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2024-08-15

[News] Nanya Tech’s Operations to Resume in 2-3 Days After Power Outage, Estimated a NTD 300-500 Million Loss

According to a report from TechNews, in response to the temporary power outage caused by a severe thunderstorm on the afternoon of August 13th, memory manufacturer Nanya Technology announced on the evening of August 14th that the outage led to a halt in some machinery operations.

As emergency measures and safety checks were immediately implemented, all of Nanya Technology’s employees are safe, and the company is working to restore operations, which are expected to resume within 2-3 days.

Still, the power outage had led to damage to wafers, equipment repairs, and production interruptions, with an estimated loss of NTD 300-500 million (roughly USD 9.3 – 15.5 million). The exact figure will be confirmed after further assessment.

On the day of the power outage on August 13th, TechNews already reported that Nanya Technology’s plant experienced a 20-minute power outage during the incident. The uninterruptible power supply (UPS) was activated, minimizing damage in the photolithography and etching areas. However, sites without UPS are still being assessed for potential impacts.

On the other hand, memory giant Micron only experienced a voltage sag and reported no significant issues. Micron further stated that the voltage sag at its Taiwan facility due to the August 13th incident did not cause any harm to employees, and operations remain normal.

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(Photo credit: Nanya Technology)

Please note that this article cites information from TechNews.

2024-08-15

[News] Multiple Semiconductor Manufacturing Projects Delayed in the U.S.

Recently, the Financial Times reported that despite over USD 400 billion in tax incentives, loans, and subsidies provided by the U.S. under the Inflation Reduction Act and the CHIPS and Science Act to boost local clean energy technology and semiconductor industries, the resurgence of U.S. manufacturing has been delayed as investors hit pause on their plans.

Reportedly, there are 114 major projects tied to these acts, totaling USD 227.9 billion in investments. However, projects with a combined investment of approximately USD 84 billion have faced delays ranging from two months to several years, with some even indefinitely postponed. These delays include several semiconductor projects.

Companies involved have cited worsening market conditions, slowing demand, and uncertainties in domestic policies as reasons for altering their investment plans.

  • TSMC Delays Production at Arizona Facility

On August 13, TSMC announced several board resolutions, including the approval of a nearly USD 29,6 billion capital budget. Among these, TSMC approved up to USD 7.5 billion in funding for its wholly-owned subsidiary, TSMC Arizona.

TSMC had initially planned to build three fabs in Arizona over the next few years, with a total investment of USD 65 billion. However, per a recent New York Times report, despite four years having passed since the announcement, the Arizona plant has yet to produce a single chip.

According to a report from WeChat account DRAMeXchange, cultural differences and competition for labor resources with Intel are among the factors contributing to the challenges faced by TSMC’s Arizona facility, leading to production delays.

When TSMC announced plans to build a semiconductor fab in Arizona in May 2020, the initial plan was to start construction in 2021, with production slated to begin in 2024. The second fab was announced in December 2020, with a production target of 2026.

In May of this year, TSMC’s website indicated that the first Arizona fab’s production start has been postponed to the first half of 2025, while the second fab’s production has been delayed to 2028.

As for the third fab, TSMC has not yet disclosed the start date for construction, but the official plan is to commence production by the late 2030s.

According to TSMC’s plan, the first Arizona fab will use 4nm process technology, the second fab will employ 2nm technology, and the third fab will utilize 2nm or more advanced process technologies.

  • Intel Delays Construction of Ohio Project

Intel, the U.S. semiconductor manufacturer, plans to invest USD 100 billion over the next five years in new fabs and expansions across Arizona, New Mexico, Ohio, and Oregon, creating 10,000 manufacturing jobs and 20,000 construction jobs.

Yet, according to a previous report by The Wall Street Journal in February, Intel has delayed its USD 20 billion chip project in Ohio due to market downturns and delays in U.S. subsidies.

Intel is set to build two new advanced fabs in Ohio, with an initial plan to begin chip manufacturing in 2025. Following adjustments, the completion of Intel’s Fab1 and Fab2 projects in Ohio has been postponed to 2026–2027, with operations expected to commence around 2027–2028.

As chip manufacturing processes advance to 3nm and 2nm, the investment required for fabs has surged, putting semiconductor companies under financial pressure. Against this backdrop, Intel has not only delayed the construction of its Ohio facility but has also made adjustments to its European projects.

Intel’s planned EUR 30 billion investment in two fabs, Fab 29.1 and Fab 29.2, in Magdeburg, Germany, was initially set to start in the second half of 2023.

However, due to delays in confirming EU subsidies and the need to remove topsoil at the construction site, Intel has postponed the start date to May 2025. Additionally, Intel has also paused its investment plans for facilities in France and Italy.

  • Samsung Delays Taylor Fab Project

Initially, Samsung planned to build a semiconductor cluster in Taylor, Texas, including two advanced logic fabs and one advanced packaging facility, with up to USD 6.4 billion in U.S. subsidies.

The first of these fabs in Taylor began construction in 2022, initially scheduled to start production in 2024 with 4nm process capabilities. However, the plant may not begin operations until 2026, US local media MySA noted. This delay is likely due to a slowdown in the foundry market and delays in the disbursement of U.S. subsidies.

Meanwhile, according to reports from Tom’s Hardware and the Korean media outlet ETnews, with the delay in the construction of the semiconductor plant, Samsung may upgrade the facility’s advanced process technology from 4nm to 2nm.

This adjustment aims to enhance Samsung’s competitive edge in advanced process, positioning it more effectively against rivals like TSMC, Intel, and Rapidus.

