According to a report by Nikkei, Japanese chip manufacturer Rapidus plans to establish a fully automated production line using robots and AI in northern Japan to produce 2nm chips for advanced AI applications, with mass production anticipated as early as 2027.

Reportedly, Rapidus claims that automated production will significantly accelerate production times, reducing chip delivery time to just one-third of that of its competitors. The company’s fab is expected to complete its external structure by October, with EUV lithography system set to arrive in December.

Compared to other companies already operating fabs, building a fully automated plant could give Rapidus a significant advantage. While the front-end of chip manufacturing are already highly automated, the back-end processes, such as packaging and testing, remain labor-intensive.

Rapidus CEO Atsuyoshi Koike stated that this approach will deliver higher performance and faster turnaround times for the same 2nm products compared to other competing chipmakers.

Per a report from Tom’s Hardware, Rapidus is currently two years behind TSMC and Samsung, both of which are expected to begin 2nm chip production in 2025. If Rapidus can deliver chips faster without compromising on price or quality, it may secure a place in the market.

Despite the optimistic outlook, Rapidus faces operational challenges. The company revealed that it will need JPY 2 trillion (approximately USD 14 billion) to begin operation in 2025, and at least JPY 5 trillion in total for the start of mass production.

Although Rapidus has received JPY 920 billion in subsidies from the Japanese government, private companies remain hesitant to invest due to the company’s lack of track record.

Atsuyoshi Koike added that, given the current situation, it is difficult for Rapidus to secure private financing. The company is discussing ways to make financing easier, such as implementing a government loan guarantee system.

Read more

• [News] Japanese Government Reportedly Plans to Offer Guaranteed Loans to Chip Startup Rapidus
• [News] Rapidus Partners RISC-V Player Esperanto, Targeting Low-Power AI Chip

(Photo credit: Rapidus)

According to a report from the South China Morning Post, the U.S. export controls, which are restricting China’s access to advanced chips and technology, have intensified China’s efforts to replace global semiconductor manufacturing equipment. However, industry sources have indicated that China still faces significant bottlenecks in this area.

The report mentions that Chinese semiconductor equipment companies like NAURA and AMEC are leading efforts to encourage local foundries to adopt domestic equipment.

Notably, sources cited in the same report also reveal that there is an unwritten rule among Chinese semiconductor fabs that locally-made tools should account for 70% of their production lines.

Per a report by TrendForce, Chinese manufacturers have achieved a self-sufficiency rate of 15% or higher in materials for mature processes, such as silicon wafers, photomasks, photoresists, electronic gases, and wet chemicals. However, items with a self-sufficiency rate still below 15% include photolithography equipment, photomasks, and EDA.

AMEC’s chairman and CEO, Gerald Yin Zhiyao, stated that China is expected to achieve a basic level of self-sufficiency in chip production equipment by this summer, something that was unimaginable just a few years ago.

He acknowledged that while there are still gaps in quality and reliability, China’s semiconductor supply chain can indeed achieve self-sufficiency. This, he suggested, is further evidence that U.S. export controls may have accelerated the development of China’s chip industry.

However, the report also pointed out that China remains constrained in one critical area: lithography technology, which is subject to the most stringent export controls.

Dutch company ASML is the sole supplier of Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) systems, essential for producing advanced chips, and is also the main supplier of Deep Ultraviolet (DUV) systems needed for mature process chips.

President of foundry China Resources Microelectronics, Li Hong, stated that in 2023, only 1.2% of the lithography systems used by Chinese foundries was purchased from local suppliers.

In the second quarter of this year, ASML’s shipments to Chinese customers totaled EUR 2.35 billion, accounting for nearly half of its global sales. This indicates that China continues to rely heavily on ASML’s equipment in the legacy nodes, which is not subject to U.S. sanctions.

Paul Triolo, senior vice-president for China and technology policy lead at the U.S. consulting firm Albright Stonebridge Group, noted that the significant purchases of DUV lithography systems from ASML by Chinese companies highlight that SMEE, a major Chinese lithography equipment manufacturer, still lags behind ASML in reliably producing lithography systems for 28nm and below processes.

However, lithography technology is not the only bottleneck China faces. Li Hong also noted that the local supply ratios for ion implantation and inspection and metrology systems is only 1.4% and 2.4%, respectively.

As per Chinese customs data, the value of ion implantation systems imported by China in 2023 increased by 20% year-on-year to USD 1.3 billion.

A research report by Guohai Securities indicates as well that Chinese fabs rely heavily on metrology systems from companies like KLA, Applied Materials, and Japan’s Hitachi.

KLA reportedly holds a 50% global market share in inspection and metrology equipment.

An industry source cited in the report mentioned that the local supply ratio in the inspection and metrology sector is relatively low, with local substitution primarily occurring in lower-end products.

Read more

• [News] China Lists Semiconductor Self-Reliance Challenges, Excluding Lithography Equipment
• [News] ASML Former CEO Predicts Chip War Between China and the US May Persist for Decades

(Photo credit: ASML)

According to sources cited in a report from Commercial Times, in response to the global increase in chip orders and rapid AI development, TSMC is actively seeking available land to keep its most advanced process technologies in Taiwan.

Currently, TSMC has already planned three 2nm fabs at the Nanzih Technology Industrial Park in Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan.

