According to a report from Wccftech, Huawei’s Kirin 9100 processor is scheduled to be unveiled later this year, rumored to be manufactured using SMIC’s 5nm process. Its performance is reported to surpass that of the Qualcomm Snapdragon 8 Gen 2, and it will be featured in the entire Mate 70 series of smartphones.

The same report cited industry sources, suggesting that SMIC has successfully produced 5nm chips using DUV lithography instead of EUV, which is typically required for 5nm production. The high cost and low yield of DUV make it a challenging feat for most manufacturers. Fortunately, this breakthrough could help Huawei narrow the performance gap in its processors.

Reportedly, the Kirin 9100 is rumored to outperform the Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 overall and offer interface smoothness comparable to the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3. Huawei’s software optimization is anticipated to contribute significantly, as the company plans to launch HarmonyOS NEXT this year, completely moving away from the Google Android framework.

The report notd that switching to HarmonyOS NEXT has advantages, including memory usage that is three times more efficient than Android, and stringent resource consumption management. The new system can also be installed on older Huawei smartphones with previous-generation Kirin processors. Thanks to the 5nm process, the Kirin 9100 will also have improved energy efficiency. However, the actual performance will need to be verified once Huawei releases more detailed information.

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• [News] Huawei’s HarmonyOS Project Ready to Hit the Road with Increasing Participation from Chinese Enterprises
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(Photo credit: Huawei)

Peter Wennink, former CEO of ASML, recently stated in an interview with Dutch broadcaster BNR that the chip war between China and the US lacks factual basis and is entirely driven by ideology. According to reports from Reuters and the Commercial Times, Wennink also anticipated that this chip war will not be resolved anytime soon and could potentially persist for decades.

The global EUV lithography supplier ASML stands out as the world’s largest and most advanced EUV company, as both TSMC and Samsung utilize EUV equipment for manufacturing, covering TSMC’s 7nm, 5nm, and 3nm processes and Samsung’s EUV Line (7nm, 5nm, and 4nm), along with the 3nm GAA process.

Wennink further emphasized that ASML has been operating in China for over 30 years, serving numerous customers and employing a large workforce locally. Therefore, the company feels obligated to protect the rights and interests of its customers and employees.

He acknowledged striving to maintain a balance between the US and China during his tenure, advocating on one hand for the US government to relax export restrictions and on the other hand raising concerns with Chinese officials about intellectual property infringements.

According to the reports, Wennink brought up the concerns from the U.S. authority about which party he sided with. Wennink noted that officials in Washington might sometimes think he’s friend of China. However, he is a friend to ASML’s customers, suppliers,  employees and shareholders. He then forecasted that given geopolitical interests are at stake, the chip war could take decades to play out.

Before retiring in April this year, Peter Wennink led ASML for a decade, transforming it into Europe’s largest semiconductor equipment manufacturer. During his tenure, China’s semiconductor influence rapidly grew, becoming ASML’s second-largest customer outside of Taiwan.

Since imposing export restrictions on China in 2018, the US has gradually expanded the list of controlled product categories, thus impacting ASML. In April this year, the US announced the latest round of export restrictions, limiting ASML’s ability to service high-end products already shipped to China.

At the time, Wennink emphasized that these new restrictions would not significantly impact ASML’s financial performance from 2025 to 2030, as only a small portion of its Chinese customers would be affected

Besides Netherlands, a previous report from Reuters on June 19 also mentioned that Japan, home to several chip equipment manufacturers like Nikon and Tokyo Electron, imposed restrictions on the export of 23 types of machinery to China to align with U.S. government policies aimed at curbing China’s technological advancements.

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• [News] US to Lobby Netherlands and Japan to Contain China’s Chip Development, Focusing on HBM
• [News] Strengthening Controls on Semiconductor Equipment Exports to China, Japan Reportedly Tightens Export Control Measures Further

(Photo credit: iStock)

With the widespread adoption of AI, the demand for GPUs and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) is soaring. The Semiconductor Equipment Association of Japan (SEAJ) has revised its forecast for sales of Japanese-made semiconductor equipment, predicting that for the first time in history, sales will exceed JPY 4 trillion in the 2024 fiscal year. It is also estimated that sales will further exceed JPY 5 trillion in the 2026 fiscal year.

