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2024-03-27

[News] Continued Slump in iPhone Demand in China – February Shipments Reportedly Plunge by 33%

In the Chinese market, demand for Apple’s iPhone continues to falter, with Bloomberg reporting a significant 33% drop in iPhone shipments in February compared to the same month last year. As per Bloomberg’s report on March 26th, despite China remains Apple’s most crucial overseas market, iPhone demand in China has remained consistently low.

According to official data cited in the report, iPhone shipments in the Chinese market have plummeted by 33% in February compared to the same period last year, marking the second consecutive month of decline. Influenced by the later timing of the Lunar New Year compared to 2023, overseas smartphone shipments in February were said to be only around 2.4 million units, with iPhones accounting for a significant portion.

Apple is reportedly the only overseas manufacturer with a substantial market share in China. Data from the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT) shows that iPhone shipments in January were approximately 5.5 million units, marking a significant 39% decline compared to the same month last year.

Still, a report from The Wall Street Journal on March 22 has highlighted that intensified competition with Chinese manufacturers like Huawei has led to tough sales competition for Apple’s iPhone in China.

Thus, the same report from Wall Street Journal indicated that Apple is in talks with Baidu to potentially integrate Baidu’s generative AI services into its own products, including iPhones, for the Chinese market. While the agreement is still in its early stages, incorporating a Chinese version of AI could potentially give Apple a competitive edge in the Chinese market.

In China, obtaining approval from relevant authorities is necessary before offering generative AI services to general consumers. Currently, AI services from companies such as Baidu and Alibaba have received approval. Additionally, although Apple is considering using Google’s generative AI service “Gemini” on iPhones, “Gemini” has not yet obtained permission for use in China.

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(Photo credit: Apple)

Please note that this article cites information from Bloomberg and The Wall Street Journal.

2024-03-27

[News] SK Hynix Reportedly Plans to Invest USD 4 Billion in Advanced Packaging Fab in Indiana

SK Hynix is rumored planning to build an advanced packaging fab worth USD 4 billion in West Lafayette, Indiana. According to a report from The Wall Street Journal, it is expected to commence operations by 2028, creating up to 1,000 job opportunities. This initiative may receive support in the form of state and federal tax incentives.

As reported by The Wall Street Journal and Tom’s Hardware, SK Hynix’s investment aims to enhance its capabilities in advanced semiconductor packaging, with a particular emphasis on manufacturing High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM).

Considering a potential capital expenditure of USD 4 billion for the construction, per Tom’s Hardware, if the project proceeds, it will become one of the largest advanced packaging facilities globally. Hence, government support is crucial, with expectations of tax incentives from both state and federal levels in the US.

SK Hynix, a supplier of HBM memory for NVIDIA, is eyeing enhanced capabilities in advanced chip packaging, particularly crucial for manufacturing HBM. The recent NVIDIA Blackwell B200, with each GPU utilizing 8 HBM3e chips, has also underscored SK Hynix’s role in the critical components supply chain for the AI industry.

The recent CHIPS and Science Act allocated USD 8.5 billion to Intel, enhancing US semiconductor competitiveness. SK Hynix’s plan to build a fab in Indiana is a significant stride, fostering US semiconductor growth.

However, US subsidies for chip manufacturing and packaging have been slow, with only three American companies currently benefiting, including BAE Systems, GlobalFoundries, and Microchip Technology.

Reportedly, SK Hynix’s plan remains more of an intention statement than a finalized deal, and whether it proceeds to the construction phase remains to be seen.

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(Photo credit: SK Hynix)

Please note that this article cites information from The Wall Street Journal and Tom’s Hardware.

2024-03-27

[Insights] DRAM and NAND Flash Spot Prices Drop as Demand Weakens

DRAM Spot Market:

DRAM spot prices continue to fall as channel demand has been tepid. Furthermore, the decline has become sharper recently for both DDR4 and DDR5 products. At the same time, spot traders who previously accumulated stockpiles are now eager to sell because the overall demand outlook is not particularly positive. Hence, spot prices, on the whole, are weakening. The average spot price of mainstream chips (i.e., DDR4 1Gx8 2666MT/s) fell by 0.77% from US$1.936 last week to US$1.921 this week.

NAND Flash Spot Market:

Continuing from last week, spot prices are lingering at an amplified degree of declination under the persistently sluggish demand from the channel market, though at a slightly lighter sales pressure compared to that of DRAM. For 512Gb wafers, concluded prices are sitting on about US$3.9, which are lower than contract prices, and indicate the yet-to-be recovered level of consumer demand. 512Gb TLC wafer spots have dropped by 1.98% this week, arriving at US$3.764.

2024-03-27

[News] China Imports 32 Lithography Systems in 2 Months, Shanghai and Beijing Top Buyers

Despite Western chip equipment export bans, China reportedly has imported 32 lithography systems from the Netherlands in Jan-Feb 2024, marking a 256.1% YoY growth.

