The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced on October 21 a reduction of both the 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) by 25 basis points each, bringing them to 3.1% and 3.6%, respectively.
In mid-September, the PBoC launched a series of large-scale monetary easing measures, including interest rate cuts, reserve requirement ratio reductions, and mortgage rate cuts to support economic growth. Additionally, the 7-day reverse repo rate was lowered by 20 basis points at the end of September, providing guidance for the latest LPR adjustments.
The September monthly economic data did showed some initial signs of improvement, with retail sales rising by 3.2% year-over-year (previous: 2.1%), exceeding market expectations of 2.5%, and industrial output increasing by 5.4% year-over-year (previous: 4.1%), also above market expectations of 4.6%. Neverthess, the current stimulus plans seem unable to boost the economy.
China’s third-quarter GDP growth came in at 4.6% year-over-year (previous: 4.7%), with cumulative GDP growth for the first three quarters at 4.8%, still below the annual target of 5.0%, highlighting the increasing urgency for the Chinese government to strengthen policy stimulus.