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The China Association for Science and Technology (CAST) recently listed challenges facing China’s semiconductor industry. However, the list did not include lithography. According to a report from TechNews, it’s believed that the move to exclude lithography is more of a political consideration aimed at downplaying the impact of US sanctions on China’s local chip manufacturing industry rather than fostering innovation in lithography equipment within China.
Reportedly, Chinese leader Xi Jinping once told the Dutch Prime Minister that China does not need the help from ASML, the world’s leading advanced lithography system manufacturer, to drive its technological development. Currently, Shanghai Micro Electronics (SMEE) and Naura Technology Group in China aim to develop exposure equipment for the first time by April 2024.
However, regarding in the overall semiconductor manufacturing process in China, the production rate of Chinese chip manufacturing equipment is only 20%, with a global market share of less than 1%. In contrast, ASML holds a global market share of 93%.
EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) lithography equipment is crucial for manufacturing next-generation chips. Even if Chinese companies had obtained these devices before US sanctions, they still require ongoing maintenance and support. The US ban has cut off this supply line, meaning the currently used exposure equipment will eventually cease to operate.
Unless China makes significant breakthroughs in the semiconductor lithography equipment industry, it will face many obstacles in advanced processes. Some industry leaders have already urged their companies to focus on traditional chips and 3D packaging rather than attempting to continue with advanced processes.
Currently, many companies are still striving to circumvent Washington’s sanctions. For instance, Huawei is establishing a major research and development center for exposure and wafer fabrication equipment. Yet, per an earlier report from Reuters, Peter Wennink, former CEO of ASML, stated in an interview that the chip war between China and the US will not be resolved anytime soon and could potentially persist for decades.
Other Chinese companies are also exploring open standard technologies like RISC-V. However, given the current situation, it could take China several years, if not decades, of research and development to catch up with mainstream exposure equipment manufacturers.
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(Photo credit: ASML)
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To capitalize on the expanding opportunities in artificial intelligence (AI), electric vehicles (EV), and the carbon reduction market, eight Japanese companies, including Sony and Mitsubishi Electric, plan to invest JPY 5 trillion (around USD 30 billion) in semiconductors. According to a report by Nikkei on July 8, this investment is expected to increase the production of image sensors, power semiconductors, logic semiconductors, and other products.
Reportedly, eight Japanese companies, including Sony, are planning to invest JPY 5 trillion in semiconductors by 2029, driven by the optimistic outlook for the AI and carbon reduction markets. The report compiled by Nikkei surveys the equipment investment plans of eight major Japanese semiconductor manufacturers for the period from 2021 to 2029: Sony, Mitsubishi Electric, Rohm, Toshiba, Kioxia, Renesas, Rapidus, and Fuji Electric.
The report indicates that Sony will invest roughly JPY 1.6 trillion from 2021 to 2026 to increase the production of CMOS image sensors and other products, with plans to build a new factory in Kumamoto Prefecture. Additionally, Japanese manufacturers are expanding the production of power semiconductors in response to the growing AI data center and EV markets.
Toshiba and Rohm plan to invest a combined total of around 380 billion yen to increase production of silicon (Si) and silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductors. Mitsubishi Electric aims to increase its SiC power semiconductor capacity to five times the 2022 level by 2026 and will invest about 100 billion yen to build a new factory in Kumamoto Prefecture. Mitsubishi Electric President Kei Urushima stated that they aim to establish a system capable of competing with its rival Infineon, which is the global leader in the SiC power products.
Reportedly, Japanese semiconductor companies held a 50% global market share in 1988. However, after the 1990s, they lost the competition to Taiwanese and South Korean manufacturers, leading to their withdrawal from advanced process research and development in the early 2000s. By 2017, Japan’s market share had fallen below 10%.
In recent years, the Japanese government has been actively revitalizing the semiconductor industry. In the field of advanced logic semiconductors necessary for AI, the Japanese government has decided to provide up to 920 billion yen in support to Rapidus. Rapidus plans to begin trial production of 2-nanometer chips in April 2025 and commence mass production in 2027.
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(Photo credit: Mitsubishi Electric)
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On July 8, Xiaomi Chairman Lei Jun announced on Weibo that the new generation Xiaomi smartphone smart factory in Changping, Beijing, has officially started operations. According to a report from Economic Daily News, the factory has a total investment of CNY 2.4 billion (roughly USD 330 million) and a construction area of 81,000 square meters, with an annual production capacity of 10 million flagship smartphones. Lei Jun also revealed that the upcoming Xiaomi MIX Fold 4/Flip foldable phones, set to be released this month, will be manufactured at this facility.
This year, Xiaomi has completed two smart factories: the Changping smartphone factory and the Yizhuang automobile factory.
In fact, information about Xiaomi’s new folding phone, the MIX Fold 4, has recently been leaked on Chinese internet platforms. Digital bloggers previously revealed that this phone is powered by Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 chip.
Reportedly, this factory is said to be Xiaomi’s first large-scale self-owned smartphone factory. Its launch marks a crucial milestone in Xiaomi’s smart manufacturing journey.
According to the report, the factory boasts a 96.8% self-developed packaging equipment rate, 100% self-developed factory software rate, and holds over 500 patents. It focuses on producing flagship smartphones and operates 24/7, with a daily production capacity of up to 30,000 smartphones.