Per a report by Nikkei on July 5th, SEAJ’s forecast report indicates that for the 2024 fiscal year (April 2024 to March 2025), the sales of Japanese-made chip equipment (including sales by Japanese companies both domestically and overseas) have been revised from the previous estimate of JPY 4.0348 trillion (in January 2024) to JPY 4.2522 trillion, marking a significant increase of 15.0% compared to the 2023 fiscal year.

This will be the first time in history that annual sales exceed JPY 4 trillion, setting a new record. The main reason for this growth is the widespread adoption of AI, which has led to a strong demand for GPUs used in AI servers and a continuous surge in demand for HBM used in conjunction with them.

Reportedly, SEAJ stated that, due to anticipated steady investments in logic/foundry and memory, the sales forecast for Japanese chip equipment in the 2025 fiscal year (April 2025 to March 2026) has been revised upward from JPY 4.4383 trillion to JPY 4.6774 trillion, representing a 10.0% year-on-year increase.

Additionally, the demand for chip equipment is expected to be driven by AI-related semiconductors, resulting in a projected 10.0% year-on-year increase in sales for the 2026 fiscal year, reaching JPY 5.1452 trillion. This will mark the first time annual sales exceed JPY 5 trillion.

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for Japanese chip equipment sales during the 2024-2026 period is estimated to be 11.6%. Japan’s global market share for chip equipment (in terms of sales) is approximately 30%, making it the second-largest in the world, following the United States.

SEAJ has indicated that in addition to servers, AI will be integrated into into PCs and smartphones at a faster pace in the near future. SEAJ President Toshiki Kawai mentioned that by 2027, 30-40% of PCs and smartphones are expected to incorporate AI, which is anticipated to have a more significant impact on increasing the demand for chip equipment compared to servers.

Toshiki Kawai further mentioned that as the self-sufficiency in manufacturing equipment remains insufficient in the Chinese market, the demand remains consistent and robust for Japanese-made equipment.

On June 25th, SEAJ released statistics indicating that in May 2024, Japan’s semiconductor equipment sales (3-month moving average, including exports) reached JPY 400.954 billion. This marked a significant increase of 27.0% compared to the same month last year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth and the largest increase in 19 months (since October 2022, with a growth of 27.6%).

Monthly sales exceeded JPY 300 billion for the seventh consecutive month and surpassed JPY 400 billion for the first time in history, setting a new monthly sales record (previously, the highest record was JPY 389.106 billion in April 2024).

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• [News] New Regulations Reportedly Introduced by Japan Regarding Semiconductor Exports
• [News] Booming Sales of Japanese Semiconductor Equipment Continue to Break Records, Reportedly Surpassing JPY 300 Billion

(Photo credit: TEL)

MediaTek and Qualcomm’s new wave of 5G flagship smartphone chip competition will begin in the fourth quarter. MediaTek is launching the “Dimensity 9400” to directly compete with Qualcomm’s “Snapdragon 8 Gen 4.” According to a report from Economic Daily News, both major manufacturers are using TSMC’s 3nm process to produce their new chips, which have recently entered the production phase.

Alongside this, NVIDIA, AMD, and Apple are also actively seeking TSMC’s 3nm capacity, resulting in TSMC securing another order and seeing a surge in its advanced process business.

It is understood that the queue for TSMC’s 3nm process capacity has extended all the way to 2026. To ensure the smooth launch of the Dimensity 9400, MediaTek has already started production at TSMC to secure sufficient supply capacity. The 3nm process is currently the most advanced node technology. Previously, TSMC mentioned that its 3nm process capacity will triple this year, but it still remains in short supply.

At the beginning of this year, MediaTek CEO Rick Tsai announced that the Dimensity 9400 would be unveiled in the fourth quarter. He stated that its performance would far exceed that of the current flagship chip, the Dimensity 9300, and that it would represent another significant peak in their technology.

MediaTek’s current flagship Dimensity 9300/9300+ chips are built using TSMC’s 4nm process. Reportedly, it is expected that with the support of TSMC’s 3nm process, the performance of the Dimensity 9400 will be further enhanced, making it a powerful tool for MediaTek to capture the market.

