According to a report from Commercial Times, despite ongoing turbulence in the semiconductor industry, including Intel’s capital expenditure cuts and reported bottlenecks in NVIDIA’s B-series GPU, TSMC’s leading position in the industry may remain unshaken.

The sources cited in the report note that the issues with the B-series GPU, stemming from mask replacements to enhance chip stability, have been quickly resolved by the foundry.

The sources cited in the report believe that NVIDIA’s Blackwell started production at the end of the second quarter. To improve stability, NVIDIA replaced some masks, causing about a two-week production delay. The redesign has been completed, and large-scale production will proceed in the fourth quarter.

The same source do not believe it will affect TSMC’s CoWoS revenue, as the idle two-week capacity will be filled by the equally strong demand for H100.

On the other hand, Intel’s CPUs are reportedly facing issues as well. As per the company’s statement, the 13th and 14th generation Intel Core desktop systems are experiencing instability due to a microcode algorithm resulting in incorrect voltage requests to the processor.

Although the company has provided a two-year warranty extension and real-time updates to fix the errors, concerns about design flaws and manufacturing process issues still exist.

In 2024, Intel’s new platforms, Arrow Lake and Lunar Lake, will have their CPU tiles produced using TSMC’s 3nm process, accelerating the production schedule. Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake are expected to ship officially by the end of the third and fourth quarters of this year, respectively.

With the support of the 3nm technology, these measures are expected to alleviate market concerns.

The sources cited by Commercial Times estimate that TSMC’s competitor Intel has begun to strictly cut costs, reducing capital expenditures by 20%. This could affect key capabilities in mass production and defect resolution in wafer manufacturing.

Therefore, sources cited by the report believe that TSMC’s leading position remains difficult to challenge in the short term.

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(Photo credit: TSMC)

According to a report from Commercial Times, IC design giant MediaTek is making its move into the AI accelerator sector. MediaTek CEO Rick Tsai emphasized that MediaTek aims to be the best partner for edge AI, focusing on advanced technologies and 3nm process to optimize the power consumption and efficiency of its SoCs (system-on-chips).

Tsai mentioned that MediaTek will unveil its Dimensity 9400 flagship series of chips in October, designed to perfectly support most large language models on the market. He expressed confidence in achieving a more than 50% year-over-year revenue increase for flagship devices.

For the ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) market, MediaTek has confirmed its entry into the AI accelerator field and will integrate CPUs as needed. ASICs are expected to start the revenue contribution  in the second half of next year.

Additionally, the TAM (Total Addressable Market) for generative AI is still in its early stages. MediaTek focuses on providing leading interconnect capabilities, such as SerDes IP and Ethernet PHY.

Regarding AI technology in the smartphone sector, Rick Tsai believes that flagship smartphones are seeing an increase in ASP, and there is a gradual shift towards high-end smartphones in the Chinese market. He noted that Chinese brands are actively developing AI, particularly in model development, such as open-source models like LLaMA 3.

At MediaTek’s earnings call on July 31st, Rick Tsai noted that the company anticipates a return to normal seasonal patterns in the second half of the year. The outlook for the fourth quarter will largely depend on consumer product demand.

Regarding the outlook in the third quarter, MediaTek expects the revenue to be flattish, ranging from NTD 123.5 billion to NTD 132.4 billion, compared with NTD 127.27 billion last quarter. Gross margin is projected to slide to 45.5-48.5%, from 48.8%, down 3.6 percentage points quarter over quarter and up 1.3 percentage points year-over-year.

Aside from the boost expected from the Dimensity 9400 flagship release, the company’s fourth-quarter market demand is projected to be relatively moderate, which is why the annual outlook remains unchanged. MediaTek expects its full-year gross margin to be between 46% and 48%.

