TrendForce’s late-November panel price update indicates an ongoing decrease in TV panel prices, influenced by subdued demand and ongoing negotiations. In contrast, prices for mainstream-sized MNT and NB panels remain steady.

• TV Panel

Entering the fourth quarter, TV panel shipments have noticeably weakened, with continuous price negotiations between buyers and sellers. Major TV brands have been consistently adjusting order demands since the latter half of the third quarter.

Faced with sluggish demand, panel manufacturers are attempting to slow down the decline in panel prices by expanding the scale of production cuts. The expected decline in TV panel prices for the entire month of November is anticipated to be comparable to the early estimates of the month.

Specifically, 32″, 43″, 50″, and 55″ panels are expected to decrease by USD 2 dollars, while 65″ and 75″ panels are expected to decrease by USD 3 dollars, and 85″ panels are expected to decrease by USD 5 dollars by the end of this month.

• MNT Panel

Entering the fourth quarter, there is a noticeable decline in demand for MNT panels. Some brand customers are beginning to request a reduction in panel prices. However, panel manufacturers are attempting to alleviate the overall price pressure by adjusting product combinations.

Mainstream specification panel prices are holding steady, with a slight decrease in prices for high-end specification panels.

It is anticipated that the prices of mainstream-sized MNT panels will remain stable in November, while larger-sized high-end models may experience a potential decline.

• NB Panel

Entering the fourth quarter, there is a sustained weakening in demand for NB (Notebook) panels. There is a significant divergence in pricing perspectives between buyers and sellers.

Some brand customers believe that panel prices should start to decline, while panel manufacturers insist on maintaining stable prices. However, panel manufacturers are inclined to provide certain purchasing-scale customers with private concessions.

Therefore, it is expected that NB panel prices will remain stable in November at the current stage.

Read more

• [Insights] Early November Price Update: TV Panels Drop, Monitor and NB Panels Steady

In the dynamic wave of generative AI, AI PCs emerge as a focal point in the industry’s development. Technological upgrades across the industry chain and the distinctive features of on-device AI, such as security, low latency, and high reliability, drive their rapid evolution. AI PCs are poised to become a mainstream category within the PC market, converging with the PC replacement trend, reported by Jiwei.

On-Device AI, driven by technologies like lightweighting language large models (LLMs), signifies the next stage in AI development. PC makers aim to propel innovative upgrades in AI PC products by seamlessly integrating resources both upstream and downstream. The pivotal upgrade lies in the chip, with challenges in hardware-software coordination, data storage, and application development being inevitable. Nevertheless, AI PCs are on track to evolve at an unprecedented pace, transforming into a “hybrid” encompassing terminals, edge computing, and cloud technology.

Is AI PC Industry Savior?

In the face of consecutive quarters of global PC shipment decline, signs of a gradual easing in the downward trend are emerging. The industry cautiously anticipates a potential recovery, considering challenges such as structural demand cooling and supply imbalances.

Traditionally viewed as a mature industry grappling with long-term growth challenges, the PC industry is witnessing a shift due to the evolution of generative AI technology and the extension of the cloud to the edge. This combination of AI technology with terminal devices like PCs is seen as a trendsetter, with the ascent of AI PCs considered an “industry savior” that could open new avenues for growth in the PC market.

Yuanqing Yang, Chairman and CEO of Lenovo, elaborates on the stimulation of iterative computation and upgrades in AI-enabled terminals by AIGC. Recognizing the desire to enjoy the benefits of AIGC while safeguarding privacy, personal devices or home servers are deemed the safest. Lenovo is poised to invest approximately 7 billion RMB in the AI field over the next three years.

Analysis from Orient Securities, also known as DFZQ, reveals that the surge in consumer demand from the second half of 2020 to 2021 is expected to trigger a substantial PC replacement cycle from the second half of 2024 to 2025, initiating a new wave of PC upgrades.

Undoubtedly, AI PCs are set to usher in a transformative wave and accelerate development against the backdrop of the PC replacement trend. Guotai Junan Securities said that AI PCs feature processors with enhanced computing capabilities and incorporating multi-modal algorithms. This integration is anticipated to fundamentally reshape the PC experience, positioning AI PCs as a hybrid terminals, edge computing, and cloud technology to meet the new demands of generative AI workloads.

PC Ecosystem Players Strategically Positioning for Dominance

The AI PC field is experiencing vibrant development, with major PC ecosystem companies actively entering the scene. Companies such as Lenovo, Intel, Qualcomm, and Microsoft have introduced corresponding innovative initiatives. Lenovo showcased the industry’s first AI PC at the 2023 TechConnect World Innovation, Intel launched the AI PC Acceleration Program at its Innovation 2023, and Qualcomm introduced the Snapdragon X Elite processor specifically designed for AI at the Snapdragon Summit. Meanwhile, Microsoft is accelerating the optimization of office software, integrating Bing and ChatGPT into the Windows.

