Amid market rumors that the Beijing authority has been advising local companies not to use NVIDIA’s H20, which is tailored for the Chinese market, tech conglomerate Huawei is said to initiate sampling of its latest AI accelerator, Ascend 910C, to Chinese customers, according to reports by the South China Morning Post and Tom’s Hardware.

According to the South China Morning Post, large Chinese server companies and internet firms have received the samples of the Ascend 910C, which is regarded as an upgraded version of the Ascend 910B.

Sources cited by a previous report of the Wall Street Journal noted that TikTok’s parent company ByteDance, search giant Baidu, and state-owned telecom operator China Mobile are in preliminary talks with Huawei to secure the Ascend 910C chip.

Citing remarks from Eric Xu, Huawei’s Rotating Chairman, the South China Morning Post indicates that as the AI chips embargo launched by the U.S. is unlikely to be lifted soon, the scenario gives Huawei an opportunity to step in.

Huawei’s Ascend 910B, which the company claims to rival NVIDIA’s A100, has been popular among multiple industries across the country for AI model training. According to the report by the South China Morning Post, the tech giant’s Ascend solutions were used to train roughly half of more than 70 of China’s top large language models as of last year.

According to the report, NVIDIA is projected to ship over 1 million H20 GPUs to China this year, generating around USD 12 billion in revenue. Initially, demand for the H20 was sluggish, but sales have steadily gained momentum in recent months.

In terms of the upcoming Ascend 910C, Tom’s Hardware notes that it may reportedly sell for roughly USD 2 billion together this year, as the launch time would probably fall in the fourth quarter.

However, it is worth noting that Huawei also stands to gain by locking Chinese companies into its Ascend 910C hardware-software ecosystem, the South China Morning Post suggests. Citing a server company employee, the report states that if a firm buys Huawei’s AI chips, it may also need to purchase other offerings, like network and storage solutions, which might cause some hesitation.

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(Photo credit: Huawei)

Japanese government-backed foundry Rapidus aims to begin mass production of 2nm chips by 2027. According to a MoneyDJ report, existing shareholders like Sony and NAND Flash giant Kioxia are reportedly considering additional investments to support the company’s funding needs.

The Japan Times cited sources confirming that Sony and other current investors will provide further financial backing for Rapidus, which is focused on domestic production of next-generation semiconductors. These investments will be coordinated with financial institutions and the central government to help the Tokyo-based firm secure the necessary capital to start production by 2027.

Rapidus is aiming to raise ¥100 billion from the private sector and asked shareholders to confirm additional contributions, with a response deadline set for Friday.

Investors in Rapidus include Sony Group, NEC, NTT, Kioxia, MUFG Bank, Toyota, SoftBank, and Denso, with combined investments totaling ¥7.3 billion. Sony, NEC, NTT, and MUFG Bank are expected to participate in the additional funding round.

In the financial sector, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking, Mizuho Bank, and the Development Bank of Japan are also considering becoming new shareholders, with combined investments from these three lenders and MUFG Bank expected to reach ¥25 billion. The additional funding from both financial and non-financial companies is likely to begin as early as 2025.

In August, 2023, PSMC announced its partnership with Japan’s SBI to construct a chipmaking plant in Japan. However, the plan has been halted last Friday, with reports indicating that PSMC’s deteriorating financial performance may be the reason. However, the Taiwan chipmaker refuted the speculation, claiming the termination of the fab is not related to its financial status, according to a report by CNA.

PSMC (Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp) explained that its collaboration with SBI follows the Fab IP model, in which the former provides consulting for the factory establishment, personnel training, and technology transfer, charging service fees and royalties to its Japanese partner, the report noted. Therefore, Powerchip has no plans to invest in or lead the operations of the new factory.

Citing the remarks by PSMC, the report notes that the company’s board has confirmed the halt of the collaboration plan, and has sent personnel to the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) in Japan to explain the situation, while notifying SBI Holdings in the meantime.

According to a previous report by Nikkei, PSMC informed SBI Holdings last Friday that it was not willing to assume the risks linked to the project. As a result, the two companies will dissolve their partnership aimed at constructing the facility in Miyagi Prefecture in northeastern Japan. However, SBI stated that it plans to carry out the project by finding new partners.

The factory is originally expected to begin mass production by 2027, focusing on automotive semiconductors, with the total planned investment amounting to ¥800 billion, according to Nikkei.

Nikkei notes that PSMC has been struggling with mature nodes due to the oversupply from Chinese firms, resulting in operating losses for five consecutive quarters from April to June 2024.

It is interesting to note that this decision comes after PSMC’s announcement on Thursday that it will provide technology for a chip plant to be built in India by Tata Group, one of the country’s largest conglomerates.

The company announced on the 26th that it has signed a definitive agreement with Tata Electronics in New Delhi to collaborate on building India’s first 12-inch wafer fab in Dholera, Gujarat. PSMC will transfer mature process technologies and train local employees as part of the partnership.

According to PSMC, the USD 11 billion facility, with a monthly capacity of 50,000 wafers, is expected to create over 20,000 high-tech jobs in the region.

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• [News] PSMC’s Frank Huang Explores Global Expansion through Fab IP, Diverging from TSMC’s Path
• [News] PSMC and Tata Electronics Finalize Partnership on 12-Inch Wafer Fab

(Photo credit: PSMC)

Last week, the People’s Bank of China introduced significant easing measures targeting interest rates, the real estate market, and the stock market, leading to a nearly 16% rebound in the CSI 300 Index from its low. Meanwhile, although the S&P 500 had already priced in the Federal Reserve’s 50 basis point rate cut, it continued to hit record highs, buoyed by ongoing gains in tech stocks. In the bond market, the yield spread between the U.S. 10-year and 2-year Treasuries remained steady at around 20 basis points. The U.S. Dollar Index continued its downward trend, consolidating around 100.

