Following previous controversies of supplying 7nm chips to Huawei through proxies, TSMC has reportedly notified all its AI chip customers in China by formal emails that starting next week (November 11), it would halt shipments of all the 7nm and more advanced chips to its AI/GPU clients there, according to Chinese media outlet ijiwei.
While this decision may temporarily reduce TSMC’s business in China, in the long run, TSMC could gain more opportunities in the U.S. market by complying with American regulations, the report says.
According to ijiwei’s analysis, TSMC’s move, which highlights the foundry giant’s delicate position in the global semiconductor supply chain amid the heating chip war between the world’s two superpowers, could become a watershed moment in the future of technology development, with long-lasting impacts.
According to the ijiwei report, with the newly elected Trump claiming that TSMC should pay a “protection fee,” the company’s latest move seems to be an effort to align itself with the U.S. Department of Commerce. The two parties, together, have created a stringent review system to completely block advanced process from China’s reach, the report notes.
According to another media outlet SEMICONVoice, the U.S. Department of Commerce has reportedly instructed TSMC to make the move, as production could only proceed after being reviewed and approved by the U.S. Department of Commerce’s BIS (Bureau of Industry and Security) and receiving a license. This would effectively tighten the availability of advanced 7nm and below processes for all Chinese AI chips, GPUs, and autonomous driving ADAS systems, the report notes.
According to the latest report by Bloomberg and Reuters, TSMC has almost finalized binding agreements for multi-billion dollar grants and loans to back its U.S. factories, which may allow it to receive the funding from the Biden administration soon.
TSMC’s package, announced in April, includes USD 6.6 billion in grants and up to USD 5 billion in loans to aid the construction of three semiconductor factories in Arizona.
On the other hand, TSMC’s decision would be a major blow to China’s AI ambition, as AI and GPU companies in China will no longer have access to TSMC’s advanced process, which could lead to higher costs and longer time-to-market, and significantly impact their product performance and market competitiveness, the ijiwei report states.
A supply chain reshuffle is likely to follow, as Chinese chip design companies may need to seek alternative foundries, according to the report.
China’s SMIC, currently the world’s third largest foundry, is said to successfully produce 5nm chips using DUV lithography instead of EUV. However, as previously reported by the Financial Times, industry sources have indicated that SMIC’s prices for 5nm and 7nm processes are 40% to 50% higher than TSMC’s, while the yield less than one-third of TSMC’s.
According to TrendForce, as of the second quarter of 2024, SMIC maintains a solid 5.7% market share, securing its position in third place, after TSMC (62.3%) and Samsung (11.5%).
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(Photo credit: TSMC)