On October 26, 2023, Stellantis announced a EUR 1.5 billion investment to acquire approximately 20% of Leapmotor, securing two seats on its board. Additionally, Stellantis and Leapmotor will establish a joint venture named “Leapmotor International” with ownership stakes of 51% and 49%, respectively. The CEO of the joint venture will be appointed by the Stellantis group.

TrendForce’s Insights:

1. Leapmotor’s High Self-Reliance in EV Technology (Electric Motor, Battery, Electronic Control) with Completed Four-Domain Integration in EEA Architecture

Before Stellantis took over Leapmotor, European automakers like Volkswagen and Audi had previously collaborated with Chinese counterparts such as XPENG and SAIC in the electric vehicle sector and technological development. The primary aim was to exchange different resources, including funding or access to the European market, for China’s EV technology.

Leapmotor, in addition to independently developing battery packs and an 800V silicon carbide electric drive system, has based its control system on the self-developed “Four-Leaf Clover” Electronical/Electric Architecture (EEA).

This architecture achieves cross-domain integration across four domains—power, body, ADAS, and cabin—utilizing a central computing platform to significantly reduce the use of Electronic Control Units (ECUs) and related wiring. This integration enhances the overall intelligence and range of the vehicle.

Stellantis had previously expressed a “light asset” strategy for the Chinese market, aiming to reduce fixed costs. Collaborating with Leapmotor enables cost savings in independent research and development.

On a global strategic level, Stellantis has its own electric platform, “STLA.” Therefore, cooperation with Leapmotor provides immediate support for Stellantis in the platform of EV technology and market development, both in China and globally.

2. Leapmotor Need to Seize the Opportunity to Accelerate Overseas Expansion

While Stellantis’ current focus is not on the Chinese market, its integration of resources from the merger of FCA (Fiat Chrysler) and PSA (Peugeot Citroën) provides a significant market foundation in Europe and the Americas. According to Stellantis’ disclosed data for the first half of 2023, it achieved a net revenue of EUR 98.4 billion, a 12% growth, and a net profit of EUR 10.9 billion, a 37% growth.

The sales volume of new energy vehicles also grew by 24% during the same period. The “Leapmotor International” joint venture between Stellantis and Leapmotor is not only responsible for the Greater China region but plays a crucial role in global sales and holds exclusive manufacturing rights for Leapmotor’s vehicle models.

Although Leapmotor holds a technological edge in three key components over European and American automakers, it faces fierce competition in the Chinese market from startups like NIO, XPeng, Li Auto, and traditional manufacturers like SAIC and Great Wall Motor. In the third-quarter financial report of 2023, Leapmotor achieved a gross profit margin of 1.2%, marking its first positive gross profit.

However, the net profit continues to incur losses. Stellantis’ financial injection serves to alleviate Leapmotor’s financial pressures, allowing it to capitalize on opportunities for global expansion.

In addition, amidst the escalating competition among Chinese automakers to enhance their export capabilities, Leapmotor can leverage Stellantis’ mature sales channels and resources to gain a strategic advantage in the international arena. The operational control of Leapmotor International remains in the hands of Stellantis, not only acquiring Leapmotor’s technology but also eliminating a potential competitor.

This transaction is built on the mutual benefits each party seeks, potentially establishing a collaborative model for future technology and market-sharing partnerships between Chinese and European automotive manufacturers.

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• [Insights] Even Ford Halts EV Investment, How Will the Automakers Adjust Its EV Strategy?

Tesla initiated a price war in the Chinese market this year, forcing local manufacturers to confront the challenge. However, after nearly a year of intense competition, Tesla unexpectedly called a truce, while Chinese manufacturers led by BYD thrived in the fierce price war, turning adversity into opportunity.

According to a tally by Tencent News-affiliated media “Deep Web,” in the first two days of November, three Chinese automakers have already announced price reduction and promotion policies: BYD offers discounts ranging from CNY 5,000 to RMD 18,000 on five models; Leapmotor provides a maximum discount of CNY  10,000 across all models; Lynk & Co, under the Geely umbrella, offers a subsidy of CNY 6,000 for its Lynk 08 model. Since October, more than 10 car manufacturers have implemented price reduction and promotion policies.

Tesla Bucks the Trend with Price Increase

While several Chinese car manufacturers are engaging in a price war, Tesla is moving against the current by increasing prices. On November 9th, Tesla officially announced a price hike for the Model 3 Long Range version by CNY 1,500, bringing the total price to CNY 297,400. The Model Y Long Range version also saw a price increase of CNY 2,500, bringing the total to CNY 302,400.

This marks Tesla’s second price hike in nearly a month. On October 27th, Tesla China raised the price of the Model Y Performance version by CNY 14,000, resulting in an adjusted selling price of CNY 363,900. Additionally, the North American Tesla Model Y Long Range version also experienced a price increase of USD 500.

