As per a report from Kyodo News on August 21st, that the Japan-based chip manufacturer Rapidus is expected to begin mass production of 2nm chips by 2027. To secure the necessary funds for semiconductor production, Rapidus is reportedly seeking JPY 100 billion in financing from banks.

Reportedly, Rapidus has requested financing from Japan’s three major banks—Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, and Mizuho Bank—as well as from the Development Bank of Japan.

Additionally, Rapidus has asked existing shareholders, including Toyota, for additional investment. The response of these shareholders is now a key point of interest.

Rapidus, established in August 2022, is a joint venture funded by eight Japanese companies: Toyota, Sony, NTT, NEC, SoftBank, Denso, NAND Flash maker Kioxia, and Mitsubishi UFJ.

The report further indicates that Rapidus currently relies mainly on government subsidies to advance its projects. To achieve its goal of mass-producing 2nm chips by 2027, a total investment of approximately JPY 5 trillion from both public and private sectors is expected.

If Rapidus secures the requested 100 billion yen in financing, it would mark the first major funding from financial institutions, representing a significant step forward for the company.

Per an earlier report from Nikkei, the Japanese government has so far decided to provide JPY 920 billion in subsidies to Rapidus. Additionally, the eight private Japanese companies, including Toyota, have invested JPY 7.3 billion in the venture.

However, there remains a funding gap of about JPY 4 trillion. Establishing production technology and acquiring customers are challenging tasks, and some banks are cautious about providing financing, which may pose obstacles to meeting the funding requirements.

Nikkei’s report on August 10 also pointed out that Rapidus, which began construction on its 2nm wafer fab in Hokkaido last September, plans to start mass production of 2nm chips by 2027.

The external construction of the facility is expected to be completed in October this year, with the installation of Japan’s first extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography equipment scheduled for December. The plan includes introducing several additional EUV machines in the future.

Koike expressed confidence in achieving the 2027 mass production goal and emphasized that Rapidus aims to produce semiconductors at least twice as fast as its competitors, with potential speed increases for smaller batches.

He also addressed that the company will collaborate with Japan’s top material and equipment suppliers to lower costs and produce globally competitive products.

Read more

• [News] Rapidus to Fully Automate 2nm Fab, Claiming Chip Delivery Times at One-Third of Its Competitors
• [News] Japanese Government Reportedly Plans to Offer Guaranteed Loans to Chip Startup Rapidus

(Photo credit: Rapidus)

As per a report from Economic Daily News, TSMC’s first European 12-inch fab is set to hold its groundbreaking ceremony on August 20. Along with TSMC’s ongoing projects in Japan and the U.S., the investment has amounted to nearly USD 100 billion. Meanwhile, this move is also expected to generate opportunities for supporting Taiwanese contractors.

The new TSMC facility in Dresden, Germany, is anticipated to use 28/22nm planar CMOS and 16/12nm FinFET process, with a monthly production capacity of approximately 40k 12-inch wafers.

Per TSMC’s plan, its fab in Germany will start operation by the end of 2027, with estimated costs exceeding EUR 10 billion (approximately USD 10.8 billion), creating opportunities in plant equipment and engineering sectors.

In response to the demand, Marketech International, a Taiwanese fab tool maker, has already set up offices and accommodations in Dresden in 2023 and has deployed staff there.

Additionally, Topco Scientific, a Taiwanese semiconductor materials distributor, is also said to be planning to establish a presence in Europe, with plans to set up operations in Prague, Czech Republic, about two hours’ drive from Dresden.

On the other hand, TSMC is accelerating the construction of its Kumamoto plant in Japan, with production scheduled to begin by the end of this year. This facility will be the fastest among TSMC’s new overseas fabs to start production. TSMC is also actively advancing the construction of a second Kumamoto plant.

TSMC plans to invest over USD 20 billion in its two Japanese facilities, which are expected to have a combined monthly capacity of over 100k 12-inch wafers. The plants will offer 40nm, 22/28nm, 12/16nm, and 6/7nm process.

Once operational, the Kumamoto plant is anticipated to generate significant opportunities in the semiconductor inspection sector.

MA-tek, a giant in semiconductor inspection and analysis services, is planning to expand its service at its laboratories in Nagoya and Kumamoto, while setting up a third laboratory to fully meet the needs of local semiconductor clients.

As for TSMC’s fab in Arizona, U.S., the company has planned a total capital expenditure exceeding USD 65 billion. Industry sources cited by Economic Daily News have expected that companies like United Integrated Services and Marketech International will continue to benefit from this investment.

Read more

• [News] TSMC Reports No Major Damage to Kumamoto Plant after 7.1 Magnitude Earthquake near Kyushu, Japan
• [News] TSMC’s German Plant Reported to Break Ground in Weeks, Expected to Begin Production by Late 2027

(Photo credit: TSMC)

Over the past two weeks, the unexpected rate hike by Japan, coupled with weak U.S. manufacturing PMI and rising unemployment rates, sparked fears of an economic recession in the markets. Meanwhile the strengthening of the yen prompted a significant number of carry trade investors to sell assets to cover margin calls, leading to a sharp decline in global stock markets within a short period.

However, as the U.S. services PMI and jobless claims came in better than expected, along with dovish remarks from the Bank of Japan, global stock markets quickly rebounded. Given the market’s heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic changes, this week’s key economic data need to be closely watched. Below is a preview of the upcoming economic data this week, as well as potential  market outlook regarding these key indicators.

