China’s CPI recorded positive growth for the seventh consecutive month, rising by 0.6% year-on-year in August, up from 0.5% in the previous month, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics on September 9. However, the CPI is still below market expectations of 0.7%.

This rise was mainly driven by continuous increases in food prices driven by high temperatures and heavy rainfall, which surged by 2.8% (previously 0%), contributing 0.51 percentage points to the overall CPI growth.

However, non-food prices fell from 0.7% in July to 0.4%, and core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose by only 0.3%, down from 0.4% in the prior month. August’s PPI reflected similar trends, with China’s PPI declining by 1.8% year-on-year, widening from a 0.8% drop in July. This marks the 23rd consecutive month of contraction, highlighting weak domestic demand and increasing deflationary risks.

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Recently, the 54th “Statistical Report on China’s Internet Development” was released. In the first half of the year, generative artificial intelligence (AI) continued to be a global technology hotspot, and China’s AI industry has gradually entered a period of fast development. “AI+” continues to empower industrial upgrading, contributing to the acceleration of new productivity development and the deep advancement of new industrialization.

Data shows that the market size of China’s core AI industry has approached CNY 600 billion, with more than 4,500 AI companies, and the computing power ranks second globally.

On September 8, Vice Minister and Deputy China International Trade Representative Ling Ji explained that Chinese AI companies account for about 1/7 of the global total.

Meanwhile, AI products have gained significant recognition and use among China’s vast internet user base. The report surveyed the usage of generative AI products, showing that by June 2024, the penetration rate of AI, particularly large models, reached 16.4%.

Moreover, the “National Artificial Intelligence Industry Comprehensive Standardization System Construction Guide (2024 Edition)” , jointly issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Office of the Central Cyberspace Affairs Commission, the National Development and Reform Commission, and the State Administration for Market Regulation, was officially released.

The guide is regarded as a key document for the formation of China’s standard system to drive the development of the AI industry.

The guide points out that by 2026, the level of integration between standards and technological innovation in the industry will continue to improve, with more than 50 new national and industry standards being developed, accelerating the formation of a standard system that promotes the high-quality development of the AI industry.

More than 1,000 companies will participate in the promotion and implementation of these standards, with the effect of standards on corporate innovation becoming more prominent. China will also participate in the development of more than 20 international standards, promoting the globalization of the AI industry.

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(Photo credit: pixabay)

Grappling with a series of operational challenges, Intel has been weighing options to stem losses, with cost reduction being one of its major focus. Under this scenario, the decisions the semiconductor giant has made include slashing 15% of its workforce and the cancellation of its 20A process, which can help avoiding the significant capital expenditures needed to scale the node to full production.

In addition to the aforementioned moves, rumors have been circulating regarding the progress of Intel’s global expansion, hinting that the projects at Germany and Penang might be put on hold. Moreover, though granted with USD 8.5 billion in grants and USD 11 billion in loans under the Chips and Science Act, the company has not yet received any money from the U.S. authority, raising concerns on the feasibility of its ongoing Arizona and Ohio projects.

Here is a roundup of Intel’s major expansion projects which have been reportedly delayed, scaling down, or put on hold recently, as cost considerations may be the primary reason.

Accompanied by construction crews on Oct. 12, 2023, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger toured the company’s two new fabrication plants being built in Chandler, Arizona. (Credit: Intel)

US: Ohio Delayed for 2 Years, with Mass Production Expected in 2027-28

Intel plans to invest USD 100 billion over the next five years in new fabs and expansions across Arizona, New Mexico, Ohio, and Oregon, creating 10,000 manufacturing jobs and 20,000 construction jobs.

However, according to a previous report by The Register, the construction of Intel’s two fabs in Arizona has progressed more slowly than anticipated. Rising costs for materials and labor, combined with a surge in investments in the state, have resulted in a shortage of workers.