Regarding TSMC’s pricing adjustments, Rick Tsai remains unperturbed, noting that all industry peers face similar cost pressures. MediaTek aims to reflect cost increases through pricing, with a gross margin target of 47% for new products. Progress has also been made in 3nm and 2nm processes, and MediaTek has secured its capacity needs for 2025 with TSMC.

Moreover, MediaTek and NVIDIA are collaborating on automotive chips, with plans to launch their first chip in early 2025. Rick Tsai mentioned that details are yet to be disclosed, but significant advancements in the automotive sector are expected between 2027 and 2028.

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(Photo credit: MediaTek)

In addition to the strong memory momentum which contributes to Samsung’s soaring profits in the second quarter, the tech giant’s progress on the foundry and chip business also attracts attention. According to its press release on July 31st, Samsung expects its foundry revenue growth to outpace the market in 2024 on the back of the full-scale mass production of second-generation 3nm GAA technology.

Earlier in May, Samsung announced the tape-out of its first 3nm mobile SoC, which used the Synopsys.ai EDA suite to verify the design. It signifies a major milestone as it is the first smartphone AP taped out with its 3nm GAA process. Before that, Samsung’s SF3E node has only been utilized for cryptocurrency mining chips.

The Korean semiconductor heavyweight now notes that the initial response to the new SoC for wearables, which features the industry’s first 3nm technology, has been favorable, and adoption of 3nm SoCs by key customers is expected to expand in the second half of the year. It also plans to ensure a stable supply of the Exynos 2500 for flagship models.

It is worth noting that another focus for Samsung in 2H24 will be the expansion for the application of 200-megapixel sensors from main wide camera to tele cameras. Samsung states it plans to expand sales of DDI products with the start of mass production of new models for a customer based in the US. According to an earlier report by The Verge, Apple may begin using Samsung camera sensors as early as 2026, ending Sony’s decade-long role as the exclusive supplier of the phone’s camera sensors.

Samsung also draws an ambitious roadmap, saying that it will expand its order intake for AI and HPC applications, targeting a fourfold increase in the customer base and a ninefold increase in sales by 2028 from the levels in 2023.

Samsung announced its financial results for the second quarter today, posting KRW 74.07 trillion in consolidated revenue and operating profit of KRW 10.44 trillion (approximately USD 7.5 billion). Its DS Division posted KRW 28.56 trillion in consolidated revenue and KRW 6.45 trillion in operating profit for the second quarter, posting a 94% and 1081% YoY growth, respectively.

Its Foundry Business saw improved earnings as a result of increased demand across applications. Due to higher orders for sub-5nm technology, the number of AI and HPC customers increased twofold from a year earlier. The Foundry Business also distributed the process development kit (PDK) for 2nm Gate-All-Around (GAA) technology to customers ahead of mass production in 2025.

On July 9^th, Samsung confirmed that it has received the first client for its 2nm process, and will provide turnkey semiconductor solutions using the 2nm process and the advanced 2.5D packaging technology Interposer-Cube S (I-Cube S) to Japanese AI company Preferred Networks.

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(Photo credit: Samsung)

According to a report from Commercial Times, TSMC’s advanced processes continue to experience strong demand, with major tech companies such as Apple, Qualcomm, NVIDIA, and AMD nearly fully booking TSMC’s 3nm capacity, while the order visibility extends into 2025.

As per the same report, the supply chain of the foundry giant’s 3nm process is also expected to continue the momentum, benefiting companies like Gudeng Precision Industrial (Gudeng), KINIK Company (KINIK), Solar Applied Materials Technology Corp (Solar Applied Materials), YEEDEX and GreenFiltec.

Industry sources cited by the same report indicate that TSMC’s wafer prices for advanced process are expected to see double-digit percentage increases by 2025. Chairman C.C. Wei recently mentioned that TSMC’s wafer pricing is strategic, as values regarding products may differ. The progress in pricing negotiations with customers is “so far so good,” and TSMC is confident about achieving a balance between price and capacity.

