The global semiconductor market is nearing the end of its inventory cycle. With the rise of AI-related applications, new energy vehicles, 5G, high-performance computing, and other emerging sectors, industry experts estimate that the global semiconductor industry could reach a valuation of $1 trillion by around 2030.

Recently, new signals have emerged from various regions globally, including China, South Korea, and Japan. Based on the changing data, the growth in different sectors reflects shifts in supply and demand, indicating a widespread recovery trend in the semiconductor industry.

South Korea: Memory Chip Exports Surge by 60.7% YoY

On October 14, local time, data from South Korea’s Ministry of Science and ICT showed that boosted by record semiconductor sales, South Korea’s ICT (Information and Communication Technology) exports in September 2024 increased by 24% year-on-year to 22.36 billion USD(about 160 billion RMB), marking the 11th consecutive month of growth and the second-highest monthly figure on record.

In the semiconductor sector, South Korea’s semiconductor exports amounted to 13.63 billion USD (about 96.5 billion RMB) in September 2024, a historical high, with a 36.3% year-on-year increase.

Notably, memory chip exports surged 60.7% year-on-year to 8.72 billion USD, a nearly 20% increase compared to the previous month. System semiconductor exports rose 5.2% year-on-year to 4.37 billion USD. The Ministry highlighted that the demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and other high-value-added products has fueled significant growth in memory semiconductor exports.

South Korea is home to two of the world’s largest memory manufacturers: Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. According to TrendForce, Samsung and SK Hynix occupy the top two spots globally in the DRAM and NAND Flash markets, followed by Micron. Hence, South Korea’s semiconductor sector remains a focal point for the industry.

Additionally, the memory market has experienced significant fluctuations this year, with concerns about future trends.

TrendForce data indicated that before the third quarter of 2024, demand for consumer products remained weak, with AI servers driving the primary demand for memory. However, as HBM gains more market share, it is crowding out the capacity for existing DRAM products, leading suppliers to maintain certain pricing levels for contracts. Although server OEMs have maintained momentum in placing orders, smartphone brands are still cautious.

TrendForce forecasts that the growth rate of memory prices will significantly slow in the fourth quarter. Conventional DRAM prices are expected to increase by 0% to 5%, but with HBM accounting for a larger proportion of sales, the overall DRAM price is estimated to rise by 8% to 13%, marking a noticeable slowdown compared to the previous quarter.

China: Integrated Circuit Exports Grow by 22%

According to recent statistics from Chinese customs, China’s total imports and exports reached 32.33 trillion RMB in the first three quarters of 2024, up by 5.3% year-on-year. Of this, exports grew by 6.2% to 18.62 trillion RMB, and imports increased by 4.1% to 13.71 trillion RMB.

In terms of exports, China’s exports of mechanical and electrical products reached 11.03 trillion RMB in the first three quarters, an increase of 8%, accounting for 59.3% of total exports. Notably, high-end equipment exports grew by 43.4%, while exports of integrated circuits, automobiles, and household appliances rose by 22%, 22.5%, and 15.5%, respectively.

In terms of imports, China’s integrated circuit and auto parts imports grew by 13.5% and 4.6%, respectively, in the first three quarters. Consumer goods imports exceeded 1.3 trillion RMB.

Regionally, China’s trade with over 160 countries and regions has grown, indicating steady diversification. Trade with Belt and Road Initiative countries reached 15.21 trillion RMB, growing by 6.3% and accounting for 47.1% of China’s total trade. Trade with RCEP members grew by 4.5%, with ASEAN trade increasing by 9.4%. Meanwhile, trade with the EU and the U.S. grew by 0.9% and 4.2%, respectively.

Japan: Semiconductor Equipment Exports to China Surge by 61.6%

Data released by Japan’s Ministry of Finance shows that in August 2024, Japan’s semiconductor equipment exports to China surged by 61.6%, reaching 179.9 billion yen (around $1.29 billion).

The total weight of equipment exported from Japan to China in August was 6,742 tons, a 41% increase compared to the previous month. Machinery accounted for 23.2% of Japan’s total exports to China, with semiconductor equipment making up 11.9%.

These figures underscore Japan’s critical role in the global semiconductor supply chain.

Additionally, ASML, the Dutch photolithography giant, previously reported that its exports to China grew by 21% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2024, reaching 2.3 billion euros. Earlier data showed that Asia accounted for 84% of ASML’s 2023 revenue.

(Photo credit: istock)

In recent years, the U.S., Japan and the Netherlands, have increasingly expanding restrictions on China in semiconductor technology. South Korea, on the other hand, has been cautiously responding to U.S. demands due to its significant dependence on the Chinese market.

Yet, according to a report by South Korean media outlet The Korea Herald, the U.S. is increasing pressure on South Korea to comply with its export controls to China.

