As the standard DRAM market experiences an unprecedented cycle of supply-demand imbalance, the shortage of DDR3 production capacity has become even more severe.
According to a report from the Economic Daily News, with leading manufacturers like Samsung exiting DDR3 production, while demand for DDR3 from AI and edge computing devices continuing to increase, the storage capacity per single device is rising sharply. This is expected to drive a rebound in DDR3 prices, potentially benefiting related Taiwanese manufacturers such as Winbond, Elite Semiconductor Microelectronics Technology (ESMT), and Etron.
In response to the shift of operational focus to high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and DDR5, the world’s top three memory manufacturers are gradually phasing out the DDR3 market.
Reportedly, Samsung has informed customers that it will cease DDR3 production by the end of the second quarter. SK Hynix had already converted its DDR3 production at its Wuxi plant in China to DDR4 by the end of last year. Meanwhile, Micron has significantly reduced its DDR3 supply to expand its DDR5 and HBM production capacity.
As per industry sources cited in the same report, it’s said that as the reduction in production by major DRAM manufacturers continues to take effect, it has driven standard DRAM prices up from the second half of 2023 to the present, with further increases expected.
Thus, prices for niche memory like DDR3 tend to lag behind standard DRAM by one to two quarters. For Taiwanese manufacturers such as Winbond, ESMT, and Etron, which focus on DDR3, the benefits of DDR3 price increases will gradually become apparent this quarter and next.
The industry sources cited by the same report also point out that DDR3 applications remain quite widespread. For example, WiFi 6 devices predominantly uses DDR3, and the next generation, WiFi 7 devices, will still primarily use DDR3/DDR4. Additionally, edge computing devices would continue to adopt DDR3. With supply significantly decreasing while demand remaining strong, DDR3 prices are expected to continue their upward trend.
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(Photo credit: Samsung)