TSMC’s capital expenditure is set to surge again in 2025 due to strong demand. According to a report from Economic Daily News citing sources, due to continued investment in the most advanced 2nm process and strong demand for 2nm technology, production capacity will be allocated to the Southern Taiwan Science Park. TSMC’s capital expenditure in 2025 is expected to reach between USD 32 billion to USD 36 billion, marking the second-highest in its history, with a year-over-year increase of 12.5% to 14.3%.

Reportedly, the market notes that ASML and Applied Materials will be the main beneficiaries of the increased capital expenditure by the leading manufacturer, and related suppliers are likely to benefit as well. TSMC has declined to comment on market rumors and reiterated that information regarding capital expenditure, and the progress of the 2nm process should be based on the content of the April earnings call next year.

TSMC emphasized at its April earnings call that its capital expenditure and capacity planning are based on long-term structural market demand. Capital expenditure for 2024 is expected to range between USD 28 billion and USD 32 billion. The 2nm process is scheduled to enter mass production as planned in 2025, with the production curve expected to be similar to that of 3nm.

In response to media questions at this year’s shareholder meeting, TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei stated that the previously announced USD 100 billion investment plan over three years was successfully achieved last year. He highlighted that AI presents a bright future for TSMC. He mentioned that capital expenditure and capacity planning are being carefully considered in line with market demand, and whether spending will exceed previous plans remains to be seen.

The sources cited by the same report have further reported that the demand from TSMC’s 2nm customer base has been unexpectedly strong. The related capacity expansion plans are also said to be directed towards the Southern Taiwan Science Park, facilitating process upgrades and creating space for new production.

In the 2nm client landscape, Apple remains a frontrunner, earmarking the technology for flagship smartphones. Intel has also expressed interest, with AMD, NVIDIA, and MediaTek expected to follow suit.

TSMC continues to push forward with its goal of 2nm mass production by 2025. The first fab in Baoshan for 2nm will have equipment installed by April 2024, and the second Baoshan fab will also maintain its schedule. The Kaohsiung fab is planned for 2nm expansion, with the earliest equipment installation expected by the third quarter of 2025. If the STSP also joins in production, mass production could continue to expand from late 2025 into 2026.

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(Photo credit: TSMC)

Recently, TSMC reportedly got approval for the land change and environmental assessment of its third 2nm plant in Kaohsiung.

It is reported that the Nanzih Industrial Park in Kaohsiung City will adapt to the changing needs of the global semiconductor industry supply chain and will carry out the development of the park in stages. TSMC obtained the construction permit for the first phase of its 2nm advanced process plant in the Nanzih Industrial Park in September 2022, kick starting the construction of first phase, with mass production expected in 2025. The second phase of the plant is also underway.

In response to the shift in the supply chain and the market demand of the global semiconductor industry, TSMC has an urgent need to expand production. The Urban Development Bureau of Kaohsiung City Government stated that TSMC chose to initiate the urban plan variation procedure for the third phase of the plant on the east side of the first phase of the park, covering an area of 17.22 hectares.

To ensure that the industrial use category matches the land use content, the special industrial zone will be changed to a Type A industrial zone, and the building coverage ratio will be adjusted to 45% in consideration of the need of construction, while the original floor area ratio of the special industrial zone will remain at 160%.

Regarding the third 2nm plant, the Kaohsiung City Government’s Water Conservancy Bureau issued a statement saying that the city government fully supports TSMC’s establishment of the plant in the Nanzih Industrial Park, and the reclaimed water supply will be fully guaranteed.

As for electricity, the Economic Development Bureau explained that Kaohsiung’s total power generation in 2022 was 50.886 billion kWh, with total electricity sales of 30.734 billion kWh, accounting for only 60% of power generation. In the future, all TSMC plants will adopt a dual-circuit system to ensure stable power supply.

Previously, Tai-Hsiang Liao, Director of the Economic Development Bureau, pointed out in early April that the city government will provide relevant assistance to meet TSMC’s water and electricity supply needs in Kaohsiung. Additionally, Liao further stated that, based on the current land assessment in the park, the maximum scale of TSMC’s Kaohsiung plant could be up to five plants.

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• [News] TSMC Reportedly Invests over USD 12.3 Billion in EUV, Advancing in 2nm Production
• [News] TSMC Reportedly Accelerates 2nm Progress, with Kaohsiung Plant Rumored to Commence First Tool-in by Year-end

(Photo credit: TSMC)

Samsung is reportedly mulling to update its fabrication capabilities in the Taylor fab near Austin from 4nm to 2nm, and delaying the related equipment orders, according to reports from Tom’s Hardware and Korea media outlet ETnews. The decision is said to be made in Q3 2024.

Samsung’s initial projection, announced in 2021 when the investment plan was disclosed, had anticipated the Taylor plant to start its mass production of 4nm in the second half of 2024. But afterwards, the tech giant has reportedly postponed the schedule to 2025.

Now, according to the latest reports, with the AI hardware race intensifying and Nvidia, one of Samsung’s biggest clients, keeps advancing in its GPU platforms, 4nm production may no longer suffice. Therefore, Samsung has postponed its equipment orders for the Taylor fab as it considers the upgrade from 4nm to 2nm. The plant may not begin operations until 2026, US local media MySA noted.