Key Economic Data Review for Last Week:

U.S. PCE: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for August increased by 2.2% year-over-year (previously 2.5%) and 0.1% month-over-month (previously 0.2%). The decline in PCE growth was mainly due to falling goods prices, which saw a year-over-year decrease of -0.9% (previously -0.2%), while services prices remained steady with a year-over-year increase of 3.7%. Excluding food and energy, core PCE rose by 2.7% year-over-year, a slight increase from the previous month’s 2.6%.

Read more at Datatrack

China Industrial Enterprises Total Profits: China Industrial Enterprises Total Profits fell by 17.8% year-over-year in August, a sharper decline from July’s 4.1% drop, marking the largest decrease this year. High-tech manufacturing profits, the largest contributor, declined in August, with cumulative year-over-year growth for January to August standing at 10.9% (previously 12.8%). Additionally, profits in mining and consumer goods manufacturing continued to fall due to weak demand, further exacerbating the downward pressure on overall industrial profits.

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Australia Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept interest rates unchanged in its September meeting. The meeting statement indicated that restrictive financial conditions are slowing the economy. While household consumption is expected to rebound in the second half, if the recovery pace falls short of expectations, economic output may remain weak, leading to further slack in the labor market. The RBA also noted that recent data has heightened inflationary risks, and inflation is now expected to return to the target range by the end of 2025 (previously mid-2025).

Read more at Datatrack

Key Data to Watch This Week:

China PMI (September 30): China’s August Manufacturing PMI was 49.1 (previously 49.5), marking the fourth consecutive month of contraction. Nearly all sub-indices declined in August, remaining in contraction territory. Given the still-weak domestic demand and the incomplete impact of monetary policies, the market expects the September PMI to hold steady around 49.5.

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U.S. ISM PMI (October 1): The U.S. Manufacturing PMI for August was 47.2 (previously 47.4). New orders and production indices fell to 44.6 (previously 47.4) and 44.8 (previously 45.9), continuing to reflect the restrictive financial conditions and uncertainties surrounding the presidential election, which have dampened corporate investment. The market expects manufacturing to exhibit uneven recovery, with the September PMI to remain around 47.6.

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U.S. ISM NMI (October 3): The Non-Manufacturing PMI (NMI) for August was 51.5 (previously 51.4). Despite declines in business activity and employment indices, all indices remained in expansionary territory, indicating overall healthy growth in the services sector. With the U.S. holiday season approaching, the market expects the September NMI to hold steady around 51.5, continuing a trend of moderate growth.

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U.S. Employment Situation (October 4): The U.S. unemployment rate for August was 4.2% (previously 4.3%), remaining near historic lows, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 142,000, within the safe range of 100,000 to 200,000. Additionally, recent initial jobless claims have stopped rising, indicating a slowdown in labor market weakening. Moving forward, it will be important to monitor whether the job market can maintain its current state without deteriorating following the Fed’s rate cuts. The market currently expects the September unemployment rate to stay at 4.2%, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by around 140,000.

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Rumors have been circulating that NVIDIA has stopped taking orders for its H20 chips customized for China since August. Now, according to the latest report by Bloomberg, regulators in China have been advising companies against buying H20, as part of the country’s strategy to bolster its semiconductor industry and respond to further US sanctions.

As the initiative aims to boost the market share of domestic Chinese AI chip manufacturers, Huawei and Cambricon Technologies, which are leading AI processor makers in China, may turn out to be the major beneficiaries, Bloomberg suggests.

Beijing’s approach has been more of a guideline than a strict prohibition, as the authority still hopes to support its own AI startups, the report notes.

However, it is indicated that in recent months, several Chinese regulators, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, did issue the so-called “window guidance”—informal instructions that lack legal authority—to minimize the use of NVIDIA.

It is worth noting that China has a thriving AI sector amid US restrictions. Major tech player like ByteDance and Alibaba are making significant investments, while numerous startups are vying for dominance. According to an earlier report by The Information, it is rumored that ByteDance has ordered over 200,000 NVIDIA H20 chips this year for AI model training, costing it over USD 2 billion.

In addition, there are six rising stars in the country’s development of large language models, which are crucial for generative AI, including 01.AI, Baichuan, Moonshot, MiniMax, Stepfun, and Zhipu, Bloomberg notes.

According to Bloomberg, some companies are disregarding the Chinese directive to avoid H20 chips, hastily acquiring more before a potential US sanction by the end of the year. However, they are also purchasing domestic Huawei chips to appease Beijing.

As early as in 2022, the US government prohibited NVIDIA from selling its most advanced AI processors to Chinese clients to curb Beijing’s technological progress. In response, the AI chip giant launched a series of AI chips tailored for the Chinese market, including H20, L20 and L2. According to a previous report by Wccftech, H20 GPU has 41% fewer Cores and 28% lower performance versus H100.

NVIDIA declined to comment to Bloomberg’s report, neither did China’s Ministry of Commerce, Ministry of Information and Technology, and Cyberspace Administration respond, Bloomberg notes.

In a separate statement, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang noted in an interview with Bloomberg Television that he is focused on serving customers in China while adhering to US government restrictions.

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• [News] Nvidia’s Custom H20 Chip for China Reportedly Halted

(Photo credit: NVIDIA)