At the Korea-U.S. Economic Security Conference 2024 held in Washington, D.C. on September 10th, U.S. Commerce Department Undersecretary Alan Estevez called on South Korea’s two leading HBM manufacturers, Samsung and SK hynix, to align with U.S. export controls on China. He urged that their production capacity be reserved for supplying advanced chips to allied nations, rather than competitors such as China.

Estevez emphasized his appreciation for South Korea’s long-standing cooperation with the U.S., but pointed out that since AI can be used for military purposes, it is crucial to prevent China from acquiring advanced chips to train AI models.

South Korea’s Trade Minister Cheong In-kyo responded that while they will discuss the matter with the U.S., export controls have a significant impact on South Korea’s businesses and economy.

Some industry sources cited by The Korea Herald have further pointed out that the direct export volume of chips from Samsung and SK hynix to China is not significant, so the actual impact may be limited.

However, per a previous Reuters report cited sources, it’s indicated that about 30% of Samsung’s HBM chip sales in the first half of this year were to China.

The Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade noted that, unlike Japan and the Netherlands, South Korea cannot fully align with U.S. export control measures due to its significant reliance on exports to China.

Per the Chosun Daily citing data from South Korea’s Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy and the Korea International Trade Association, it’s shown that in July of this year, South Korea’s exports to China increased by 14.9% year-on-year to USD 11.4 billion, the highest since October 2022. Notably, memory exports surged 89% year-on-year to USD 6.8 billion.

Semiconductor exports saw particularly strong growth, with chip exports rising 49% year-on-year. In June this year, Korea’s memory exports also amounted to USD 8.8 billion, accounting for 65.8% of total semiconductor exports, which reportedly represents the highest proportion in two years since December 2021.

These figures reflect South Korea’s robust performance in the chip sector and the strong demand from the Chinese market for Korean semiconductors and other ICT products.

Meanwhile, due to the U.S.’s strict restrictions on chip manufacturing technology, China is striving for breakthroughs in the HBM field.

The HBM market is currently dominated by South Korea’s SK hynix, Samsung Electronics, and the U.S.’s Micron, all of which are producing the latest standard HBM3 chips.

However, a report from Tom’s Hardware, citing industry sources, has indicated that Chinese companies, including CXMT, have made progress in developing HBM and are in the early stages of production. Huawei is also collaborating with other Chinese companies, with plans to produce HBM2 chips by 2026.

Read more

• [News] ChangXin Memory Technologies in China Has Reportedly Begun Mass Production of HBM2
• [News] Progress Made in Chinese Consortium’s Development of HBM, Reportedly Targeting HBM2 Production by 2026

(Photo credit: Samsung)

According to a report from Reuters citing sources, Samsung Electronics, the global leading manufacturer of smartphones, TVs, and memory, is said to be cutting up to 30% of its overseas workforce in certain departments.

Per the same report, sources revealed that Samsung has instructed its global subsidiaries to reduce sales and marketing staff by around 15% and management personnel by as much as 30%. The plan, set to be implemented by the end of this year, will affect jobs across the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa.

Additionally, other industry sources reportedly confirmed Samsung’s global layoff plan as well. However, details about the extent of the layoffs remain confidential, making it unclear how many employees will be affected and which countries or business units will be hit the hardest.

Amid these rumored layoffs, Samsung is grappling with increasing pressure on its key departments. In May, the company replaced the head of its semiconductor division to tackle the ongoing chip crisis, as it strives to catch up with competitor SK hynix in supplying high-end memory used in AI chipsets.

In the premium smartphone market, Samsung faces fierce competition from Apple and China’s Huawei, while it has also lagged behind TSMC in chip manufacturing.

A source pointed out that the layoffs are aimed at addressing the slowdown in global tech product demand due to the global economic downturn. Another source, however, mentioned that Samsung is looking to boost profits by cutting costs.

Per Reuters, Samsung has noted in a statement, claiming that some workforce adjustments in its overseas operations are routine measures aimed at improving efficiency. The company stated that these plans do not have specific targets and added that production staff would not be affected.

According to Samsung’s 2024 sustainability report, as of the end of 2023, the company employed 267,860 people, with over half (147,104 employees) located overseas. The report indicated that the majority of jobs were in manufacturing and development, with 25,136 employees in sales and marketing, and 27,887 in other areas.

Other sources cited by Reuters revealed that the global directive for layoffs was issued about three weeks ago. Samsung’s India operations have already offered severance packages to some mid-level employees who have left in recent weeks, with the total number of employees expected to leave the Indian subsidiary potentially reaching 1,000.

Samsung employs around 25,000 people in India, where the company generates an annual revenue of approximately USD 12 billion. Wage strikes are currently disrupting production in the country.

Read more

• [News] Samsung Partners with TSMC, Its Foundry Rival, on HBM4 Development
• [News] Samsung Signals Will to Collaborate with Other Foundries on Basedie

(Photo credit: Samsung)

Recently, China has set two records in semiconductor chip sector: first, it mass-produced the world’s first 28nm embedded RRAM image quality adjustment chip; second, it developed the world’s first 16-bit quantum bit semiconductor microprocessor chip.