According to information from Samsung’s press release, the company plans to provide one-stop solution for clients to expedite their production of AI chips, while its updated 2nm node with backside power delivery is expected to enter the market in 2027. SF4U, its high-value 4nm variant that offers PPA improvements by incorporating optical shrink, plans to enter mass production in 2025.

Earlier in April, the U.S. government announced that it will provide up to USD 6.4 billion in subsidies to Samsung for expanding advanced chip production capacity at its Texas plant, while it previously approved subsidies of up to USD 8.5 billion for US chip giant Intel and USD 6.6 billion for TSMC, respectively.

Regarding major semiconductor companies’ capacity expansion plans in the U.S., TSMC’s new fab in Arizona aims to complete all preparations for mass production by the end of this year, and commences mass production using the 4-nanometer process in the first half of 2025. On the other hand, TSMC also plans to build a third fab in Arizona, which will use 2nm process or even more advanced technologies to manufacture wafers for customers, though the date for construction has yet to be disclosed.

Meanwhile, Intel plans to mass-produce its 20A and 18A nodes at its Arizona and Ohio plants in 2024 and 2025, respectively.

(Photo credit: Samsung)

After naming its new head for the semiconductor business in May, claiming to strengthen the company’s competitiveness in cutting-edge chips, Samsung has now disclosed its latest developments regarding AI chips. According to information from Reuters and Samsung’s press release, the company plans to provide one-stop solution for clients to expedite their production of AI chips, while its updated 2nm node with backside power delivery is expected to enter the market in 2027.

According to a report from Reuters, the semiconductor giant plans to provide a turn-key solution by integrating its leading services in memory chips, foundry, and chip packaging to capitalize on the AI surge. The production time needed for AI chips usually takes weeks, while under this scheme, it could potentially be reduced by approximately 20%.

Driven by the strong demand from AI chips, Samsung expects the revenue of global chip industry to grow to USD 778 billion by 2028, according to Siyoung Choi, President and General Manager of the Foundry Business in Samsung, the report noted.

On the other hand, the tech heavyweight has introduced on 13^th June its latest developments on 2nm and GAA technologies, as tools to empower its AI solutions.

According to Samsung’s press release, its latest 2nm process, SF2Z, has incorporated optimized backside power delivery network (BSPDN) technology, which places power rails on the backside of the wafer to eliminate bottlenecks between the power and signal lines, and thus does better in PPA (power, performance and area), IR drop and performance of HPC designs compared to SF2, its first-generation 2nm node.

Samsung targets mass production for SF2Z in 2027, while SF4U, a high-value 4nm variant, is slated for mass production in 2025. It also confirms that preparations for SF1.4 (1.4nm) are progressing well, with performance and yield targets on track for mass production in 2027, the press release noted.

Regarding the progress on backside power delivery solution, TSMC’s Super PowerRail, which is expected to be used in A16 process, targets mass production in 2025. Intel’s PowerVia on its 20A process, on the other hand, is set for production in 2024.

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• [News] Gearing up for Backside Power Delivery: Heated Tech War Between TSMC, Intel, and Samsung

(Photo credit: Samsung)

Henri Richard, head of Rapidus Design Solutions, the US subsidiary of Japan’s semiconductor foundry startup Rapidus, and former Chief Marketing Officer at processor giant AMD, indicates that Rapidus aims to position itself as a filler of market gaps during the interview with global media The Register.

Rapidus Design Solutions, established by Rapidus in this month, is expected to bolster ties with US semiconductor design companies and wafer manufacturing technology providers like IBM. Henri Richard reportedly notes that the AI boom is boosting the advanced semiconductor foundry market, albeit with understated demand and ongoing capacity constraints. Thus, in this market trend, he asserts that even if these technologies don’t necessarily confer a competitive edge, the limitations in capacity alone should suffice to ensure Rapidus’ success.

Established in August 2022, Rapidus was jointly founded by eight Japanese companies, including Toyota, Sony, NTT, NEC, Softbank, Denso, Kioxia (formerly Toshiba Memory Corporation), and Mitsubishi UFJ, who invested collectively in its establishment. As per Rapidus’ plan, they aim to commence mass production of 2-nanometer process technology in 2027, significantly lagging behind major global players like TSMC, Intel, and Samsung.

TSMC and Samsung previously planned to mass-produce 2nm chips in 2025, while Intel is anticipated to be the first to achieve commercialization of 2nm chips. Industry sources cited by the The Register’s report also view this timing as unfavorable for Rapidus.

However, Henri Richard believes that the semiconductor process technology has reached a turning point. Assessing the success of suppliers solely based on production timelines is narrow-minded; competitiveness stems from various factors beyond production schedules.

Based on these factors, Rapidus positions itself as a fill-in player in the advanced manufacturing market, targeting small AI chip design companies as its primary market. While competitors focus on serving large clients, Rapidus aims to win over these smaller clients by offering comprehensive support services. By serving numerous small chip design companies, Rapidus can better understand the specific needs of AI chip users, rather than insisting on the latest process technology for all chips.

Henri Richard emphasizes that Rapidus itself has limited scale and cannot initially serve too many clients simultaneously. It is expected that Rapidus’s initial client base will not exceed 6 companies, allowing them to accumulate experience and capabilities.

Although there are geopolitical issues currently, establishing facilities in the US is not on Rapidus’s immediate agenda. Meanwhile, Japan represents a relatively favorable geographic location for Rapidus, offering clients a risk-diversification option.

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(Photo credit: Rapidus)