Although Qualcomm has not yet announced the launch schedule and details of its next-generation flagship chip, the Snapdragon 8 Gen 4, the same report believed that this chip will also be produced using TSMC’s 3nm process and will be launched in the fourth quarter, with upgraded performance.

Ming-Chi Kuo, renowned Apple analyst, previously reported that the Snapdragon 8 Gen 4 will be produced using TSMC’s N3E process, and its price may be 25% to 30% higher than the current Snapdragon 8 Gen 3, with each chip priced at $220 to $240.

In the second half of the year, numerous AI products will be launched in the consumer market. Per industry sources cited in an earlier report from Commercial Times, besides Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Gen 4 and MediaTek’s Dimensity 9400,  Apple’s A18 and M4 series are also said to be built using TSMC’s N3 family. Moreover, Google’s Tensor G5 may compete in the market as well.

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• [News] IC Design Companies Adopting TSMC’s 3nm Process Trigger Cost-driven Price Hikes
• [News] Major Clients Reportedly Fully Allocate TSMC’s Production Capacity Until 2026, 3nm Process in High Demand
  

(Photo credit: Qualcomm)

South Korean media reports that the main suppliers of artificial intelligence (AI) chip packaging are concentrated in TSMC and ASE Technology Holding Co., which have been actively expanding production to meet the growing market demand. Despite efforts to develop technology and invest, South Korean companies like Samsung Electronics have not been able to narrow the gap with TSMC and ASE.

According to the Chosun Ilbo, industry insiders indicated that TSMC is expanding its advanced packaging (CoWoS) capacity by selecting a site in the southern region, while ASE also announced the construction of a second packaging and testing factory in California, USA, and plans to build another in Mexico. The rapid growth of the AI chip market highlights the increasing importance of semiconductor packaging and testing. As the benefits of semiconductor process miniaturization diminish and production costs rise, advanced packaging that can connect multiple components has become an ideal alternative solution. Some organizations predict that the semiconductor packaging market is expected to grow by more than 10% annually and expand to USD 90 billion by 2030.

Taiwanese companies like TSMC and ASE benefit a lot, almost monopolizing the contract manufacturing of AI chips for companies like NVIDIA and AMD. In terms of chip manufacturing, TSMC aims to double its CoWoS capacity from the previous year to meet increasing orders. TSMC recently announced plans to build two new advanced packaging factories in the southwest. The construction of the first factory was paused due to the discovery of ancient artifacts, but TSMC quickly sought a new site and announced an expansion of CoWoS facilities investment by 2025.

ASE, serving customers including Qualcomm, Intel and AMD, is also striving to increase equipment investment to meet rising orders. ASE, with the highest market share in the semiconductor packaging and testing field, is increasing its capacity and considering building a factory in Japan to match the growing demand. ASE’s CEO Wu Tianyu stated that they are looking for a location in Japan with a solid semiconductor ecosystem for the new factory.

Samsung has also announced packaging investment plans. The company intends to raise the investment in the new plant in Taylor, Texas, USA from USD 17 billion to more than USD 40 billion for the construction of an advanced packaging research and development center and facilities, in which it will allocate over KRW 2 trillion annually to expand advanced packaging production lines.

South Korean semiconductor back-end packaging and testing (OSAT) companies such as Hana Micron and Nepes are also striving for AI chip packaging orders based on technical development. Hana Micron, the leading OSAT company in South Korea, has announced its commitment to developing 2.5D AI semiconductor packaging. Nepes is developing Package on Package (PoP) technology, which integrates different semiconductors into one chip, with a target for commercial mass production in the second half of 2025.

Despite the efforts of South Korean companies, it is difficult to narrow the gap with Taiwanese companies in the short term. Taiwanese companies have actively developed advanced semiconductor packaging and commercializing CoWoS at a earlier time, while South Korean packaging companies lag in accumulated technologies. South Korean industry insiders point out that TSMC and ASE have been collaborating for over 30 years. Therefore, as TSMC secured a large number of AI chip orders, it would prove a boon to Taiwan’s packaging ecosystem. In contrast, South Korea’s packaging industry, which has long focused on the memory production market, still has a long way to go to expand its market and even compete with Taiwanese companies.