For the smartphone production in the first quarter of 2024, TrendForce reports that the global top six manufacturers by production market share were Samsung, Apple, Xiaomi, OPPO, Transsion, and Vivo. Together, these companies accounted for nearly 80% of the market share.
Xiaomi (including Xiaomi, Redmi, and Poco) has moved past last year’s high inventory issues, achieving a total production of 41.1 million units in the first quarter and ranking third globally in market share.
Xiaomi Group Partner and President Lu Weibing revealed that the Changping factory is Xiaomi’s first truly smart factory. Key verifications for the Xiaomi 14 Gulf Blue Limited Edition and the craftsmanship of the Xiaomi 14 Ultra were all carried out here.
On the other hand, per another report from Securities Times, Xiaomi’s automobile factory in Yizhuang, Beijing, started dual-shift production in June, with monthly deliveries exceeding 10,000 vehicles.
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(Photo credit: Xiaomi)
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While driving advances in HBM, foundry, and advanced packaging, AI generative applications also boosted the demand and sales of semiconductor equipment.
Recently, Japanese semiconductor equipment giant DISCO announced that its non-consolidated (individual) shipments for April to June 2024 amounted to JPY 85.7 billion, marking a 50.8% year-on-year increase. The quarterly (individual) shipment surpassed the JPY 78.5 billion from January to March 2024, setting a new record high.
DISCO pointed out that the demand for precision processing equipment related to generative AI remains solid; for consumable-type precision processing tools, the demand remains high, align with the operation rates of customers’ equipment.
Semiconductor equipment refers to specialized equipment used in the production of various types of integrated circuits and discrete semiconductor devices, encompassing various products mainly categorized into front-end process equipment and back-end process equipment.
Front-end process equipment is used in the wafer manufacturing process involving products such as lithography machines, etching equipment, thin film deposition equipment, and CMP equipment.
Back-end process equipment is mainly used in the packaging and testing processes of semiconductor products to ensure product quality and reliability. Representative products include dicing equipment, packaging equipment, testing equipment, and wafer dicing saws, which are used to cut wafers into individual chips for subsequent packaging and testing. DISCO is a leading manufacturer in this segment.
Japanese semiconductor equipment holds a significant position globally, gathering numerous renowned companies such as Tokyo Electron, Advantest, Hitachi High-Tech, Nikon, and DISCO.
With the AI boom, the industry believes that sales of Japanese semiconductor equipment will continue to climb up. The Semiconductor Equipment Association of Japan (SEAJ) forecasts that Japan’s semiconductor equipment sales is expected to exceed JPY 4 trillion for the first time in 2024, representing a 15% annual increase, which is projected to surpass JPY 5 trillion by 2026.
This growth is primarily benefited from the increasing demand for AI-driven GPU and HBM. In May 2024, Japanese semiconductor equipment sales surged by 27% YoY, continuing to grow and setting new monthly records.
China’s semiconductor equipment market is also enjoying robust growth driven by favorable factors like AI. Recently, data jointly released by the Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI) and SEAJ indicated that in the first quarter of 2024, global semiconductor equipment sales totaled USD 26.4 billion, down 2% YoY and 6% QoQ, which was dragged down by the sluggish demand in some markets.
Despite the headwind globally, China’s sales reached USD 12.52 billion in the first quarter, up by 113% YoY, maintaining its position as the world’s largest semiconductor equipment market for the fourth consecutive quarter.
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(Photo credit: TEL)
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As the demand for AI chips surges, orders for thermal compression (TC) bonders, which play a critical role in HBM (high-bandwidth memory) manufacturing, are also heating up.
To further gain market momentum, South Korean chip packaging equipment manufacturer Hanmi Semiconductor plans to launch 2.5D big die TC bonder models in the second half of 2024, while increasing its annual sales target for this year to 650 billion won (USD 471 million), according to the latest report by the Korea Economic Daily.
Citing Kwak Dong-shin, vice chairman and CEO of Hanmi Semiconductor, the report notes that the company eyes strong revenue growth in the next two years, projecting 1.2 trillion won (USD 870 million) in sales for 2025, and 2 trillion won (USD 1.45 billion) for 2026.
TC bonders play a pivotal role in HBM production by employing thermal compression to bond and stack chips on processed wafers, thereby significantly influencing HBM yield. According to the report, Hanmi plans to introduce several upgraded models in the next two years, including 2.5D big die TC bonders in the second half of this year, mild hybrid bonders in the latter half of 2025, and hybrid bonders in 2026.
Memory giants have developed their own ecosystems to secure TC bonders’ supply. The report notes that Hanmi has been providing its TC bonders to SK hynix, while the latter is a major HBM supplier to Nvidia. In addition, the company also entered into a 22.6 billion won agreement with Micron in April.
Whether in the near future, Hanmi Semicodutor would be able to finalize similar contracts with Samsung, another memory heavyweight, remains to be seen. For now, Samsung sources its equipment from Japan’s Toray and Sinkawa, as well as its subsidiary SEMES.
Hanmi Semiconductor produces TC bonders at its six factories located in Incheon, where its headquarters are situated. The report indicates that it aims to increase the capacity of its newest, the sixth factory from 264 units of TC bonders annually this year to 420 units next year, which makes it the largest annual capacity for TC bonder producers worldwide.
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(Photo credit: Hanmi Semicondutor)