While current promotions of AI PC products may exceed actual user experiences, terminals displayed by Lenovo, Intel’s AI PC acceleration program, and the collaboration ecosystem deeply integrated with numerous independent software vendors (ISVs) indicate that the upgrade of on-device AI offers incomparable advantages compared to the cloud. This includes integrating the work habits of individual users, providing a personalized and differentiated user experience.

Ablikim Ablimiti, Vice President of Lenovo, highlighted five core features of AI PCs: possessing personal large models, natural language interaction, intelligent hybrid computing, open ecosystems, and ensuring real privacy and security. He stated that the encounter of AI large models with PCs is naturally harmonious, and terminal makers are leading this innovation by integrating upstream and downstream resources to provide a complete intelligent service for AI PCs.

In terms of chips, Intel Core Ultra is considered a significant processor architecture change in 40 years. It adopts the advanced Meteor Lake architecture, fully integrating chipset functions into the processor, incorporating NPU into the PC processor for the first time, and also integrating the dazzling series core graphics card. This signifies a significant milestone in the practical commercial application of AI PCs.

TrendForce: AI PC Demand to Expand from High-End Enterprises           

TrendForce believes that due to the high costs of upgrading both software and hardware associated with AI PCs, early development will be focused on high-end business users and content creators. This group has a strong demand for leveraging AI processing capabilities to improve productivity efficiency and can also benefit immediately from related applications, making them the primary users of the first generation. The emergence of AI PCs is not expected to necessarily stimulate additional PC purchase demand. Instead, most upgrades to AI PC devices will occur naturally as part of the business equipment replacement cycle projected for 2024.

(Image: Qualcomm)

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On October 31, 2023, Apple held a product launch event for its M3 chips. Reports suggest that Foxconn has secured a portion of existing MacBook Pro and iMac orders from Quanta. This marks the first time Foxconn has taken orders for higher-end MacBook Pro models.

The order distribution between Foxconn and Quanta has shifted, resulting in a more balanced competition. Quanta may need to expedite the introduction of new factory automation projects and relocate production facilities to reduce labor costs and regain its share of MacBook Pro and iMac orders.

TrendForce’s Insights:

1. Foxconn’s Notebook Factories Excel in Materials, Automation, and Factory Management

Up until 2022, Apple’s computer assembly supply chain was primarily served by two Taiwanese companies, Foxconn and Quanta. In the second half of 2022, Chinese company Wingtech Technology entered the Apple computer assembly supply chain for the first time, initially securing a small portion of orders for MacBook Air products. While they currently hold only a fraction of the orders, they will undoubtedly pose a significant challenge to Foxconn and Quanta in the future.

Quanta, favored by Apple for its tech-oriented approach, faces tough competition from Foxconn, known for its high degree of factory management and production line automation.

The reason for Quanta losing a portion of its high-end notebook orders might be linked to the minimal design differences between the new models featuring the M3 chip and their predecessors.

Moreover, their assembly, testing, and packaging processes remain alike. Hence, Apple adjusts order proportions in its supply chain according to the production yield and quotes from assembly factories as part of risk management. Material costs, labor expenses, and production-related costs are the main elements in the product cost structure. At this stage, labor costs in Shanghai are higher than in Chengdu.

Additionally, Foxconn is one of Apple’s computer case suppliers, giving it priority in material usage. Given Foxconn’s extensive projects for production line automation, their acquisition of Apple’s high-end M3 chip orders for the MacBook Pro has significantly bolstered their standing.

In the future, as long as Apple’s computer designs undergo minimal changes, Foxconn can enhance its output by accelerating the replication of similar production lines. This strategy aims to satisfy customer demands across production volume, costs, quality, and delivery time. Consequently, Foxconn’s aim to capture a share of Quanta’s orders is just a matter of time.

2. Quanta Needs to Accelerate Factory Automation and Establish Vietnam Facilities

Quanta’s factory in Shanghai, producing computer goods, operates within a labor-intensive industry. With the continual rise in local labor costs, recruiting in Shanghai, primarily an area with a service and finance-oriented workforce, becomes increasingly challenging. This scenario significantly impacts the overall workforce deployment in the production line.

Despite having facilities in Chongqing, the company’s strong presence of Apple repair centers in Shanghai anchors its focus there. Moreover, the ongoing establishment of Quanta’s Vietnamese facilities abroad will take time to address production capacity. Hence, Quanta might need to expedite factory automation in Shanghai to reduce labor usage, effectively cutting costs, and potentially regaining Apple orders.

Apple’s computer assembly has long been centered around China, but due to geopolitical influences, Quanta has ultimately shifted to establish production facilities in Vietnam

Vietnam has emerged as an electronic industry hub in the “China+1” strategy. Quanta should leverage local resources to transfer small-scale production lines to Vietnam for manufacturing. By obtaining brand verification for these products beforehand, they aim to shorten the preparation time before mass production, with the goal of reducing costs, improving yields, and regaining customer confidence.