The report further indicated the industry analysis, suggesting that the previous round of price increases has already eroded Tesla’s profitability. Tesla’s third-quarter financial report, released in mid-October, revealed earnings and delivery volumes below Wall Street expectations. The gross profit margin was particularly impacted by the price war, reaching a four-year low of 17.9%.

BYD Secures Sales Crown in Chinese Car Price War  

In contrast to Tesla’s unexpected withdrawal from the recent price war, Chinese manufacturers are not only surviving but maintaining their ability to continue the battle. BYD, sitting comfortably as the global leader in new energy vehicle sales, reported a third-quarter net profit of CNY 11.54 billion.

Meanwhile, AITO revived its fortunes with the new M7 model, and XPeng Motors successfully returning to growth in sales.

Data indicates that BYD emerged as the winner in the first half of the price war, maintaining the top position in sales. Despite a decrease in unit revenue amid the price war, quarterly net profit per unit increased. In contrast, Tesla’s per-unit net profit has declined each quarter this year, reaching a global per-unit net profit of only CNY 31,300.

The overall gross profit margin trend and per-unit net profit trend of BYD and Tesla align. In the third quarter of this year, BYD achieved a historic high gross profit margin of 22.1%, while Tesla’s gross profit margin hit a near three-year low at 17.89%.

However, the price war is inevitably taking a toll on the industry, with multiple research institutions and investment banks predicting an increase in mergers and acquisitions, as well as bankruptcy reorganizations among Chinese new energy vehicle manufacturers in the future.

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• [NEWS] BYD Outpaces Tesla in Production, Securing the Crown in EV Sector

(Photo credit: BYD)

Within the AR glasses industry, various enterprises have recently concluded the latest round of financing, encompassing AR glasses, AR display modules, and optical wave devices.

Chinese AR glasses firm Rokid secured USD 112 million fund

According to news on November 20th, Chinese AR glasses firm Rokid achieved a valuation of USD 1 billion and secured a financing of USD 112 million. The funds will be directed towards the expansion of Rokid’s presence in international markets.

Established in 2014 and headquartered in Hangzhou, China, Rokid introduced its latest AR smart glasses products, Rokid Max and Rokid Max Pro, in March and August of this year, respectively, featuring Micro OLED displays.

(Image: Rokid)

Presently, Rokid’s AR glasses are available in over 80 countries and regions worldwide. Rokid has planned to explore the application of AR glasses in the education sector, with an anticipation that its overseas revenue will surpass domestic revenue by 2024.

Notably, Rokid has successfully completed multiple rounds of financing in recent years, accumulating a total of nearly USD 2 billion, according to relevant media reports.

Japanese AR optical firm Cellid completes latest funding round.

Cellid announced that it received an investment from SMBC Nikko Securities in October, and combined with the undisclosed investor in September, the total financing for Cellid reached JPY 2.28 billion (approximately USD 15.25 million).

The funds from this financing round will be allocated for the establishment of mass production and quality control systems, expediting process development, and advancing the research and sales of software such as Model Builder.

(Image: Cellid )

Founded in 2016, Cellid focuses on the development and provision of AR display module hardware and spatial recognition technology software, Model Builder. The company aims to achieve higher-quality AR glasses by addressing both hardware and software components.

In 2021, Cellid initiated the supply of samples for AR glasses display modules, Cellid Waveguide 60, featuring a wider field of view optical (FOV) waveguide and a 1.2 cc size ultra-compact Micro LED projector.

In January this year, Cellid unveiled an optical module for AR glasses, equipped with a Micro LED projector, achieving a field of view of 60 degrees.

AR optical wave device company Raypai secures tens of millions in CNY Funding.

AR optical wave device company Raypai concluded a B-round financing of tens of millions of Chinese Yuan on November 21st. This round of financing was led by CVYE, VDL, and ABCI.

Raypai, known for its self-developed geometric optical waveguide technology and 2D pupil dilation technology, enables optical waveguide devices to maintain excellent optical performance while adopting a compact and lightweight form. This provides a foundation for deeply immersive, highly interactive, and highly integrated AR smart glasses.

(Image: Raypai)

Currently, Raypai has introduced over ten AR geometric optical waveguide display devices, applied in various AR smart terminal products, including QIDI ONE, RokidGLASS2, and Vision Enjoy G510.

Recently, Raypai unveiled its latest 2D geometric optical waveguide product, achieving a breakthrough in the field of view beyond 50 degrees and light efficiency exceeding 2000 nit/lm. The company has collaborated with well-known Chinese enterprises to develop consumer AR geometric optical waveguide devices for new products.

In terms of production, Raypai has completed the construction of a super-precision optical device production base in Kunshan, Jiangsu, achieving full operational status and mass delivery of the entire product line, with an annual production capacity of 120,000 sets of optical waveguide devices. Presently, based on customer demand and market trends, Raypai is planning more extensive production capacity reserves.
(Image: Rokid)

On November 23, YICAI reported that Huawei is set to divest its Smart Car Solutions Business Unit (referred to as “Car BU”), with the business subsequently being acquired by the Chongqing State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, making it the largest shareholder.

