Insights
China’s industrial profits continued to rise in July, as reported on August 27. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the cumulative year-on-year growth rate of profits for large-scale industrial enterprises reached 3.6% from January to July, an increase of 0.1% compared to the January to June period. The year-on-year growth rate for July alone was 4.1%, up 0.5 percentage points from June, marking the second consecutive month of accelerated growth.
This recovery was primarily driven by the high-tech manufacturing sector, which saw a profit growth rate of 12.8%, contributing over 60% to the overall growth. This reflects the Chinese government’s support for high-tech, high-efficiency, and high-quality products.
However, in a recent statement, Yu Wei Ning, an industrial statistician at the National Bureau of Statistics, pointed out that domestic consumer demand remains weak, which has compressed the profits of some industrial enterprises. This situation is also reflected in the July Producer Price Index (PPI), which declined by 0.8%, marking the 22nd consecutive month of negative growth in PPI.
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According to a report from Bloomberg, Applied Materials Inc. pointed out that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has requested information regarding its federal grant applications, further intensifying the government’s investigation into the company’s operations.
Per a regulatory filing last week, the chip equipment manufacturer received a subpoena from the DOJ and is fully cooperating with the government. Reportedly, the company stated that the request pertains to certain federal award applications and information submitted to the federal government.
Applied Materials had applied for government support for its planned research center under the U.S. CHIPS and Science Act, which was expected to bolster local chip facilities.
Yet, per previous reports by Bloomberg and Tom’s Hardware, the company’s funding application was ultimately denied, leaving the USD 4 billion research center planned for Sunnyvale, California, underfunded.
It is worth noting that though the U.S. keeps tightening the export controls on the semiconductor sector, major chip equipment makers seem to become increasingly dependent on the Chinese market.
Thus, Applied Materials’ dealings with China have already been under government scrutiny. Notably, from February to April, China accounted for 43% of the total sales of Applied Materials, a 22 percentage point increase YoY.
Back in February of this year, Applied Materials had already received subpoenas from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Massachusetts, even before the DOJ subpoena, and was reportedly under investigation for allegedly sending equipment to SMIC, China’s leading chipmaker, through South Korea without export licenses.
Addressing the matter, Applied Materials did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
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(Photo credit: Applied Materials)
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China has turned itself into “the world’s market” for semiconductor, while it eyes to play a crucial role in chip manufacturing by procuring more equipment. The latest reports by Bloomberg and Technews, citing data from China’s General Administration of Customs, indicates that Chinese imports of chip equipment in the first seven months of 2024 hit a new high, totaling USD 26 billion.
It is worth noting that in July 2024, the Netherlands’ total exports to China exceeded USD 2 billion, reporting the second-highest single-month record ever, the reports say, which can be largely contributed to China’s stockpiling of ASML’s systems and other machinery.
Tightening U.S. Export Restrictions May Lead to China’s Import Surge with Mature Nodes Its Major Focus
The primary reason behind this surge, according to Bloomberg, may likely be that Chinese tech companies are preparing for further export restrictions on advanced chip manufacturing tools launched by the U.S. and its allies.
The report states that Chinese tech companies are particularly focused on purchasing semiconductor equipment for mature process, from companies like ASML, Applied Materials, and Tokyo Electron. The move allows fabs in China to produce chips needed for local industries, primarily the automotive sector.
Most of the equipment was said to be lithography systems used for mature nodes, which are crucial for Chinese foundries like SMIC. The company is rumored to produce 5nm chips for Huawei this year, by using old deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines purchased from ASML.
New Local Fabs Opening up, Driving China’s Chip Making Equipment Procurement
In addition to counter the possible export restrictions from the U.S., the reports state that China’s aggressive procurement may also be due to the expansion wave of fabs this year. According to SEMI’s projection, among the 42 new fabs expected to go online in 2024, China leads by 18, which further boosts the country’s purchase of semiconductor production equipment.
The momentum also drives demand for local semiconductor equipment manufacturers in China. Chinese semiconductor company Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. (AMEC) reported a strong second quarter, with its revenue up 36.46% year-on-year to RMB 3.448 billion. Its etching equipment revenue reached RMB 2.698 billion, a year-on-year increase of 56.68%.
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(Photo credit: SMIC)
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Earlier in July, ASML CEO Christophe Fouquet noted that though China’s progress on cutting-edge chips is ten years behind the U.S., the world is in need of the legacy chips it manufactured. Now it seems that in order to become “the world’s factory,” China has to turn itself into “the world’s market” first.
And it has already been doing so. Over 40% of major semiconductor equipment manufacturers’ revenue in the second quarter of 2024, including that of Applied Materials, ASML and Tokyo Electron, came from China. In addition, another report by Maeli Business Newspaper highlights that Samsung Electronics and SK hynix also saw their sales in China double in the first half of this year.