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• [News] Apple’s Exclusive AI Order Boosts Revenue via Foxconn’s FII Vietnam Plant
• Why Laptops Are Speeding Up the Rise of Vietnam?

(Photo credit: Pixabay)

On November 9th, EMS (Electronic Manufacturing Services) giant Wistron, through its Malaysian subsidiary WMMY, disclosed the successful completion of the sale of consumer electronics production facilities in the Selangor and Sungai Way Free Trade Zones.

The company is set to sell the properties, which include factories and land in these two free trade zones, to semiconductor major NXP for approximately 1.85 billion Malaysian Ringgit (equivalent to roughly USD 392million).

Wistron announced that its subsidiary WMMY (Wistron Technology Sdn. Bhd.) signed a “Letter of Offer to Purchase” with the unrelated entity NXP Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. According to Malaysian regulations, when buying or selling a property, the buyer can place a deposit and sign a preliminary contract with the seller.

However, within 14 business days, a formal sales agreement needs to be signed between the buyer and the seller for the transaction to be completed.

Wistron had declared through its subsidiary WMMY back in September of this year that it intended to divest its property (including factories and land) in the Selangor and Sungai Way Free Trade Zones in Malaysia in response to external economic changes and global strategic considerations.

At that time, the specifics of the transaction, including the counterpart and amount, were undetermined. The company had only established that the total transaction amount should not be less than 185 million Malaysian Ringgit (approximately 39.2 million USD). The deal presented by NXP aligns with these conditions, thus facilitating the progress of the factory sale.

Wistron has initiated several factory sales in recent years, including the iPhone assembly plants in Kunshan, China, and India, as well as the consumer electronics plant in Malaysia. The Kunshan facility was sold to Luxshare, a Chinese manufacturer, while the Indian plant was acquired by Tata Group, an Indian electronics corporation. The Malaysian plant, in this instance, is sold to the semiconductor giant NXP, and the transaction is projected to conclude within 14 days.

NXP currently operates six wafer fabs in the United States, the Netherlands, and Singapore, with four assembly and testing facilities situated in Taiwan, China, Thailand, and Malaysia.

The company specializes in producing application processors, communication processors, wireless connectivity SoCs, RF amplifiers, security system ICs, various analog products, and MCUs (microcontrollers).

Wistron’s manufacturing facility in Selangor, Malaysia, is mainly responsible for material fabrication, manufacturing, industrial engineering, production management, mechanisms, quality assurance, and production management.

Read more

• [Insights] Tata’s Challenge in Securing Large iPhobe Orders After Officially Acquiring Wistron’s India Factory

(Photo credit: Wistron)

1. Huawei sticks to a low-key strategy, opting for understated smartphone launches.

Contrary to expectations, the recent Huawei Autumn 2023 Launch Conference took an unexpectedly subdued tone. The much-anticipated Mate 60 Pro, believed to be the star of the show, received only a brief mention, leaving enthusiasts and industry watchers surprised.

This strategic shift can be deciphered by considering Huawei’s established strong brand loyalty among Chinese consumers. Previously hampered by the unavailability of 5G chips due to U.S. trade restrictions, Huawei has managed to overcome these hurdles. The recent successful sales of its new devices in China suggest that a flamboyant presentation of specifications at launch events might not yield substantial benefits. In fact, it could inadvertently be interpreted as a provocation amid the escalating tensions between the U.S. and China.

Therefore, in light of the strained bilateral relations, it is projected that Huawei will continue adopting a discreet approach, with future smartphone releases likely avoiding the spotlight at launch events.

2. Maturation of the smartphone industry poses challenges for brands seeking innovation.

Despite Huawei’s success in developing its own 5G-compatible chips amidst U.S. sanctions, the latest smartphone lack groundbreaking features. Innovations such as satellite communication or advanced camera modules (with periscope lenses and variable apertures) are conspicuously absent. Even in the flagship Mate 60 RS model, the emphasis shifts to the distinctive ceramic material on the back shell.

3. Anticipated rise in China’s domestic production ratio.

Before the U.S. sanctions, Huawei heavily relied on foreign suppliers for smartphone components, including RF, baseband, memory, and sensor chips, complementing its self-developed Kirin chips. However, the restrictive policy have compelled Huawei to shift its dependency to domestic Chinese manufacturers.

In the nearly three-year period from the imposition of U.S. sanctions to the recent release of Huawei’s new 5G smartphone, the industry expected Huawei and its supply chain to suffer severe setbacks. However, the China-made ratio of components in Huawei’s new smartphone currently stands at an impressive 90%, with only the DRAM incorporating SK Hynix products.

With Huawei’s return, it is poised to catalyze growth throughout its supply chain. The ongoing trajectory suggests a continual increase in the domestic production ratio of future devices in China.