year is expected to be between USD 28 billion and USD 32 billion.
The same report further cited sources, indicating that TSMC’s capital expenditure this year will reach the upper end of the estimated range. Next year, the upper limit is expected to increase by another USD 5 billion to USD 37 billion, potentially reaching the second-highest level in its history.
It’s reported that customer demand for TSMC’s 2nm process capacity has exceeded expectations. In addition to Apple securing the first batch of TSMC’s 2nm capacity, non-Apple customers are also actively planning for advanced processes. TSMC continues to advance its goal of mass production of the 2nm process by next year.
Another source cited by Commercial Times reveals that TSMC accelerated equipment orders in the second quarter and further increased momentum in the third quarter, primarily to ensure the smooth launch of the 2nm process by mid-next year.
In the HBM sector, Samsung and SK hynix are reportedly raising funds to prepare for significant production expansion in 2025. A report from Korean media outlet Korea Economic Daily (KED) indicated that Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are considering applying for loans from the Korea Development Bank, with planned loan amounts of KRW 5 trillion (roughly USD 3.6 billion) and KRW 3 trillion (roughly USD 2.2 billion), respectively.
Micron’s capital expenditure plan for the 2024 fiscal year is about USD 8 billion. In the fourth quarter of the 2024 fiscal year, Micron will spend approximately USD 3 billion on fab construction and new wafer fab equipment (WFE). For the 2025 fiscal year, Micron plans to significantly increase its capital expenditure, targeting 30% of its revenue, or about USD 12 billion. Earlier, Micron’s Chief Operating Officer, Manish Bhatia, stated that the scale of the HBM business is expected to expand to several billion dollars in the 2025 fiscal year.
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(Photo credit: Micron)