According to a report from Economic Daily News, the AI boom has significantly increased the use of passive components, particularly in AI PCs and AI servers. Murata, a Japanese giant in multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCC), is optimistic about the market outlook, stating that AI is driving waves of MLCC demand.

As per a report from Nikkei, Murata President Norio Nakajima revealed in an interview that the AI trend is unstoppable, leading to an expansion in MLCC applications.

This expansion reportedly starts with smartphones and extends to edge AI in computers equipped with generative AI functions. The end-use of these devices will drive an increase in MLCC consumption, and the demand for components in AI servers is also ramping up.

Murata’s views on the passive component market are referable, as in the first half of this year, Murata was ahead of the industry in announcing a recovery in component shipments for the smartphone market and an increase in capacity utilization at its MLCC plants.

Norio Nakajima pointed out that as demand surges, the capacity utilization rate of Murata’s MLCC plants has been continuously increasing to meet end-user demand. Last quarter, the capacity utilization rate was approximately 80% to 85%, and this quarter it is expected to rise to 85% to 90%.

Following Murata, Taiwanese companies such as Yageo and Walsin Technology also saw a recovery in their operations, marking the beginning of a bullish phase for the passive component market.

Industry sources cited by Economic Daily News further explain that Murata’s optimistic outlook is well-founded. The average MLCC usage per AI PC has surged by about 80% compared to traditional PCs, while the usage in AI servers has more than doubled, with each server requiring an average of 3,000 to 4,000 MLCCs.

In high-speed computing environments, this will further drive the demand for high-capacity and high-voltage MLCCs. Meanwhile, Yageo and Walsin Technology are actively seizing the business opportunities brought by AI.

Yageo Chairman Pierre Chen once stated that at this stage, the group not only provides MLCCs and chip resistors for AI applications but also inductors and magnetic components.

These offerings include both standard and niche products, and the company can also provide customized product combinations according to customers’ requirements for high-temperature and high-current tolerance.

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• [News] Global Passive Component Giants to Raise Prices by 20%, Benefiting Taiwanese Supply Chain
• Passive Component Industry Nearing Bottom, Embracing AI and Automotive

(Photo credit: Murata)

According to a report from Economic Daily News, benefiting from the upcoming peak season for smartphones, a recovery in the PC market, and a more than 30% surge in silver prices this year, global giants such as Murata and TDK are planning to raise product prices. Targeted products include multilayer inductors and beads, with potential price hikes of up to 20%, marking a rare significant increase in the passive component industry in recent years.

Industry sources cited by the same report have noted that the passive components sector, after undergoing inventory adjustments for over one year, is now seeing inventory levels returning to healthy levels. This, coupled with customers replenishing stocks, the traditional peak season approaching, and significant cost increases, presents an opportunity for rare price hikes in products such as multilayer inductors and ferrite beads.

Industry sources cited by the report also highlight that silver accounts for up to 60% of the cost in manufacturing multilayer inductors and beads. With silver prices having surged nearly 40% at one point this year and still up 35% year-to-date despite a recent slight pullback, manufacturers are facing substantial cost pressures in mass-producing these components.

Leading global inductor manufacturers include Japanese companies like Murata, TDK, and Taiyo Yuden, as well as Taiwan’s Yageo and Walsin Technology groups. With major smartphone manufacturers launching new models in the second half of the year, the recovering PC market, and rising silver prices, industry sources indicate that top-tier companies like Murata and TDK may increase prices for multilayer inductors and beads. Large-size products are expected to see the first price hikes, ranging from 10% to 20%.

Industry sources further explain that multilayer inductors are characterized by magnetic shielding, which eliminates electromagnetic interference and effectively suppresses high-frequency oscillations in circuits. This makes them highly suitable for high-density circuit designs. Depending on their size, these inductors are widely used in consumer electronics and even servers.

