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Apple is reportedly shifting its mixed reality (MR) device strategy by abandoning the development of its existing high-end Vision Pro headset in favor of launching an affordable MR device expected to debut next year. According to a report from Economic Daily News, it’s rumored that Foxconn is likely to replace Luxshare as the manufacturer for Apple’s affordable MR device, although Foxconn typically refrains from commenting on order specifics and client relationships.
Alongside this move, Apple reportedly plans to incorporate AI capabilities into the product, which is anticipated to significantly boost sales of the affordable MR device. Per the sources cited by the same report, they are optimistic that companies like Genius Electronic Optical (GSEO) and GIS Industries are poised to benefit from the opportunities.
According to a report from tech media outlet The Information citing sources, Apple initially planned to release two versions of the Vision device, akin to the standard and Pro versions of the iPhone. However, Apple is said to have informed at least one supplier to halt the development of the next-generation high-end Vision Pro headset.
Recently, Apple has planned to launch the USD 3,500 Vision Pro in eight new markets, including China and Japan. However, The Information, citing a source from a supplier, reported that after receiving Apple’s forecast of weakened demand for the Vision Pro by August, the supplier cut production by half in May.
The sole supplier, which has no competitors, produced approximately 460,000 Vision Pro components in the first four months of this year and plans to produce an additional 100,000 components from May to August. This suggests that Apple expects to produce at most around 500,000 units this year, with no significant production increase before August.
The Information revealed that Apple started developing a more affordable version of the Vision product in 2022, internally codenamed “N109.” According to the report, Apple is also trying to reduce the weight of the budget version by at least one-third compared to the Vision Pro. It is further reported that Foxconn will replace Luxshare as the manufacturer for Apple’s affordable MR device.
Industry sources cited by the same report indicated that Apple has already announced Apple Intelligence, confirming that AI applications will be integrated into all future devices. The next generation of MR devices, featuring more AI functions and applications along with a more affordable price, is expected to boost demand and significantly increase shipment volumes, benefiting Foxconn.
Other Taiwanese collaborators are also poised to benefit. GSEO has gradually been obtaining orders from the supply chains of Sony, Meta, and Apple, providing lenses and components for VR/MR headsets. GSEO expects VR-related applications to account for 20-30% of its revenue this year.
GIS plays a crucial role in the Vision Pro supply chain, handling the most technically challenging lens bonding tasks. Its production base is located in Chengdu, China, and it is generally anticipated to be part of the supply chain for Apple’s affordable MR headset as well.
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(Photo credit: Apple)
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Source to Tai Sounds, in what is considered a major camera upgrade highlight for the iPhone 15 Pro Max, the “periscope lens,” Apple made no mention of it during its product announcement. Industry insiders suggest that the 5x optical zoom is achieved using a periscope lens, and Apple may have chosen not to disclose this technology, possibly due to competition within the industry. Renowned analyst, Ming-Chi Kuo, who is known for his deep understanding of Apple, stated that Largan Precision has expanded its production capacity to meet this order.
Kuo explained that Apple’s long-range camera for the iPhone will adopt a periscope design starting this year. This design will be used in the iPhone 15 Pro Max released this year and the iPhone 16 Pro Max and iPhone 16 Pro scheduled for next year. Largan Precision, a Taiwanese manufacturer, has expanded its production facilities in both Taichung and Xiamen to accommodate this order.
During the Apple product presentation, they emphasized the 5x optical zoom capability of the iPhone 15 Pro Max, claiming it’s equivalent to having seven individual camera lenses. However, there was no mention of the key technology, the “periscope lens,” which led some market experts to believe that the iPhone 15 Pro Max did not incorporate this technology, causing a decline in optical lens-related stocks.
According to the analyst, Ming-Chi Kuo’s, from Tianfeng Securities’ latest research on September 13th, Apple’s long-range camera for the iPhone will indeed adopt a periscope design starting this year, covering the iPhone 15 Pro Max, next year’s iPhone 16 Pro Max, and iPhone 16 Pro.
In terms of technical specifications, Kuo’s analysis indicates that the periscope lenses on the iPhone 15 and iPhone 16 will share similar specifications, including a 1/3″ 12MP sensor, f/2.8 aperture, Sensor shift support, and 5-6x optical zoom.
Kuo also pointed out that the cost of components depends on yield rates in mass production. Based on estimates using the cost of existing periscope lenses as a reference, the total production value of various components for the rear cameras of the iPhone 15 series in the second half of this year, including CIS, VCM, lenses, and CCM, is expected to grow by 5-10%, 20-25%, 65-70%, and 20-25%, respectively.
Benefiting from more iPhone 16 Pro models adopting periscope lenses and other rear camera upgrades, the total production value of various components for the rear cameras of the new iPhone 16 series next year, including CIS, VCM, lenses, and CCM, is expected to grow by 15-20%, 15-20%, 40-45%, and 15-20%, respectively.
Kuo also explained that among all the components, the lens specifications and business models are changing the most, and the growth in production value is most significant. A complete periscope lens module includes high-priced 1G2P lenses, two high-priced prisms, and lens barrels. High-priced materials are the key drivers of production value. Apple’s lens suppliers will provide more complex assembly services for the first time, as Largan Precision and Yujingguang have expanded their production capacities in Taichung and Xiamen, respectively, to meet this order. (Image credit: Apple.com)