China


2024-08-30

[News] ASML Might Not Be Able to Provide Advanced Chipmaking Maintenance Services to China as Early as 2025

Earlier in July, former ASML CEO Peter Wennick stated that the chip war between the U.S. and China may continue for quite a long time, even for decades. Now his prophecy seems to come true, as the Netherlands is said to ban the semiconductor equipment giant from conducting equipment maintenance and providing related backup components in China, according to the latest report by Bloomberg.

As the targets of the measure reportedly includes ASML’s deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography systems, if implemented, the move would be a heavy blow to China’s semiconductor industry, especially on the development of advanced nodes, the report notes.

On the other hand, regarding ASML’s sales in lithography units in the second quarter of 2024, China emerged as the largest market, as it contributed 49% of the revenue, higher than South Korea’s 28% and Taiwan’s 11%. Therefore, the reported restriction will be a major setback for the company’s financial performance.

The report from Bloomberg, citing sources familiar with the matter, indicates that the government led by Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof is unlikely to renew some of ASML’s licenses for maintenance and the provision of backup components in China, which are set to expire at the end of 2024. These licenses include those related to ASML’s sale of DUV lithography equipment.

The report further suggests that ASML’s products are usually sold with maintenance agreements, which are crucial for the equipment to operate properly and continuously. Therefore, if ASML’s licenses for maintenance and the provision of backup components to China are no longer granted, some equipment may be unable to function properly as early as 2025.

In response to the rumors, both ASML and the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs have declined to comment, Bloomberg notes.

In terms of the reason behind the move, the report states that the decision may be made after the Dutch government received pressure from the U.S. Citing a senior official from the Biden administration, if the super power’s allied countries do not agree to align with Washington on semiconductor controls against China, the U.S. government could propose certain unilateral measures against partner countries, including the use of the Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR).

The measure allows the U.S. to control transactions involving foreign products that use U.S. technology, thus is considered to be a tactic leveraged to push its allies, including the Netherlands, Japan and South Korea, to impose restrictions on semiconductor equipment exports to China.

According to a previous report by Reuters, since 2019, ASML has been prohibited from selling its most advanced EUV tool line in China as part of a U.S.-led effort to curb Beijing’s technological and military progress. Afterwards, China had to rely on ASML’s DUV lithography machines to advance in its semiconductor manufacturing technology.

As per a report by Wccftech in May, SMIC seems to be able to use ASML’s old DUV lithography machines to manufacture 5nm chips for Huawei. Therefore, if ASML stops servicing and supplying parts for DUV machines in China in the future, companies like Huawei and its foundry partner SMIC will find it increasingly difficult to make breakthroughs with their existing capabilities.

The latest report by Bloomberg emphasized that ASML’s CFO, Roger Dassen, confirmed in a July earnings call that the company still has employees in the fabs of Chinese customers. Therefore, if the maintenance ban is implemented, ASML will have to withdraw the employees who provide equipment services to Chinese semiconductor companies.

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(Photo credit: ASML)

Please note that this article cites information from BloombergReuters and Wccftech.
2024-08-29

[News] iPhone Orders Rumored to Rise Over 10% This Year amid AI Demand, yet Suppliers Stay Cautious

According to a report from Nikkei on August 29, Apple is said to be betting that its first iPhone with Apple Intelligence will be a hit. Thus, the tech giant has requested suppliers to provide components for approximately 88 to 90 million iPhones, over 10% more than the initial component orders of 80 million units for new iPhones in 2023.

Reportedly, some component suppliers have received orders for more than 90 million iPhones. However, they also noted that Apple’s initial orders are typically larger, with adjustments made based on actual sales performance after the launch.

An industry source cited in the report expressed caution regarding Apple’s strong order volume, noting that geopolitical factors are likely to pose significant challenges for iPhone sales in China.

The report cited multiple sources, noting that Apple suppliers are generally cautious,  and forecasting that iPhone shipments for the year will likely be flat, due to the high comparison base from 2023.

In late 2022, COVID-19 has caused disruptions in Zhengzhou, China, the world’s largest iPhone manufacturing hub, resulting in the delay in iPhone shipments to the first half of 2023.

On the other hand, it is still unclear how Apple Intelligence will operate in China, as Apple has yet to finalize agreements with any Chinese AI companies.

While OpenAI’s chatbot, ChatGPT, is available in countries like the United States, it is not accessible in China. To introduce similar AI functionalities, Apple will likely need to collaborate with Chinese AI companies.

A previous report from Economic Daily News once indicated that Apple has been in discussions with Baidu, Alibaba Group, and Beijing-based startup Baichuan AI, but no agreements have been confirmed yet.

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(Photo credit: Apple)

Please note that this article cites information from Nikkei and Economic Daily News.

2024-08-28

[News] Chinese Two Funds Invested a Total of CNY 8.5 Billion in IC and Semiconductor Sectors

Recently, the Zhongguancun Science City Technology Growth Phase II Fund and the Vertex Ventures China Technology Innovation Phase II RMB Fund were successively launched, with a combined investment of over CNY 8.5 billion targeting integrated circuit (IC) and semiconductor sectors.

  • Zhongguancun Science City Technology Growth Phase II Fund Launched with a Total Scale of CNY 5 Billion

On August 26, as per the official website of Haidian, Beijing, Zhongguancun Science City Technology Growth Phase II Fund was officially launched with a total scale of CNY 5 billion. This marks a further investment in technology innovation investment for Zhongguancun Science City, expanding the total scale CNY to 10 billion.

Zhongguancun Science City Technology Growth Fund is funded by the Haidian government, with each phase sized at CNY 5 billion. The Technology Growth Phase II Fund consists of a CNY 4 billion parent fund and a CNY 1 billion direct investment fund, managed by an investment company under Zhongguancun Science City.