A report from Wccftech also suggested that Apple’s upcoming A18 Pro SoC and NVIDIA’s next-generation “Rubin” architecture will both use the 3nm process. Following the widespread adoption of TSMC’s 3nm process, the 3nm supply chain has attracted significant market attention, with expectations for operational boosts in the coming year.

In the semiconductor industry, per the sources cited by Commercial Times, Gudeng has captured about 70% of the market share for EUV POD. As EUV lithography has become a standard in advanced processes, TSMC has been adopting EUV technology starting from the 7nm process node and increasing its usage in later generations. The number of EUV layers used per wafer has been growing, which bodes well for Gudeng as it continues to benefit from this trend.

In the semiconductor sputtering target materials sector, TSMC has traditionally relied on products from international suppliers. However, with a push towards domestic equipment and consumables, Solar Applied Materials entered TSMC’s advanced 7nm process supply chain last year and has now also become a supplier for the 3nm process. Solar Applied Materials’ revenue from semiconductor targets was 4% last year and is expected to reach 10% this year, with a target of 20% by 2026, according to the report.

YEEDEX specializes in supplying components for the front-end processes, such as precision vaccum chucks for EUV equipment. As the industry moves to 3nm processes, wafer thinness increases, making precision vaccum chucks crucial for improving yield rates.

GreenFiltec specializes in extractable chemical filters and AMC Micro Pollution Control services. Through innovative material research and development for filters, GreenFiltec prevents invisible gas molecules from settling in the air. These filters are key consumables for cost control and yield improvement. In the domestic advanced process market, GreenFiltec has captured over 50% of the market share, and its operations are expected to benefit similarly next year, the report noted.

KINIK produces reclaimed wafers and diamond discs. Its high-spec diamond disc products have gained continuous and expanded adoption from major clients, achieving over 70% market share in the 3nm segment. The sources cited by Commercial Times expect that as major clients’ 3nm production capacity reaches full utilization, KINIK’s performance will significantly improve starting next year.

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(Photo credit: TSMC)

After TSMC released its Q3 guidance at the earnings call last week, eyeing for at least a 7.5% revenue growth, it is now said that the foundry giant has got another major boost for the following quarters. According to a report from Technews, citing Chinese media outlet ijiwei, the company is said to receive an increase in orders for Super Hot Run (SHR) from Chinese clients, and they are willing to pay up to 40% extra.

Sources cited by the reports indicated these rush orders may come from Chinese tech heavyweights, including Bitmain, Alibaba’s T-Head, and Sanechips, which are urgently stockpiling chips due to escalating tensions between the U.S. and China.

In fact, according to information from TSMC’s previous earnings conference, sales generated from orders by TSMC’s Chinese clients in the second quarter of 2024 increased from 9% of total wafer revenue in the previous quarter to 16%.

The reports stated that Chinese chip manufacturers are accelerating their pace for placing orders in response to the uncertainties arising from the upcoming U.S. presidential election and its impact on U.S.-China relations. This move is expected to provide support for TSMC’s revenue and gross margins afterwards, which may help its performance in the third quarter and the full year to exceed forecasts.

TSMC raised its projected revenue growth for 2024 to over 25% last week, thanks to the robust demand for high-end smartphones and artificial intelligence (AI) devices, which is expected to boost the use of advanced 3nm and 5nm chips.

Previous reports have indicated that TSMC is facing overwhelming demand for its 3nm technology, with major clients like Apple and NVIDIA eagerly booking for more capacity, while orders are expected to be filled through 2026. Now it seems that the demand from China has also been heating up.

Reportedly, TSMC is planning to raise its 3nm prices by over 5%, and advanced packaging prices are anticipated to increase by approximately 10% to 20% next year.

To meet this robust demand, TSMC plans to increase monthly production capacity to 130,000 wafers for its 3nm process and 160,000 to 170,000 wafers for its 4/5nm processes.

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(Photo credit: TSMC)