• Mass Production of the World’s First 28nm Embedded RRAM Image Quality Adjustment Chip

As per the official account of “Beijing Yizhuang,” the world’s first 28nm embedded RRAM (Resistive Random Access Memory) image quality adjustment chip, developed by Chinese semiconductor company Xianxin Technology in collaboration with domestic research institutes, has achieved mass production in Beijing and has been successfully applied in the high-end series of Mini LED televisions of leading brands in China.

It is reported that this 28nm display chip adopts the “digital chip + embedded RRAM” technology solution. Compared with the mainstream counterpart in the industry, which uses the “TCON + external FLASH memory,”  this chip effectively addresses issues like the high cost of external memory devices and the slow read speed of compensation parameters.

Furthermore, the chip integrates RRAM IP directly on the 28nm process node, enabling lower cost, smaller size, and higher efficiency.

Data shows that this mass-produced 28nm embedded RRAM image quality adjustment chip is not only the first domestically developed 28nm display chip in China but also the world’s first advanced commercial image quality adjustment chip to use 28nm embedded RRAM IP.

It possesses fully independent intellectual property rights. Its built-in RRAM memory module and core RRAM IP technology are derived from the transformation of research institute results, and the image quality adjustment algorithm is independently developed by Xianxin Technology.

• HKPU Develops a 16-bit Quantum Bit Semiconductor Microprocessor Chip

Recently, a research team from Hong Kong Polytechnic University (HKPU) successfully developed the world’s first 16-bit quantum bit semiconductor microprocessor chip, providing a novel solution for simulating large and complex molecular spectra.

HKPU explained that the team used a linear photonic network and compressed vacuum quantum light source to simulate molecular vibration spectra. This 16-bit quantum microprocessor chip is manufactured and integrated on a single chip.

In addition, the research team also developed a complete system, including optoelectronic thermal packaging for the quantum photonic microprocessor chip and control module, driver software and user interface, as well as programmable underlying quantum algorithms. The developed quantum computing system can be applied to different computational models.

The quantum microprocessor can be used to handle complex tasks, such as faster and more accurate simulations of large protein structures or optimizing molecular reactions.

Dr. Zhu Huihui, a postdoctoral researcher and the first author of the research paper, stated that this method can break through traditional limitations, enabling early practical molecular simulations and potentially achieving quantum acceleration in related quantum chemistry applications.

It is reported that, in addition to HKPU, other collaborative institutions include Nanyang Technological University, City University of Hong Kong, Beijing Institute of Technology, Southern University of Science and Technology, Institute of Microelectronics (IME), and Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden.

Read more

• [News] China’s Core AI Industry Achieved a Market Size of Nearly CNY 600 Billion
• [News] Nanjing, China Achieved Breakthrough in Manufacturing Key SiC Chip for the First Time

(Photo credit: Xianxin Technology)

According to a report by the Economic Daily News, TSMC’s first high numerical aperture extreme ultraviolet lithography (High-NA EUV) equipment will arrive this month, aiding the company in progressing its advanced process technology.

Regarding these rumors, ASML stated on September 9 that it does not comment on individual customers. TSMC has also declined to respond to market speculation.

The report has cited industry rumors, pointing out that TSMC’s first High-NA EUV machine is expected to be moved to its Global R&D Center for research purposes, addressing the development needs of future advanced processes like A14.

As for pricing, it’s reportedly rumored that TSMC President C.C. Wei personally negotiated a favorable deal, reducing the overall price by nearly 20% through a combination of purchasing the new equipment while also selling older models.

The same report further suggests that the High-NA EUV is priced at over EUR 400 million. Due to the inability to disassemble the optical lens components, the equipment is taller than a conference room and significantly longer than the previous generation. 

The report, quoting statistics, claiming that TSMC is currently the world’s largest holder of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, estimated to account for 65% of the global EUV wafer equipment output. It was also said to be the first manufacturer to introduce EUV equipment into the 7nm process.

ASML has already received orders for next-generation products from all of its EUV equipment customers.

Greet Storms, ASML’s Vice President of High NA EUV Product Management, recently stated that ASML is advancing new technologies and has gained the support of all EUV customers during the R&D phase.

She addressed that, these customers, who have also placed orders for High-NA equipment, are expected to move toward mass production by 2026, although the timeline will ultimately depend on customer process costs and other factors.

ASML had previously confirmed that it will deliver its latest High-NA EUV to TSMC by the end of this year. ASML emphasized that the next-generation EUV equipment began shipping at the end of last year, with a capacity to expose over 185 wafers per hour.

This will support mass production of sub-2nm logic chips and memories with similar transistor densities.

Read more

• [News] ASML’s Second High-NA Equipment to be Installed in Intel’s Oregon Fab Soon
• [News] Price for ASML’s Hyper-NA EUV Rumored to Double, Causing TSMC, Samsung and Intel to Hesitate

(Photo credit: ASML)