In recent years, Haidian District has actively built a “1+X+1” modern industrial system, in reference to accelerating the development of strategic emerging industries such as biomedicine, IC, and commercial space under the support of the two “1”s–AI and technology service industries.

The Technology Growth Phase II Fund will closely align with this industrial system, focusing on high-potential, high-growth projects, leveraging capital to boost high-quality regional economic development, and accelerating the transformation and application of technological innovation achievements.

It is reported that following this official launch, the “Zhongguancun Science City Technology Growth Fund Sub-fund Application Guidelines” will simultaneously seek collaborative projects, with the first batch of collaborative sub-fund projects expected to be completed by September 30.

  • Vertex Ventures Phase II Fund Completed a Fundraising of CNY 3.5 Billion, Targeting Sectors including Semiconductor

On August 26, Vertex Venture announced the recent successful completion of fundraising for its “Vertex Technology Phase II RMB Fund” (hereinafter referred to as “RMB Phase II”), with a scale exceeding CNY 3.5 billion, setting a new record compared to RMB Phase I.

Reportedly, RMB Phase II will primarily zero in on innovative technology sectors, including chip semiconductors, intelligent robotics solutions, large model-related applications, new energy, new materials, and medical technology.

It is noted that Vertex has consistently maintained a stable pace of fundraising and investment, with its main funds including five funds in USD and two funds in CNY, each steadily expanding in scale.

Notably, this phase has seen a significant reinvestment from LP in Phase I, as well as the introduction of large insurance companies, further improving the LP structure.

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(Photo credit: ZGC Science City)

Please note that this article cites information from WeChat account DRAMeXchange
2024-08-28

[News] China’s Gallium and Germanium Export Restrictions Risk Chip Production Shortages

China’s export controls on crucial semiconductor materials are reportedly hitting the supply chain, with concerns rising over potential shortages of advanced chips and military optical hardware.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, China produces 98% of the world’s gallium and 60% of its germanium. However, since July of last year, the Chinese government has imposed export restrictions on these minerals, causing their prices in Europe to nearly double over the past year. China claims these measures are to protect national security and interests in response to U.S. export sanctions.

As per a report from the Financial Times, an industry source who works at a large consumer of semiconductor materials has revealed that the situation with China is extremely critical, with significant reliance on China’s supplies.

Affected companies have also disclosed that while there is still some bulk shipment of Chinese gallium, the overall export volume has dropped by about half since the controls were implemented. If China continues to reduce gallium exports as it did in the first half of the year, reserves could be depleted, leading to shortages.

Per the same report from Financial Times, Jan Giese, Senior Manager at Frankfurt-based trading firm Tradium, noted that the gallium and germanium his company obtained through China’s new export licensing program account for only a small portion of past purchases. These export controls are adding additional pressure on markets outside China, making an already challenging market even more complex.

Gallium and germanium are crucial for semiconductor applications, military, and communications equipment. They are essential materials for producing advanced microprocessors, optical fiber products, and night vision goggles, so ongoing export restrictions by the Chinese government could hinder the production of such items.

Meanwhile, the Chinese government has announced new export restrictions on antimony this month. Antimony is used in armor-piercing ammunition, night vision goggles, and precision optical components. This follows previous export controls on graphite and rare earth extraction and separation technologies.

Under the regulations, each shipment requires approval, which takes 30 to 80 days and involves uncertainty, making long-term supply contracts impractical. Applications must specify the buyer and intended use.

The report cites sources in the semiconductor materials sector, noting that China is using these restrictions to catch up with the U.S. and other semiconductor technology leaders. Given the current global situation and U.S.-China relations, there seems to be no motivation for China to ease export controls.

Addressing the matter, the China’s foreign ministry declined to comment.

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(Photo credit: iStock)

Please note that this article cites information from Financial Times.

2024-08-27

[News] Xiaomi Reportedly to Launch In-House Processor in 2025, Manufactured with TSMC’s 4nm

According to a report from wccftech,  previous claims about Xiaomi abandoning the development of its smartphone processor due to high costs were incorrect. Instead, Xiaomi is expected to release its custom solution in the first half of 2025, with its performance rumored to be equivalent to Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Gen 1, which was released two years ago. The chip is said to be manufactured with TSMC’s 4nm process.

The chip, as per wccftech citing sources, will be produced using TSMC’s N4P process,  which is a generation behind the Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Gen 4 and MediaTek’s Dimensity 9400. However, as the shipment volume might be not as high, it is reasonable that Xiaomi might not need to opt for the most advanced manufacturing process.

Although TSMC has already introduced its 3nm process and is advancing towards 2nm, its 4nm N4P process is still competitive, as both the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 and Dimensity 9300 are produced with N4P.

The sources also indicate that the performance of Xiaomi’s in-house chip is similar to that of Snapdragon 8 Gen 1’s, while the 5G modem chip will be supplied by another Chinese company, Unisoc. Xiaomi’s move towards developing its own smartphone chips is expected to its reduce reliance on Qualcomm and MediaTek.

Shanghai-based fabless chip firm Unisoc, is specialized in areas including 2G/3G/4G/5G, Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, TV FM, satellite communications and other related technologies, according to its website.

Per a previous report from wccftech, Qualcomm executives had hinted that the Snapdragon 8 Gen 4 will be more expensive than the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3, and they may also charge partners for the 5G modem chip. By developing its own chips, Xiaomi can gain valuable experience and gradually reduce its dependence on Qualcomm.

 

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(Photo credit: Xiaomi)

Please note that this article cites information from wccftech.

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