Citing Nikkei, the report notes that the cost of constructing a plant in Arizona is now four to five times higher than in other regions, such as Asia, and several times more than the initial budget Intel had anticipated.

The semiconductor giant’s Fab 52 and Fab 62 in Arizona are previously scheduled to be completed in 2024. However, The Register notes that the schedule may be delayed a bit, as the fabs are likely to begin operations later this year or in early 2025, targeting to manufacture chips using Intel’s next-generation Angstrom-era process technology, including the 18A node.

The 20 billion project in Ohio, on the other hand, may be facing larger obstacles as Intel has delayed the plan due to market downturns and delays in U.S. subsidies.

With an initial plan to begin chip manufacturing in Ohio in 2025, the company has now postponed the pipeline, aiming to complete the two fabs in 2026–2027, with operations expected to commence around 2027–2028.

EMEA: Hard-hit Area as Investments on Hold in Israel, France and Italy

The situation is not too optimistic in Europe, neither. According to a report from global media outlet Volksstimme, the construction of Intel’s Fab 29.1 and Fab 29.2 near Magdeburg, Germany, which may totaling 30 billion euros, has been postponed due to pending approval of EU subsidies and the need to remove and reuse black soil. The date of commencement has been pushed from summer 2024 to May 2025.

It is reported that Intel’s fabs in Germany were originally scheduled to start operations by late 2027 and were expected to employ advanced manufacturing processes, potentially Intel 14A (1.4nm) and Intel 10A (1nm) nodes. However, Intel now estimates that it will take four to five years to build these plants, and production is expected to commence between 2029 and 2030.

In addition, earlier in June, the struggling semiconductor giant also put a halt to the expansion of a major factory project in Israel, which was set to invest an additional USD 15 billion in a new chip plant, according to The Times of Israel.

In December, Intel had announced plans to increase its investment in the chip manufacturing plant in Kiryat Gat, from USD 10 billion to USD 25 billion, in order to secure a USD 3.2 billion grant from the Israeli government. However, it has now suspended the plan, suggesting that “managing large-scale projects, especially in our industry, often involves adapting to changing timelines,” the report states.

It is also worth noting that Intel tends to scale down on its production in the EMEA area, as in June, the company announced the sale of a 49% stake in its plant in Leixlip, Ireland, to Apollo Global Management for USD 11 billion, securing more external funding for usage.

Another report by POLITICO in July also notes that the U.S. semiconductor giant has discreetly suspended several investment plans in Europe after incurring significant losses, dealing a setback to Europe’s push to produce more microchips.

In 2022, Intel announced an initial investment of over €33 billion for R&D and Manufacturing in EU, targeting countries including France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Poland and Spain. However, the report suggests that the promised investments for France and Italy, valued at billions of euros and potentially creating thousands of jobs, will be put on hold for now.

Asia: New Packaging Project in Malaysia Suspended

The latest of Intel’s moves on halting its global expansion would probably be the cancellation of its new chip packaging and testing project in Penang as part of cost-cutting efforts, while the operations of existing facilities will remain unaffected.

The U.S. chip giant had announced three years ago that it would invest approximately USD 7 billion to build new chip packaging and testing facilities in Malaysia, looking to make the site its largest overseas packaging and testing base. Per a report by Malaysia media outlet The Star, Intel employs around 14,000 people in Malaysia, meaning over 2,000 local employees may face the risk of job loss.

Would the series of emergency measures taken by the struggling giant stem the bleeding? Or would these moves more like a cornered beast fighting out of its way? The only thing for sure now may be that Intel would have a pretty different look after the upcoming board meeting in mid-September.

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Apple is set to unveil the highly anticipated iPhone 16 on September 9, with many expecting that the AI platform “Apple Intelligence” will spark a supercycle in iPhone 16 sales. However, Bloomberg suggests that the slow rollout of Apple Intelligence may make such a supercycle unlikely.

