As per a report from Bloomberg citing sources, it’s pointed out that TSMC’s first US fab in Arizona began producing engineering wafers using the 4nm process in April, with yields reportedly comparable to those manufactured in its Southern Taiwan Science Park facility, showing promise in meeting its targets.

Addressing on the matter, TSMC reportedly stated that the project is proceeding as planned and is making good progress, without further commenting on the yield.

TSMC plans to build three plants in Arizona, each with cleanroom spaces twice the size of typical logic fabs in the industry. The first fab is expected to begin mass production in the first half of 2025.

TSMC’s second fab in Arizona will use 2nm process technology to meet strong AI-related demand, with production expected to begin in 2028. The third fab will employ 2nm or even more advanced process.

TSMC stated that once the fabs are fully operational, they will deliver the same level of manufacturing quality and reliability in Arizona as is provided in its Taiwan facilities.

The U.S. government officially announced in April that it will provide a USD 6.6 billion subsidy to TSMC, and confirmed that TSMC will build its third fab in Arizona, USA, with total investment rising to USD 65 billion.

Read more

• [News] TSMC’s Kumamoto Fab Influence Expands, Economic Spillover Effect Expected to Exceed JPY 10 Trillion
• [News] TSMC Receives USD 6.6 Billion for Chipmaking from the US Government, Commits to Constructing Third Fab

(Photo credit: TSMC)

Intel has outsourced the production of its Lunar Lake processors to TSMC. According to a report from Commercial Times, due to recent setbacks in Intel’s wafer foundry business, the company has decided to outsource all sub-3nm process manufacturing to TSMC.

The company is also said to be implementing a global 15% workforce reduction plan in an effort to reverse its decline. However, industry sources also reveal that the layoffs are primarily targeting the foundry business, while Intel’s Taiwan branch remains unaffected to maintain production partnerships with local chip manufacturers.

Intel remains committed to its wafer foundry business, as it reportedly released the 18A process design kit (PDK) to IC manufacturers in July.

However, recent reports indicate that Broadcom has expressed concerns about the feasibility of Intel’s 18A process, concluding that it is not suitable for mass production. A Broadcom spokesperson cited by the report has indicated that it is currently evaluating Intel Foundry Services’ products and services, though no final assessment has been reached yet.

Industry sources cited by Commercial Times further note that Broadcom has been collaborating with TSMC for many years, particularly in advanced processes below 7nm, positioning itself as a key player and securing a spot among TSMC’s top ten customers.

Looking at Intel’s latest quarterly report, its foundry business posted a loss of USD 2.8 billion, with an operating profit margin of -65.5%. The company acknowledged that the ongoing expansion of its Intel 4 and Intel 3 facilities in Ireland, along with increased R&D and startup costs for advancing its technology development, will impact profitability.

This has thus underscored the significant challenges Intel faced in achieving both technological breakthroughs and mass production in the semiconductor industry.

Intel is cutting costs and driving efficiency while actively pursuing transformation. The company aims to save USD 10 billion by 2025, even halted dividend payments—a move not seen in 30 years.

Additionally, its global expansion efforts have slowed. As per a recent report from Malaysian media outlet The Star, citing informed sources, it’s reported that Intel will temporarily halt its new chip packaging and testing project in Penang as part of cost-cutting efforts.

Read more

• [News] Amidst Rumors of Germany Plant Delay, Intel’s Penang Project Also Reportedly on Hold
• [News] Intel’s 18A Reportedly Runs into Trouble with Broadcom, while 20A Plan on Arrow Lake Cancelled

(Photo credit: Intel)

In late August, it is said that the Netherlands mulls to ban ASML, the country’s semiconductor equipment giant, from conducting equipment maintenance and providing related backup components in China. Now the latest regulation has been revealed, as the Dutch government announced last Friday the expansion of export restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment, which covers two of ASML’s DUV immersion lithography systems, according to a report by CNBC.

The new export control rule, which took effect on September 7^th, indicates that ASML will now have to apply for licenses with the Hague rather than the US authority for some of its machines, as the Dutch government regards these curbs as a critical measure for national security, and attempts to gradually take the initiative rather than following the U.S., a report by Bloomberg notes.

According to the official announcement made by ASML, the new rule will require its TWINSCAN NXT:1970i and 1980i DUV immersion lithography systems to obtain a license from the Dutch government before being exported. The Dutch export license requirement is already in place for ASML’s TWINSCAN NXT:2000i and subsequent DUV immersion systems.

Regarding ASML’s sales in lithography units in the second quarter of 2024, China emerged as the largest market, as it contributed 49% of the revenue, higher than South Korea’s 28% and Taiwan’s 11%.

Interesting enough, ASML refers to the updated license requirement as “a technical change,” and is not expected to have any impact on the company’s financial outlook for 2024 or for its longer-term scenarios.

The latest move from the Dutch government is less harsh than the rumors earlier, which indicated that the Netherlands might ban ASML from conducting equipment maintenance and providing related backup components in China. The measure, if implemented, would be a heavy blow to China’s semiconductor industry, especially on the development of advanced nodes.

In response, China has expressed “dissatisfaction” with the Dutch government’s decision to expand export controls on ASML chipmaking equipment, according to the statement by the Chinese commerce ministry on Sunday, cited by Reuters.

