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Japanese NAND flash giant Kioxia announced today (August 1st) that the building construction of Fab2 (K2) of its Kitakami Plant in Iwate Prefecture was completed in July. As demand is recovering, the company will gradually make capital investments while closely monitoring flash memory market trends. Kioxia plans to start operation at K2 in the fall of Calendar Year 2025, according to its press release.
A portion of investment for K2 will be subsidized by the Japanese government according to the plan approved in February 2024, according to Kioxia.
In addition, the company notes that some administration and engineering departments will move into a new administration building located adjacent to K2 beginning in November 2024 to oversee the operation of K2.
According to a report from Nikkei on July 31, Kioxia’s Kitakami Plant started production in 2020,with the construction of K2 began in 2022. Initially, K2 was scheduled to commence production in 2023.
However, due to a downturn in the memory market and weak demand for NAND Flash used in smartphones and PCs, Kioxia started to reduce production in October 2022, with the extent of production cuts exceeding 30%. As part of these production reduction measures, Kioxia postponed the production start of the K2 facility.
Nikkei’s report further indicates that with market conditions recovering, Kioxia ended its production cuts in June 2024, and the current production line utilization rate has returned to 100%.
To mass-produce advanced memory products, Kioxia, in collaboration with Western Digital (WD), plans to invest a total of 729 billion yen in the Yokkaichi and Kitakami plants, with the Japanese government providing up to 243 billion yen in subsidies.
The Kitakami plant will produce the most advanced “8th generation” memory, with a monthly production capacity of 25,000 wafers. These will be used in AI data centers, as well as in smartphones, PCs, and automotive applications.
On June 26, according to industry sources cited in a report from Reuters, Kioxia plans to submit an initial public offering (IPO) application to the Tokyo Stock Exchange in the near future, aiming to go public by the end of October. Sources indicate that Kioxia will submit its official IPO application by the end of August, with a target listing date at the end of October.
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(Photo credit: Kioxia)
News
According to a report from Commercial Times, IC design giant MediaTek is making its move into the AI accelerator sector. MediaTek CEO Rick Tsai emphasized that MediaTek aims to be the best partner for edge AI, focusing on advanced technologies and 3nm process to optimize the power consumption and efficiency of its SoCs (system-on-chips).
Tsai mentioned that MediaTek will unveil its Dimensity 9400 flagship series of chips in October, designed to perfectly support most large language models on the market. He expressed confidence in achieving a more than 50% year-over-year revenue increase for flagship devices.
For the ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) market, MediaTek has confirmed its entry into the AI accelerator field and will integrate CPUs as needed. ASICs are expected to start the revenue contribution in the second half of next year.
Additionally, the TAM (Total Addressable Market) for generative AI is still in its early stages. MediaTek focuses on providing leading interconnect capabilities, such as SerDes IP and Ethernet PHY.
Regarding AI technology in the smartphone sector, Rick Tsai believes that flagship smartphones are seeing an increase in ASP, and there is a gradual shift towards high-end smartphones in the Chinese market. He noted that Chinese brands are actively developing AI, particularly in model development, such as open-source models like LLaMA 3.
At MediaTek’s earnings call on July 31st, Rick Tsai noted that the company anticipates a return to normal seasonal patterns in the second half of the year. The outlook for the fourth quarter will largely depend on consumer product demand.
Regarding the outlook in the third quarter, MediaTek expects the revenue to be flattish, ranging from NTD 123.5 billion to NTD 132.4 billion, compared with NTD 127.27 billion last quarter. Gross margin is projected to slide to 45.5-48.5%, from 48.8%, down 3.6 percentage points quarter over quarter and up 1.3 percentage points year-over-year.
Aside from the boost expected from the Dimensity 9400 flagship release, the company’s fourth-quarter market demand is projected to be relatively moderate, which is why the annual outlook remains unchanged. MediaTek expects its full-year gross margin to be between 46% and 48%.
Regarding TSMC’s pricing adjustments, Rick Tsai remains unperturbed, noting that all industry peers face similar cost pressures. MediaTek aims to reflect cost increases through pricing, with a gross margin target of 47% for new products. Progress has also been made in 3nm and 2nm processes, and MediaTek has secured its capacity needs for 2025 with TSMC.
Moreover, MediaTek and NVIDIA are collaborating on automotive chips, with plans to launch their first chip in early 2025. Rick Tsai mentioned that details are yet to be disclosed, but significant advancements in the automotive sector are expected between 2027 and 2028.
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(Photo credit: MediaTek)
Insights
The Federal Reserve held its July FOMC meeting on July 31, deciding to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 5.25% to 5.5%. In its post-meeting statement, the Fed noted signs of a cooling labor market and a slight uptick in unemployment, coupled with reduced inflationary concerns. The Fed’s focus has now expanded from primarily addressing inflation risks to a more balanced consideration of both inflation and employment risks.
During the post-meeting press conference, the Fed emphasized that if inflation continues to decline as expected, with economic growth remaining solid and the labor market holding steady, a rate cut could be discussed at the September FOMC meeting. Additionally, the Fed may adopt a gradual approach to lowering rates in the future. The Fed also noted that the labor market is gradually normalizing, and it aims to maintain the current employment situation without further deterioration. Therefore, key employment metrics, such as the unemployment rate and initial jobless claims, will be closely monitored.
