Ahead of the upcoming U.S. presidential election, U.S. semiconductor equipment giants Applied Materials and Lam Research are already working out to exclude Chinese firms from supply chains, driven by Washington’s directives to limit China’s role in sensitive leading-edge technologies, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal.

According to the report, major chip toolmakers, including Applied Materials and Lam Research, are notifying suppliers that they must source alternatives for certain Chinese components or risk their vendor status. Suppliers have also been informed that they must not have Chinese investors or shareholders, according to sources cited by the report.

The move would potentially drive up costs, as finding non-Chinese alternatives at comparable prices will be challenging, noted industry executives interviewed by The Wall Street Journal.

China is now reportedly the largest market by revenue for top global chip equipment suppliers. The latest quarterly financial reports from companies such as Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA show that China contributes approximately 40% of their sales.

When asked about whether the act of finding alternatives to Chinese-made components has been initiated, Lam Research stated it complies with U.S. export controls within the chip-manufacturing supply chain, while Applied Materials indicated it seeks alternative component sources to ensure consistent availability, according to the report.

It is worth noting that as the U.S.-China Chip War escalates, both presidential candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Devi Harris, promise a firmer stance on trade with China, and the semiconductor industry is particularly targeted due to its national security significance recently.

Earlier in September, the Biden administration has introduced new export controls targeting critical technologies, including quantum computing, advanced chip making tools, specific components and software tied to metals and alloys, and high-bandwidth chips essential for AI applications, according to a previous report by CNBC.

While these restrictions apply globally, concerns have been raised on major semiconductor equipment companies, such as Dutch giant ASML and U.S. heavyweights Applied Materials and Lam Research.

The Wall Street Journal report also mentions that last year, the Commerce Department already introduced regulations requiring U.S. toolmakers to secure licenses before sharing technical details with Chinese suppliers. They received a temporary license to maintain current suppliers, set to expire at the end of 2025. This summer, the department clarified that suppliers outside China must also comply if their parent company is based in China.

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(Photo credit: Applied Materials)

Amid the escalating tech war between China and the US, along with rising geopolitical tensions, China has accelerated its import of chip manufacturing equipment since the middle of last year to counter potential US chip sanctions, with Dutch company ASML and Japanese company Tokyo Electron (TEL) benefited the most.

Notably, according to the Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI), despite US sanctions preventing China from acquiring advanced EUV lithography equipment from ASML, it reported that China’s spending on chip manufacturing equipment has reached USD 25 billion in the first half of this year, exceeding the combined total of Korea, Taiwan, and the US. SEMI data also shows that China’s spending remained strong in July and is expected to set a new annual record.

Meanwhile, per the trade data from China’s General Administration of Customs cited by Bloomberg, from January to July this year, Chinese companies imported chip manufacturing equipment worth nearly USD 26 billion, surpassing the previous record set in the same period in 2021.

SEMI projects that China will become the largest investor in new fab construction, including equipment purchases. It is expected that the country’s total spending on chip equipment for the entire year of 2024 will reach USD 50 billion.

Clark Tseng, SEMI’s senior director of market intelligence, further highlighted that at least more than 10 tier-two chip manufacturers are actively purchasing new equipment, which is driving China’s overall spending.

China is now reportedly the largest market by revenue for top global chip equipment suppliers. The latest quarterly financial reports from companies such as Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA show that China contributes approximately 40% of their revenue.

For Japanese company TEL and Dutch company ASML, the contribution from the Chinese market is even more significant, with nearly half of their revenue coming from China.

Additionally, per a report from Commercial Times, amid a global economic slowdown, China is the only region where chip manufacturing equipment spending increased in the first half of this year compared to the same period last year.

Tseng also noted that SEMI anticipates spending on new plant construction in China will “normalize” over the next two years.

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• [News] China Contributes Over 40% of U.S. Chip Equipment Makers’ Revenue despite Export Controls

(Photo credit: iStock)

Though the U.S. keeps tightening the export controls on the semiconductor sector, major chip equipment makers seem to become increasingly dependent on the Chinese market. According to a report by Nikkei, citing financial data such as Applied Materials and Lam Research, China’s share of sales have exceeded the threshold of 40%.