However, to this report, the head of Changan Automobile’s strategic planning department further indicated on November 24 that the information is inconsistent with the facts.

In terms of Changan Automobile’s cooperation with Huawei, even before the establishment of Huawei’s Car BU, both parties had already formed a certain level of collaboration. In 2019, Changan Automobile, in collaboration with Huawei and battery company CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd.), jointly created Avatr Technology.

Huawei provided advanced assisted driving features and Harmony OS smart cockpit technology to Avatr Technology. When Huawei officially announced its commitment to “helping automakers build good cars,” the collaboration between the two became even closer.

In 2021, Changan Automobile, in partnership with Huawei, began developing the Avatr brand based on the Huawei Inside mode. Following the launch of Avatr 11, the Avatr 12 was recently introduced to the market. Additionally, in August of this year, Changan’s sub-brand, Shenlan (BluePark), signed a framework cooperation agreement with Huawei.

Shenlan Automotive stated that the collaboration will focus on the field of automotive intelligence, jointly advancing the research and application of new technologies in the smart electric vehicle domain.

According to Changan Automobile’s data, Changan Automobile has sold 241,028 vehicles in October, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.21%. The cumulative sales for this year reached 2,110,636 vehicles, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.76%. Specifically, the sales of new energy vehicles under the independent brand in October were 57,399, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 57.1%. For the cumulative sales from January to October, the figure reached 364,081 vehicles, indicating a substantial year-on-year growth of 88.76%.

(Photo credit: Flickr)

In May 2023, Hyundai announced a local investment of KRW 2 trillion (approximately USD 1.52 billion) to establish an EV factory in South Korea, with a groundbreaking ceremony held on November 13. The factory is expected to be completed in 2025, with electric vehicle production set to commence in the first quarter of 2026.

The initial production capacity is planned at 200,000 vehicles per year, focusing on electric SUVs under Hyundai’s premium brand, Genesis.

TrendForce’s Insights:

1. IONIQ 5’s High Cost-Performance Welcomed in the North American Market, Serving as a Pillar for Hyundai’s Electric Vehicle Endeavors

The IONIQ 5, built on Hyundai’s E-GMP platform, boasts an 800V charging infrastructure and a 3.5-second acceleration from 0 to 100 km/h, all priced around USD 40,000. In comparison to other 800V competitors in the North American market, such as the Audi e-tron GT, Lucid Air, and Taycan, which are priced at approximately USD 80,000 to 100,000, the IONIQ 5 stands out with competitive features.

South Korea demonstrates a significant level of self-sufficiency in the strategic components of electric vehicles. Battery suppliers Samsung SDI and LG Energy Solution (LGES) rank among the world’s top ten battery suppliers.

Additionally, Hyundai Mobis stands as South Korea’s largest automotive parts supplier, offering a comprehensive product line that includes various components in electric motors and controls. With robust support from a powerful supply chain, this enhances Hyundai’s market competitiveness.

According to Hyundai North America’s reported sales figures for August 2023, the IONIQ 5 and IONIQ 6, both built on the E-GMP platform, collectively sold 5,235 units in the North American market. This reflects a remarkable 245% growth compared to the same period in 2022.

The year-to-date total sales of the IONIQ 5 and 6 reached 28,000 units by August, showing a notable 63% growth compared to the same period last year. It’s noteworthy that these achievements were made without the benefit of the USD 7,500 subsidy under the “Inflation Reduction Act.”

The success of the IONIQ series has bolstered Hyundai’s confidence in making this platform a core element, facilitating the development of related models and further investments in the electric vehicle business.

2. IONIQ Temporarily Pauses Entry into Chinese Market Amidst Intense Homogeneous Product Competition

With the rise of local Chinese automotive brands and the trend toward electrification, Hyundai’s sales in the Chinese market have plummeted from 1.14 million vehicles in 2016 to 250,000 vehicles in 2022, as per data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.

In 2021, Hyundai sold its first factory in Shunyi to Li Auto, and in June 2023, Hyundai announced plans to sell two more of its remaining four plants.

In the electric vehicle sector, the IONIQ 5 is built on an all-new electric vehicle platform, outperforming earlier models based on oil-to-electric conversion platforms in both overall efficiency and performance. With its affordable price, it presents a formidable challenge to equivalent models in Europe and the United States.

However, given China’s early development of new energy vehicle platforms and the completion of pure electric vehicle platforms by many domestic manufacturers, coupled with highly autonomous supply chains, IONIQ does not enjoy overwhelming advantages in China. Therefore, the initial focus on the European and American markets is a strategically sound decision.

As European and American automakers continue to establish pure electric vehicle platforms and competitors like Audi and Stellantis strengthen their technological exchanges with Chinese manufacturers, the advantages of the E-GMP platform will face challenges. To further enhance the economic scale of their products, the Chinese market remains a crucial challenge that Hyundai cannot ignore.