Apple is set to unveil the highly anticipated iPhone 16 on September 9, with many expecting that the AI platform “Apple Intelligence” will spark a supercycle in iPhone 16 sales. However, Bloomberg suggests that the slow rollout of Apple Intelligence may make such a supercycle unlikely.

The report notes that while Apple Intelligence will be a major highlight of the iPhone 16 launch, a more refined version might not be available for some time. The initial release is expected to lack several features, including ChatGPT. Additionally, Apple Intelligence will not be launched in the EU (including Italy, France, Spain, Sweden, Germany) or China.

Even if Apple successfully convinces consumers to adopt its AI platform, reportedly, Apple Intelligence will not be available with the iPhone 16 at launch. It is expected to roll out with the iOS 18.1 update in October.

Furthermore, ChatGPT integration is scheduled for later this year, and significant new features for Siri will not be available until next year, as Apple has also decided to delay the release of its latest image generation features to the iOS 18.2 update in December, rather than in iOS 18.1.

With many features expected to be introduced gradually, the AI platform may not be sufficient to drive a large-scale upgrade cycle this year. For these reasons, the report believes that the iPhone 17, slated for next fall, is more likely to generate a supercycle.

According to Apple’s official website, Apple Intelligence will only support devices with the built-in M1 or newer processors (such as iPad Air, iPad Pro, and Mac), as well as the 2023 iPhone 15 Pro Max and iPhone 15 Pro, but not the entry-level iPhone 15.

For the first quarter this year, TrendForce reported that Apple faced a decline in sales in the Chinese market, resulting in a drop in annual production to 47.9 million units.

This decline prompted several adjustments within the component supply chain, although production plans for processor chips remained unchanged. TrendForce posits that the second quarter falls within a product iteration gap for Apple, and production is expected to decrease by approximately 10%.

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(Photo credit: Apple)