According to the latest forecast by SEMI, the global chip equipment sales are expected to grow by 3.4% to USD 109 billion in 2024, with China anticipated to reach a record-high USD 35 billion, accounting for over 30% of the global market.

The strong demand of China is also reflected in the sales of major U.S. chip equipment makers. Citing the latest financial data, Nikkei notes that from February to April, China accounted for 43% of the total sales of Applied Materials, a 22 percentage point increase YoY.

Similarly, from January to March, China accounted for 42% of the total sales of KLA Corporation, a 20 percentage point increase YoY.

The development appears to contradict Washington’s export control plans targeting China. In 2022, the US government restricted the export of advanced semiconductor production equipment to curb Beijing’s progress in this field. However, the manufacturing equipment for traditional chips above 28nm is not subject to these controls.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, Nikkei states that if it was not because of the regulation, the proportion of their business in China would be even higher, with sales growth in China occurring only in the non-advanced equipment sector.

The report also notes that though Washington’s policy of building a local ship supply chain does seem to benefit U.S. equipment manufacturers, they still find it difficult to reduce the reliance on China. In 2023, the U.S. accounted for 15% of Applied Materials’ total revenue, up 6 percentage points from 2021.

In order to confront the semiconductor sanctions from the U.S., China has been doubling down on the efforts by setting up its largest-ever semiconductor state investment fund. Earlier in May, it established the third phase of the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, with investment totaling USD 47.5 billion.

The aim for China’s Big Fund is to leverage fiscal funds to attract private capital, focusing on key segments of the integrated circuit industry chain, including chip design, manufacturing, packaging and testing.

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(Photo credit: Applied Materials)

The world’s top five semiconductor equipment manufacturers have released their latest financial reports, signaling a surge in demand for advanced manufacturing equipment and positive signs of industry recovery.

The US has continuously thwarted efforts by equipment suppliers to export advanced machinery to China—citing national security concerns—mid its ongoing tech conflict. How have companies like Applied Materials, ASML, TEL, Lam Research, and KLA been impacted by the US’s stringent export controls on China?

Applied Materials

Applied Materials reported US$6.71B in 1Q24 earnings—marking a less than 1% decline in revenue. The Chinese market, doubling its revenue to $3B last quarter, emerged as a bright spot, jumping from a 17% share a year ago to 45%.

This surge is primarily due to China’s urgent push to build capacity for internet devices, telecommunications, automotive, power, and sensors. Despite not expecting to maintain the current growth rate, Applied Materials believes the continued demand for more chips will drive market development.

ASML

ASML, seen as a weathervane for the industry, reported 4Q23 net sales of €7.2B, up from €6.7B in Q3. With annual sales reaching €27.6B in 2023 and a 26.3% sales share in China, ASML has surpassed South Korea to become its second-largest market.

However, ASML warns that geopolitical tensions and potential US export control expansions to China remain operational risks. The company estimates that US and Dutch export controls could reduce its sales of mid-range DUV equipment to China by about 10–15% this year.

TEL

TEL posted 3Q24 revenues of ¥463.6B, with China accounting for 46.9% of its revenue, a 42.8% QoQ increase. TEL expects continued strong demand from China, noting that the country produces only a small portion of the chips it needs and will actively invest to reduce reliance on foreign technology. This momentum is expected to continue into 2025.

Lam Research

Lam Research saw a 7.9% QoQ increase in 2Q24 revenue to $3.76B, with the share of revenue from the Chinese market decreasing from 48% to 40%. With the semiconductor industry expected to grow robustly in the coming years, driven by innovations like AI, Lam Research is poised to benefit.

The company expects equipment expenditures by DRAM manufacturers to grow due to increased HBM production and process transitions, while NAND manufacturers’ expenditures will strengthen with technological upgrades.

KLA

KLA reported a 16.7% YoY decrease in 2Q24 revenue to $2.487B, with China remaining its largest revenue contributor, though its share dropped from 43% in Q1 to 41%. KLA estimates a mid-point revenue of $2.3B for this quarter.

The demand for wafer fabrication equipment is expected to reach the higher end of the $80B range in 2024, with the second half of the year anticipated to outperform the first.

(Photo credit: iStock)