The ministry urged the Dutch government not to misuse export controls, to avoid actions that could harm Sino-Dutch cooperation in the semiconductor industry, and to protect the “shared interests of Chinese and Dutch enterprises,” according to Reuters.

Beijing has consistently been criticizing Washington’s approach of pressuring allies like the Netherlands and Japan to implement export controls aimed at limiting China’s access to advanced chips and chipmaking equipment.

Read more

• [News] ASML Claims the World Counts on China for Legacy Chips; So Do Chip Equipment Giants
• [News] ASML Might Not Be Able to Provide Advanced Chipmaking Maintenance Services to China as Early as 2025

(Photo credit: ASML)

Last week, a series of U.S. employment data fueled concerns about a potential economic recession, causing the S&P 500 to drop 4.2%, marking its worst weekly performance since January 2022. U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields fell, reflecting market expectations of a more aggressive rate cut path for the rest of the year, with the 10-year/2-year Treasury yield spread turning positive. The U.S. dollar index also declined as expectations for more significant Federal Reserve rate cuts rose. Below is a recap of key economic data from last week:

• United States ISM PMI: The U.S. Manufacturing PMI for August came in at 47.2 (previous 46.8), remaining in contraction territory for the fifth consecutive month. This continued to reflect the restrictive monetary policy and uncertainties around the U.S. election, dampening corporate investment sentiment. Meanwhile, the U.S. Services PMI for August was 51.5 (previous 51.4), marking two consecutive months of expansion, with all sub-indices in expansionary territory.

Read more at Datatrack

• United States Employment Report: The U.S. unemployment rate for August was 4.2% (previous 4.3%), in line with market expectations. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 142,000 (previous 89,000), falling short of market expectations of 164,000. Additionally, nonfarm payrolls for June and July were revised downward, signaling further cooling in the U.S. labor market.

Read more at Datatrack

• Canada Monetary Policy: On September 4, the Bank of Canada (BoC) announced a 25 basis point rate cut, marking the third consecutive rate cut since June. Although inflation has returned to the target range, the BoC has begun to express concerns about the risk of deflation due to economic weakness. As a result, markets now expect that if the Canadian economy continues to deteriorate, the BoC may adopt a more aggressive rate-cutting approach.

Read more at Datatrack

Key Data to Watch This Week

• China CPI (September 9): China’s July CPI rose 0.5% year-on-year (previous 0.2%), driven primarily by food prices due to extreme weather. Excluding food and energy, core CPI was 0.4% (previous 0.6%). The market expects August CPI to rise to 0.7%, supported by seasonal demand during the summer and government policies promoting service consumption.

Read more at Datatrack

• United States CPI (September 11): U.S. CPI for July increased 2.9% year-on-year (previous 3.0%), while core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 3.2% (previous 3.3%), both in line with market expectations and marking the lowest growth since April 2021. According to the Cleveland Fed’s CPI forecast, August CPI is expected to fall to 2.56%, with core CPI projected to ease to 3.21%.

Read more at Datatrack

• Eurozone Monetary Policy (September 12): The ECB left rates unchanged during its July meeting, mainly due to rising wages, which kept services inflation elevated. However, recent data now supports a rate cut, with August’s harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) falling to 2.2% year-on-year (previous 2.6%). Additionally, adjusted wage growth, which has been a key driver of inflation, dropped to 3.5% in the second quarter (previous 4.7%). As a result, markets widely expect the ECB to cut rates again in September.

Read more at Datatrack

Yesterday, TrendForce released panel prices for early September.

• TV

According to Boyce Fan, Research Vice President of TrendForce, entering September, the demand for TV panels remains relatively weak, and with no significant increase in brand-side purchasing momentum, panel prices continue to face downward pressure.

However, major panel manufacturers have announced a two-week shutdown starting in early October, hoping to bring supply and demand back into balance through active production adjustments, thus alleviating the pressure on panel price declines.

Currently, some customers could pull in demand in advance in response to the production cuts, which may help slow down the price decline for certain panel sizes in September.

Recent observations indicate that prices for 32-inch and 43-inch panels are expected to stop falling first in September, due to reduced supply and stable demand in emerging overseas markets.

For medium to large sizes, 50-inch, 55-inch, 65-inch, 75-inch panels are expected to drop by USD 3, USD 2, USD 2 and USD 3, respectively.

• MNT

In the third quarter, MNT panel shipments will be slightly lower than in the second quarter, indicating that the stockpiling peak for brand clients has passed, and with TV panels continuing to face price declines, downward pressure on MNT panel prices is gradually emerging.

However, some panel manufacturers are still striving to maintain panel prices, making only slight price adjustments for some high-end or premium models.

On the other hand, brand clients have high expectations for price reductions, and it is expected that both sides will continue to battle over pricing.

For now, MNT panel prices in September are expected to remain stable, with the actual trend depending on the ongoing negotiations between the two sides.

• NB

In the third quarter, compared to the second quarter, the procurement of NB panels by major brand clients is expected to increase slightly by 1%, indicating that brand clients are maintaining a steady purchasing pace.

However, as the year progresses, it is unlikely to see significant demand growth in NB panels.

As a result, panel manufacturers have become more conservative in pricing strategies and in offering incentives to secure orders compared to the second quarter.

With both buyers and sellers adopting a more stable attitude toward price and quantity, NB panel prices are expected to remain stable in September.