Samsung’s Revenue from China Doubled in 1H24, Mainly Boosted by Semiconductors
Citing comments from Analysts, the report attributes China’s strong demand for Korean semiconductors to the country’s aggressive economic stimulus measures and the surge in AI, coinciding with the semiconductor upturn.
Citing Samsung’s semi-annual report on the 22nd, the report notes that its sales in China soared to KRW 32.3452 trillion (around USD 24.2 billion) in the first half of 2024, doubling from KRW 17.808 trillion in the first half of last year. According to Samsung’s website, China accounted for 17% of its revenue in the second quarter of 2024, rising from 11% in 2Q23.
The sales figures for China reported by Samsung encompass not only its flagship semiconductor products but also others like smartphones and home appliances. However, it is worth noting that unlike the situation in the U.S. and Europe, where the revenue structure is more diversified, semiconductors are believed to constitute the majority of sales in China, the report suggests.
HBM May Be a Major Contributor of South Korean Memory Giants’ Soaring Revenue in China
The soaring revenue in China echoes with the rumor that the U.S. is reportedly mulling new measures to limit China’s access to AI memory, an arena South Korean memory giants excel at. A previous report by Reuters noted that as the restrictions might be imposed as early as late August, Chinese tech giants like Huawei and Baidu, along with other startups, are said to be stockpiling high bandwidth memory (HBM) semiconductors from Samsung Electronics.
Citing a source from the semiconductor industry, Maeli states that the rapid growth of HBM is driving a significant shift in China’s DRAM market. The surging demand, derived from the need for server and enterprise PC upgrades as well as the launch of new AI-equipped PCs, appears to have boosted sales in China, benefiting South Korean memory giants.
The current HBM market leader, SK hynix, currently operates a DRAM plant in Wuxi, a packaging facility in Chongqing, and a NAND plant acquired from Intel in Dalian. Its sales in China in 1H24, according to the report, is estimated to amount to KRW 8.6061 trillion (around USD 6.4 billion), more than doubling its sales from the same period last year (KRW 3.8821 trillion).
The report, citing SK hynix’s semi-annual report, notes that the sales and net profit of SK hynix Semiconductor China in 1H24 were KRW 2.6624 trillion and KRW 119.4 billion, respectively. In the same period last year, it reported a loss of KRW 165.6 billion.
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(Photo credit: Samsung)
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Per Korean media theElec on August 19, Samsung Electronics is considering outsourcing part of its Micro LED display production to a third party including China-based MTC.
According to industry sources cited by Korean media, Samsung is currently evaluating the possibility of outsourcing production due to cost considerations, particularly for the low-end Micro LED display targeting markets like India and the Middle East.
Industry sources further reveal that the proportion of outsourced orders is expected to account for 20-30% of Samsung’s total Micro LED display products.
It’s reported that Samsung mainly provides Micro LED display for residential and commercial applications. In TV market, Samsung purchased Micro LED chips from San’an and PlayNitride.
After these chips are placed on substrate, transferred and packaged, Samsung directly handles other processes. For low-end products, the majority of current Micro LED production is done by itself, with only a small portion outsourced.
Technically, Samsung’s latest Micro LED TV uses LTPS TFT (Low-Temperature Polycrystalline Silicon Thin-Film Transistor) technology, while its commercial Micro LED display is still based on PCB technology.
The report suggested that if Samsung outsources the production of commercial Micro LED modules to manufacturers like MTC, they would assemble them for Samsung using PCBA (Printed Circuit Board Assembly) methods.
Given that companies like MTC in China have improved their Micro LED module technology, Samsung believes there is no significant difference between outsourcing production and completing the related module processes in-house.
Moreover, it could reduce production cost. If cooperates with MTC, Samsung expects Micro LED production cost to potentially decrease by 5-10%.
Besides cost reduction, Korean media point out that Samsung’s consideration of outsourcing low-end product production could allow it to focus on Micro LED module bonding and seamless technology, which are closely related to semiconductor manufacturing processes.
Industry sources highlight that the bonding and seamless technology of Micro LED modules are more critical, as these processes determine the final quality of Micro LED, despite the highly overlapping supply chains of Micro LED chips among manufacturers.
In fact, Samsung’s plan to reduce Micro LED cost has long been an open secret within the industry. As per Korean media reports in July, Samsung has already initiated its cost reduction plan and is currently working with relevant partners to push this project forward.
However, it’s worth noting that the potential partner mentioned by Korean media is BMTC. According to information from LEDinside, MTC’s LED business includes two downstream subsidiaries: VMTC and BMTC.
The former focuses on COB fine-pitch display business, while the latter on SMD LED packaging, backlighting, and lighting. If Samsung were to collaborate with MTC on Micro LED manufacturing, the corresponding products would theoretically be VMTC’s COB modules.
Currently, no official confirmation is disclosed, and the actual situation remains to be verified.
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(Photo credit: Samsung)