Regarding the need for additional land to accommodate facilities for more advanced nodes beyond 2nm, the report notes that the Kaohsiung City Government has been proactively preparing by evaluating land availability, as well as water and electricity supply, for TSMC’s next-generation advanced technology production, specifically targeting the A14 (14 angstrom) process.

Yet, regarding the matter, TSMC has remained discreet and declined to comment on market rumors regarding the progress of expansion.

Reportedly, the Nanzih Park site has the capacity to accommodate up to five fabs for TSMC, and there are rumors that its fourth and fifth fabs are likely to focus on A14 process, although TSMC has yet to confirm this.

TSMC’s first 2nm process fab in Nanzih is expected to begin mass production in 2025. Per sources cited by the report, the node will be used in high-performance computing (HPC), smartphones, electric vehicles, and autonomous driving applications.

Earlier, concerns were raised about the progress of TSMC’s CoWoS advanced packaging plant due to the discovery of cultural heritage sites at the Chiayi Science Park.

However, sources cited by Commercial Times have pointed out that while there have been some delays due to cultural heritage issues, TSMC’s adjustment plan has been approved. The company will adjust its working procedures in order to proceed with construction according to the original schedule, with no changes to the completion timeline.

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• [News] Samsung Expected to Unveil its 1nm Plan in June, Advancing it to 2026
• [News] Decipher TSMC’s Calm Take on High-NA EUV Lithography Machines: Who May Have the Last Laugh in the Angstrom Era?

(Photo credit: TSMC)

In spite of its skyrocketing profit in Q2 thanks to the strong AI demand for memory chips, Samsung Electronics might be still struggling with losses in its foundry business, according to reports by ijiwei and Technews.

Citing Korean media, the reports indicate that Samsung’s foundry business is expected to face operating losses amounting to several trillion Korean won in 2024. The reports note that one of Samsung’s major challenges may lie in securing major foundry clients, as improving its yield rates and technologies in advanced nodes remains the company’s top priority.

Samsung posted better-than-expected revenue and profit numbers in Q2, as its revenue grew 23% YoY to 74.07 trillion won (USD 53.45 billion). Its operating profit, on the other hand, soared 1,462% YoY to 10.44 trillion won. However, the semiconductor giant didn’t disclose individual data for the foundry and LSI businesses respectively, but only providing the performance of the Device Solutions (DS) division as a whole.

In its press release, Samsung attributed the robust Q2 performance of its DS division to the market recovery driven by HBM, conventional DRAM and server SSDs. The move has brought up concerns on whether the foundry business is still grappling with losses.

The reports, citing Korean sources, indicate that Samsung’s semiconductor business (excluding the memory division) might have suffered a loss of nearly 300 billion won during the quarter. In addition, Samsung Securities predicts that the non-memory division recorded an operating loss as much as 457 billion won.

An earlier report by Business Korea noted that as the demand for 3nm has been rising, big techs, including NVIDIA, AMD, Qualcomm, MediaTek, Apple and Google, tend to allocate their orders to TSMC. Even Intel’s Lunar Lake, which is expected to make debut in September, is said to be manufactured with TSMC’s 3nm. The strong demand has reportedly prompted TSMC to raise the price of its 3nm process by over 20%.

Thus, the reports by ijiwei and Technews suggest that Samsung’s top priority would be to attract major clients for its foundry business. If Samsung can improve the yield rate of its 3nm GAA (Gate-All-Around) technology in a timely manner, it could potentially increase its order volume and market share by offering more competitive pricing.

On the other hand, the reports note that Samsung’s foundry business needs to shift its focus from the smartphone sector to the high-performance computing (HPC) segment, which means Samsung will need to apply technologies such as Backside Power Delivery Network (BSPDN) to enhance product performance and competitiveness. In response, Samsung plans to introduce BSPDN technology potentially ahead of schedule, aiming to boost its competitiveness when it begins mass production of its 2nm process technology in 2025.

Read more

• [News] Samsung to Intensify Efforts for Capturing Intel’s Advanced Packaging Orders Shifting from TSMC
• TrendForce: Top 10 Global Foundries at 4.3% QoQ Drop in 1Q24 Revenue as SMIC Climbed to 3rd Spot

(Photo credit: Samsung)

The National Bureau of Statistics of China released the CPI and PPI data on August 9. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July increased by 0.5% year-on-year, higher than the 0.2% growth in the previous month and above the market expectation of 0.3%. This marks the six consecutive months of positive growth. The increase was primarily driven by rising food prices due to weather conditions, which accounted for approximately 50% of the CPI’s annual growth in July. Excluding the relatively volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose by only 0.4% year-on-year, down from 0.6% in the previous month.

Read more at Datatrack

On the other hand, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for July decreased by 0.8% year-on-year, matching the decline of the previous month and performing better than the market expectation of -0.9%. However, this marks the 22nd consecutive month of contraction. According to Dong Li-juan, a statistician at the National Bureau of Statistics, the decline was mainly due to weak market demand and falling international commodity prices.

Read more at Datatrack

Overall, the domestic demand in China remains weak. Although the Chinese government committed to revitalizing domestic demand during the 3rd Plenary Session and the Politburo meeting in July, so far, the government has only lowered the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) and has not introduced detailed or large-scale fiscal stimulus measures. This presents a significant challenge to achieving the annual GDP growth target of 5% through increased domestic demand.