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(Photo credit: TSMC)

Please note that this article cites information from Financial Times, TSMC, The Wall Street Journal, MySA, Tom’s Hardware, ETnews and WeChat account DRAMeXchange.

2024-08-15

[News] Samsung Likely Emerges as the Pacemaker for the AI Market if It Secures HBM3e Supply to NVIDIA

Samsung Electronics, which has been struggling at the final stage of its HBM3e qualification with NVIDIA, may unexpectedly emerge as the pacemaker for the AI ecosystem, as the company may somehow ease the cost pressure for building AI servers by balancing the market, as well as alleviating the tight HBM supply, according to a recent report by Korean media outlet Invest Chosun.

Samsung, in its second quarter earnings call, has confirmed that the company’s fifth-generation 8-layer HBM3e is undergoing customer valuation. The product is reportedly to enter mass production as soon as the third quarter.

Invest Chosun analyzes that while there is growing anticipation that NVIDIA could come up with a conclusion regarding Samsung’s HBM3e verification, the market’s attitude towards AI has also been gradually shifting in the meantime, as the main concern now is that semiconductors are becoming too expensive.

The report, citing remarks from a consultant, notes that the price of an NVIDIA chip may cost tens of thousands of dollars each, leading to concerns that the industry’s overall investment capex cycle might not last more than three years.

In addition, the report highlights that the cost of building an AI server for learning is about 40 times that of a standard server, with over 80% attributed to NVIDIA’s AI accelerators. Due to the cost pressure, big techs have been closely examining the cost structure for building AI servers.

Therefore, NVIDIA has to take its customers’ budgets into consideration when planning its roadmap. The move has also sparked speculation that NVIDIA, which is prompted to lower product prices, might compromise to bring Samsung onboard as an HBM3e supplier, the report states.

Citing an industry insider, the report highlights the dilemma of NVIDIA and its HBM suppliers. As the AI giant tries to shorten its product cycle, releasing the Blackwell (B100) series just two years after the Hopper (H100), HBM suppliers have been struggling except for SK hynix, as the company is the only one with the most experience.

If Samsung doesn’t join the HBM lineup, the overall supply of NVIDIA’s AI accelerators could be limited, driving prices even higher, the report suggests.

Under this backdrop, Samsung may have taken on the role of pacemaker in the AI semiconductor market, as it may help balance the market during a time when there are concerns about overheating in the AI industry. Also, if it is able to form a strong collaboration with NVIDIA by supplying 8-layer HBM3e, its technological gap with competitors will noticeably narrow.

TrendForce notes that Samsung’s recent progress on HBM3e qualification seems to be solid, and we can soon expect both 8hi and 12hi to be qualified in the near future. The company is eager to gain higher HBM market share from SK hynix so its 1alpha capacity has reserved for HBM3e. TrendForce believes that Samsung is going to be a very important supplier on HBM category.

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(Photo credit: Samsung)

Please note that this article cites information from Invest Chosun.
2024-08-15

[News] U.S. CPI Slows to 2.9% in July, Marking the Smallest Increase Since March 2021

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the CPI data on August 14th, showing a year-over-year increase of 2.9% in July, slightly below the data in the previous month and market expectations of 3.0%. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose by 3.2% year-over-year, down from 3.3% in the previous month. Both figures represent the smallest increases since 2021.

Breaking down the details, the primary contributor to the overall increase was inflation in housing services, which saw a monthly gain of 0.4%, up from 0.2% in the previous month, accounting for 90% of the total monthly increase across all items. However, this gain was offset by declines in several areas, including used cars and healthcare.

Similar to the PPI data released yesterday, the CPI data further confirms that inflationary pressures are continuing to ease. If the initial jobless claims over the next few weeks, as well as the unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data to be released on September 6th, remain stable, and if retail sales maintain moderate growth, the Federal Reserve will have more flexibility in its monetary policy decisions. Currently, the market anticipates a 64% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, compared to a 36% probability of a 50 basis point cut.

2024-08-14

[News] Intel Has Offloaded Stake in ARM, Reportedly Raising nearly USD 150 Million

After announcing reductions in capital expenditures, massive layoffs, and the suspension of dividends, according to a report from Reuters, Intel is focusing on increasing its cash reserves to sustain company operations. The same report also indicates that Intel has sold off its entire stake in the intellectual property company Arm.

Per another report by wccftech, based on Intel’s Form 13-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the company has disposed of its entire stake in Arm Holdings, totaling 1.18 million shares. Reuters further reported that through this sale, Intel would have raised approximately USD 146.7 million.

Despite selling its shares in Arm, Intel has retained its holdings in companies like Astera Labs, Joby Aviation, MariaDB, and Senti Biosciences. Yet, as per the same report from wccftech, these investments have yet yielded significant returns, with Intel currently experiencing a cumulative loss of USD 120 million on them in Q2.

Previously, after releasing its official announcement on its Q2 (April-June) earnings, Intel announced layoffs exceeding 15% and a suspension of shareholder dividends as well.

This decision came in response to a significant drop in its performance, driven by reduced semiconductor spending in traditional data centers and a market shift towards AI chips from competitors like NVIDIA.

At that time, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger pointed out that Intel must align its cost structure with the latest operational model and fundamentally change the way the company operates. He indicated that Intel’s revenue growth has not met expectations and has not yet benefited from powerful trends such as AI.

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(Photo credit: Intel)

Please note that this article cites information from Reuters, wccftech and Intel.

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