The report notes that while Apple Intelligence will be a major highlight of the iPhone 16 launch, a more refined version might not be available for some time. The initial release is expected to lack several features, including ChatGPT. Additionally, Apple Intelligence will not be launched in the EU (including Italy, France, Spain, Sweden, Germany) or China.

Even if Apple successfully convinces consumers to adopt its AI platform, reportedly, Apple Intelligence will not be available with the iPhone 16 at launch. It is expected to roll out with the iOS 18.1 update in October.

Furthermore, ChatGPT integration is scheduled for later this year, and significant new features for Siri will not be available until next year, as Apple has also decided to delay the release of its latest image generation features to the iOS 18.2 update in December, rather than in iOS 18.1.

With many features expected to be introduced gradually, the AI platform may not be sufficient to drive a large-scale upgrade cycle this year. For these reasons, the report believes that the iPhone 17, slated for next fall, is more likely to generate a supercycle.

According to Apple’s official website, Apple Intelligence will only support devices with the built-in M1 or newer processors (such as iPad Air, iPad Pro, and Mac), as well as the 2023 iPhone 15 Pro Max and iPhone 15 Pro, but not the entry-level iPhone 15.

For the first quarter this year, TrendForce reported that Apple faced a decline in sales in the Chinese market, resulting in a drop in annual production to 47.9 million units.

This decline prompted several adjustments within the component supply chain, although production plans for processor chips remained unchanged. TrendForce posits that the second quarter falls within a product iteration gap for Apple, and production is expected to decrease by approximately 10%.

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(Photo credit: Apple)

Despite U.S. export controls aimed at preventing Chinese companies from acquiring advanced AI chips, small cloud service providers in China have reportedly found ways to obtain NVIDIA’s A100 and H100 chips. The cost of renting cloud services in China is even lower than in the U.S.

According to a report from the Financial Times, four small-scale Chinese cloud providers are offering servers equipped with eight A100 chips each, charging around USD 6 per hour. In comparison, similar services from U.S. cloud providers cost approximately USD 10 per hour.

As Chinese companies are reportedly bypassing U.S. export controls, industry sources cited by the Financial Times have further noted that the lower prices in China may hint at a robust local supply of NVIDIA chips.

Since the fall of 2022, the U.S. has banned NVIDIA from supplying A100 chips to China, and the more powerful H100 chips have not been approved for sale there.

However, industry sources and startups have revealed that these chips are still available in China. Ads for A100 and H100 have appeared on social media platforms like Xiaohongshu and e-commerce sites such as Taobao, with prices higher than those abroad.

At the Huaqiangbei electronics market in Shenzhen, reportedly, industry sources have revealed that the price of NVIDIA’s H100 is quoted at USD 23,000 to USD 30,000, while Chinese online sellers list it at USD 31,000 to USD 33,000.

Meanwhile, larger Chinese cloud providers such as Alibaba and ByteDance emphasize service stability and security in the local market. For servers equipped with A100 chips, they charge two to four times more than smaller cloud providers.

According to another source cited by Financial Times, large companies must consider regulatory compliance, which puts them at a disadvantage because they are reluctant to use smuggled chips. In contrast, smaller providers are less concerned.

The same report also indicate that after the US government tightened export controls in October last year, servers from Supermicro equipped with eight H100 chips were priced as high as approximately CNY 3.2 million. However, as supply constraints eased, the price has dropped to around CNY 2.5 million.

Several sources cited by the report claim that merchants from Malaysia, Japan, and Indonesia frequently ship Supermicro servers or NVIDIA chips to Hong Kong, from where they are then transported to Shenzhen.

In response to these issues, NVIDIA reportedly stated that it primarily sells chips to well-known partners, ensuring that all sales comply with U.S. export regulations.

NVIDIA also mentioned that its used products can be obtained through various channels and, although they cannot track products after sale, they will take appropriate action if they determine a customer is violating U.S. export controls.

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(Photo credit: iStock)