August 14:

• July U.S. CPI: In June, the U.S. CPI increased by 3.0% year-over-year, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 3.3%. According to a survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia for the third quarter of 2024, it is expected that as the labor market slows and service inflation decreases, the CPI and core CPI will decline to 2.5% and 2.6%, respectively, by the end of 2024.

Read more at Datatrack

• July U.K. CPI: In June, the U.K. CPI rose by 2% year-over-year, with the CPIH (including owner-occupiers’ housing costs) at 2.8%. Excluding food, energy, and tobacco, the core CPI and CPIH were 3.5% and 4.2%, respectively. According to the August MPC meeting minutes, the Bank of England expects the CPI to rise to around 2.75% by the end of 2024 due to a reduction in the impact of energy prices, before falling back to the target of around 2%.

Read more at Datatrack

August 15:

• China’s July Economic Data: In June, China’s retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2% year-over-year, industrial output rose by 5.3%, and fixed asset investment grew by 3.9%. The market expects that with the summer season and a low base effect, retail sales could rebound to 2.6%. Meanwhile, industrial output is anticipated to increase to 5.4% due to sustained high growth in industrial exports, while fixed asset investment is expected to remain steady at 3.9%.

Read more at Datatrack

• July U.S. Retail Sales: In June, U.S. retail sales increased by 3.0% year-over-year, with monthly growth flat. Core retail sales rose by 0.4% month-over-month, while double core retail sales (excluding autos and gasoline) increased by 0.8%, and control group retail sales rose by 0.9%. Given the slowdown in consumer spending, the market expects a modest monthly growth of 0.3% in July retail sales.

Read more at Datatrack

• Japan’s Q2 Real GDP: In Q1, Japan’s real GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 1.8%, and was revised downward to -2.9% due to declines in consumption and exports. According to a survey by the Japan Center for Economic Research, economists expect Q2 2024 GDP growth to reach an annualized rate of 2.26% driven by a rebound in external demand. The Bank of Japan forecasts full-year 2024 GDP growth of 0.5% to 0.7%.

Read more at Datatrack

(Photo Credit: Federal Reserve)

According to a report by Nikkei, Japanese chip manufacturer Rapidus plans to establish a fully automated production line using robots and AI in northern Japan to produce 2nm chips for advanced AI applications, with mass production anticipated as early as 2027.

Reportedly, Rapidus claims that automated production will significantly accelerate production times, reducing chip delivery time to just one-third of that of its competitors. The company’s fab is expected to complete its external structure by October, with EUV lithography system set to arrive in December.

Compared to other companies already operating fabs, building a fully automated plant could give Rapidus a significant advantage. While the front-end of chip manufacturing are already highly automated, the back-end processes, such as packaging and testing, remain labor-intensive.

Rapidus CEO Atsuyoshi Koike stated that this approach will deliver higher performance and faster turnaround times for the same 2nm products compared to other competing chipmakers.

Per a report from Tom’s Hardware, Rapidus is currently two years behind TSMC and Samsung, both of which are expected to begin 2nm chip production in 2025. If Rapidus can deliver chips faster without compromising on price or quality, it may secure a place in the market.

Despite the optimistic outlook, Rapidus faces operational challenges. The company revealed that it will need JPY 2 trillion (approximately USD 14 billion) to begin operation in 2025, and at least JPY 5 trillion in total for the start of mass production.

Although Rapidus has received JPY 920 billion in subsidies from the Japanese government, private companies remain hesitant to invest due to the company’s lack of track record.

Atsuyoshi Koike added that, given the current situation, it is difficult for Rapidus to secure private financing. The company is discussing ways to make financing easier, such as implementing a government loan guarantee system.

Read more

• [News] Japanese Government Reportedly Plans to Offer Guaranteed Loans to Chip Startup Rapidus
• [News] Rapidus Partners RISC-V Player Esperanto, Targeting Low-Power AI Chip

(Photo credit: Rapidus)

Japanese semiconductor equipment maker Tokyo Electron (TEL) has raised its profit forecast for the fiscal year 2024 (ending March 2025), expecting an operating profit of JPY 627 billion (approximately USD 4.3 billion), an 8% increase from its previous guidance.

Tokyo Electron contributed the strong growth trend compared to the previous fiscal year, driven by China’s significant investment in mature semiconductor nodes. The company has also raised its sales and profit outlook for the period from April to September.

For the quarter ending in June, Tokyo Electron reported revenue of JPY 555 billion, reversing a declining trend seen since 2022. Operating profit for these three months was JPY 165.7 billion.

Source: TEL

The past year, to Tokyo Electron, has been in turbulence year, as initial optimism from AI demand and the semiconductor manufacturing industry was tempered by U.S. export restrictions.

Regarding the matter, Hiroshi Kawamoto, finance division officer of Tokyo Electron, stated in a conference call that there are currently no signs of the U.S. implementing stricter restrictions on chip-making tools, while the company will continue to closely monitor the situation.

As of the quarter ending in March, over 47% of its revenue came from China due to increased equipment stockpiling in anticipation of potential U.S. sanctions. In the recent quarter, nearly 50% of revenue was generated from the Chinese market.

Source: TEL

Looking ahead to the next fiscal year (FY2025), Tokyo Electron expects double-digit growth, driven by strong demand for AI servers and an increase in AI-enabled PCs and smartphones.

This resurgence in demand is anticipated to boost the market. The company expects further expansion in DRAM production and a recovery in NAND investment due to inventory adjustments. However, investment in advanced logic and foundry services is expected to offset the slowdown in mature process technologies.