According to China Customs data, Jan-Feb 2024 imports from the Netherlands totaled USD 1.057 billion, up 256.1% YoY, but down 44.8% QoQ, with 32 systems imported. January saw USD 666 million imports, up 522% YoY, down 41% QoQ, with 20 systems; February recorded USD 390 million imports, up 105.9% YoY, down 41.4% QoQ, with 12 systems.

From the data, it’s evident that in 2024, China’s imports of lithography systems from the Netherlands saw significant growth compared to the same period last year, but a noticeable decline from the previous quarter. In the first two months, China’s imports of exposure machines from the Netherlands decreased by 44.8% compared to December last year.

Per a report from IJIWEI, the average price of lithography systems imported from the Netherlands to China has increased from USD 10 million per unit since May last year to USD 30 million per unit. As of the first two months of 2024, the average price remains above USD 30 million.

According to a report by China’s Media outlet ICsmart, in terms of imports based on domestic registration locations, from January to February 2024, a total of 9 provinces and cities imported lithography systems. The top 5 importers were Shanghai (USD 303 million), Beijing (USD 145 million), Shandong (USD 131 million), Sichuan (USD 131 million), and Guangdong (USD 117 million), accounting for 28.7%, 13.8%, 12.4%, 12.4%, and 11.1% respectively, totaling 78.4%.

In June 2023, the Netherlands announced restrictions on the export of chip manufacturing equipment. According to relevant export regulations, it became difficult for Chinese companies to obtain export licenses starting from January 1, 2024.

Thus, since the second half of 2023, there has been explosive growth in the amount of exposure machines imported from the Netherlands. As per a previous report from South China Morning Post, in November 2023, China witnessed a remarkable 1050% surge in the import value of crucial chip manufacturing lithography equipment from the Netherlands.

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(Photo credit: ASML)

Please note that this article cites information from IJIWEIICsmart and South China Morning Post.

2024-03-27

[News] AMD CEO Lisa Su Identifies AI as the “Most Revolutionary Tech in 50 Years”

In an interview with Chinese media Sina, Lisa Su, CEO of AMD, emphasized that AI is the most revolutionary technology in the past 50 years. She believes that AI-powered PCs will play a crucial role in driving the growth of the PC market this year.

Su led AMD’s AI PC Innovation Summit in Beijing last week, showcasing the development momentum within China’s AI PC ecosystem. She shared these insights during interviews with Sina, which was then published on March 26th.

Lisa Su asserts that AI is propelling a revolution, marking the most transformative technology in nearly 50 years, swiftly reshaping all facets of the tech industry. From data centers to AI-powered PCs and edge computing, AMD is excited about the opportunities presented by this new era of computing.

Su emphasizes that PCs serve as the daily tools for users to interact with AI through personalized experiences. Leveraging Ryzen AI’s leading edge and extensive ecosystem partnerships, AMD aims to deliver seamless AI experiences from the cloud to the PC.

Lisa Su acknowledges that the global PC market saw a decline post-pandemic, but anticipates some level of growth this year, driven by AI-powered PCs prompting consumers to upgrade their devices.

She believes that while most AI PCs currently target the high-end segment, over time, they are expected to penetrate every price range.

Regarding the applications of AI PCs, Su finds communication, productivity, and creativity particularly exciting. Many applications are still in their early stages, but she expects to see more developments in the coming years.

Lisa Su also mentioned a compelling incentive for people to upgrade to AI PCs: increased efficiency. She posed a question to the media, asking if users would be willing to purchase an AI PC if it could save them 5 hours of work per week. In her view, “everyone’s answer would be YES.”

AMD is strategically positioning itself in the AI market. In December last year, it announced that its accelerated processing unit (APU) MI300A had entered mass production, while the AI accelerator GPU MI300X had begun shipping. Meanwhile, its new Ryzen 8040 series laptop processors have also hit the market, aiming to capture the AI PC market.

To deliver AI experience on PCs, AMD utilizes three computing engines: CPU based on Zen architecture, GPU based on RDNA architecture, and the XDNA-based AI engine, also known as the Neural Processing Unit (NPU). Additionally, its Ryzen 8040 series processors offer leading-edge computing and AI experiences. By the end of this year, the company plans to engage over 150 independent software vendors in developing for Ryzen AI.

TrendForce previously issued an analysis in a press release, indicating that the AI PC market is propelled by two key drivers: Firstly, demand for terminal applications, mainly dominated by Microsoft through its Windows OS and Office suite, is a significant factor. Microsoft is poised to integrate Copilot into the next generation of Windows, making Copilot a fundamental requirement for AI PCs.

Secondly, Intel, as a leading CPU manufacturer, is advocating for AI PCs that combine CPU, GPU, and NPU architectures to enable a variety of terminal AI applications.

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(Photo credit: AMD)

Please note that this article cites information from Sina.

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