Market expectations are now firmly anchored on a potential rate cut in September, with FedWatch data indicating an 87.5% probability of a quarter-point cut. The Fed is expected to continue a “wait-and-see” approach, gradually adjusting its policy based on ongoing economic conditions.
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(Photo Credit: Federal Reserve)
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Amid Apple’s intention to reduce its dependence on China and promote India as another major iPhone production hub, Indian financial media outlet Moneycontrol has revealed in a report that Apple will manufacture the iPhone 16 Pro series in India, marking the company’s first production of high-end models in the country.
According to the report citing industry sources, Apple will further expand its manufacturing plans in India. It is expected that later this year, production of the iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro MAX will begin at Foxconn’s Sriperumbudur plant in Kancheepuram, Tamil Nadu, India.
Currently, the plant is said to be entering the new product introduction (NPI) phase for the iPhone 16 Pro series. Reportedly, if all goes well, it will then proceed to the mass production stage.
At the end of last year, Foxconn announced that its Indian subsidiary would expand its plant, marking one of Foxconn’s rare significant investments in India in recent years.
At the time, some have speculated that this move was a preliminary step in conducting the iPhone 16 series NPI in India. This would be the first time in iPhone history that NPI is conducted outside of China, indicating that Apple aims to establish India as another major global iPhone production hub.
The report further indicates that this strategy is part of Apple’s supply chain diversification efforts, aiming to reduce reliance on Chinese plants and enhance manufacturing capabilities in India. Apple hopes to increase the proportion of iPhones manufactured in India from the current 14% to 25% in the coming years.
Apple began its “Make in India” initiative in 2017 by assembling the first-generation iPhone SE. Since then, Apple has gradually expanded its iPhone production in India, assembling the iPhone 6S in 2018, the iPhone 7 and XR in 2019, the iPhone 11 in 2020, the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 in 2021, and the iPhone 14 in 2022.
Previously, iPhone production in India lagged behind China’s mass production by about 6 to 9 months. Last year, for the first time, Apple began producing the iPhone 15 and 15 Plus in India immediately after the iPhone launch event. This year, Apple is taking a further step by producing the high-end iPhone 16 Pro series in India.
Additionally, Apple reportedly plans to start manufacturing iPads and AirPods in India later this year, highlighting Apple’s growing focus on the Indian market.
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(Photo credit: Apple)
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Samsung Electronics, which has been surround by concerns that its HBM3e products are still struggling to pass NVIDIA’s qualifications, has confirmed in its second quarter earnings call that the company’s fifth-generation 8-layer HBM3e is currently undergoing customer valuation, and is scheduled to enter mass production in the third quarter, according to a report by Business Korea.
TrendForce notes that Samsung’s recent progress on HBM3e qualification seems to be solid, and we can soon expect both 8hi and 12hi to be qualified in the near future. The company is eager to gain higher HBM market share from SK hynix so its 1alpha capacity has reserved for HBM3e. TrendForce believes that Samsung is going to be a very important supplier on HBM category.
Driven by the momentum, the report from Business Korea, citing an official speaking at the conference call on July 31st, states that the share of HBM3e chips within Samsung’s HBMs is anticipated to surpass the mid-10 percent range in the third quarter. Moreover, it is projected to speedily grow to 60% by the fourth quarter.
According to Samsung, its HBM sales in the second quarter already grew by around 50% from the previous quarter. Being ambitious about its HBM3 and HBM3e sales, Samsung projects its HBM sales will increase three to five times in the second half of 2024, driven by a steep rise of about two times each quarter.
Samsung has already taken a big leap on HBM as its HBM3 chips are said to have been cleared by NVIDIA last week. According to a previous report by Reuters, Samsung’s HBM3 will initially be used exclusively in the AI giant’s H20, which is tailored for the Chinese market.
On the other hand, the South Korean memory giant notes that it has completed the preparations for volume production of its 12-layer HBM3e chips. The company plans to expand the supply in the second half of 2024 to meet the schedules requested by multiple customers, according to Business Korea. The progress of its sixth-generation HBM4 is also on track, scheduled to begin shipping in the second half of 2025, Business Korea notes.
Samsung Electronics reported higher-than-expected financial results in the second quarter, with a six-fold year-on-year increase in net income, soaring from KRW 1.55 trillion won (USD 1.12 billion) to KRW 9.64 trillion (USD 6.96 billion), as demand for its advanced memory chips that are crucial for AI training remained strong.
SK hynix, as the current HBM market leader, has expressed its optimism in securing the throne as well. The company reportedly expects its HBM3e shipments to surpass those of HBM3 in the third quarter, with HBM3e accounting for more than half of the total HBM shipments in 2024. In addition, it expects to begin supplying 12-layer HBM3e products to customers in the fourth quarter.
Micron, on the other hand, has reportedly started mass production of 8-layer HBM3e as early as in February. The company reportedly plans to complete preparations for mass production of 12-layer HBM3e in the second half and supply it to major customers like NVIDIA in 2025.
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(Photo credit: Samsung)