On the other hand, ferrite beads are designed using ferrite materials and a multilayer manufacturing process. Their impedance varies with frequency, meaning they achieve high impedance at high frequencies, offering superior high-frequency filtering characteristics. This effectively suppresses noise interference, making them suitable for end products like smartphones, tablets, laptops, and power supplies.

Reportedly, the operations of passive component manufacturers have been gradually recovering. Leading passive component manufacturer Yageo is optimistic, noting that customer inventory levels are becoming healthier this quarter. The company expects its capacity utilization rate to continue increasing and holds an optimistic outlook for the market moving forward.

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• Passive Component Industry Nearing Bottom, Embracing AI and Automotive

(Photo credit: YAGEO)

China’s Automotive Price War Rages On: Some automakers have been gradually reclaiming outsourced orders for the battery, motor, electronic control system since May and June, shifting towards in-house production. Recently, they have asked suppliers to requote for second-half orders, with Samsung, Murata, Taiyo Yuden, PSA and Yageo actively vying for contracts.

Due to the more stringent certifications in the automakers’ supply chain compared to tier 1 suppliers, the majority of battery, motor, electronic control system MLCC suppliers still come from Taiwan, Japan, and Korea. Among them, Korean manufacturer Samsung has made significant progress in the Chinese automotive market this year. They have been actively providing sample for certifications and competitive pricing, securing a large share of orders and displacing Japanese manufacturers Murata and TDK, who had long held the lead.

Ongoing negotiations between automakers are expected to conclude with finalized orders by the end of August. According to the channel check from TrendForce, it appears that Samsung will maintain its leading position with a low-price strategy, while Murata, unwilling to be drawn into a price war reminiscent of consumer electronics, will remain conservative with pricing to secure a substantial market share. Taiyo Yuden, PSA and Yageo, though limited in automotive product offerings, have been proactive in their bidding efforts and have secured several orders.

(Photo credit: Yageo)

The allocation of Murata’s primary production hubs and production capacity is as follows: 56% in Japan, 36% in China, 3% in Singapore, and 5% in the Philippines, according to TrendForce’s investigations. Recently, a cluster of employees at Murata’s Fukui Takefu Plant tested positive for the COVID-19 virus. Since production diversion management had been strengthened and anti-pandemic measures implemented in advance, only some categories of production capacity have been reduced or suspended and this incident has not halted production for the entire factory. According to TrendForce, the Fukui Takefu Plant accounts for 20.7% of the company’s production capacity, mainly producing high-end consumer MLCCs. The current production reduction or suspension of some items will affect the supply of products such as servers and high-end smartphones. Fortunately, Fukui Takefu still retains 4~ 6 weeks of inventory and this incident should not tighten market supply in the short term.

Decentralized production hubs and off-site backups are major issues for MLCC suppliers after the pandemic

In addition, according to data released by the National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China on January 17, the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases as of January 16 reached 163, including 80 in Tianjin and 9 in Guangdong, distributed among the production center of suppliers such as SEMCO, TAIYO, WALSIN, FENGHUA, and VIIYONG. The current situation will once again test the operation and risk management of MLCC suppliers as they disperse production hubs and back each other in terms of production capacity.  These plans have become an important 2-3 year strategy for MLCC suppliers.

It is worth noting that the recent pandemic outbreak in Tianjin, China is intensifying. Samsung, which is located in the Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area, is currently operating normally. However, as the Winter Olympics opening ceremony draws near, China has stepped up its zero-COVID policy. In order to avoid a situation in which employees are unable to return to the factory due to a positive COVID test in the area where they reside, some production line employees have been temporarily living in the factory. Korean executives are also living in the factory to enhance response times to rapidly developing circumstances. In addition, the Philippines, one of the major production centers of MLCC in Southeast Asia, has also experienced a sharp increase in the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases since January this year. Murata and Samsung, who currently have factories in the region, have not reported the impact of the local pandemic and TrendForce will continue to monitor these two industry players moving forward.

Various MLCC suppliers’ book-to-bill ratios as well as quarterly shipments for 4Q21 now show signs of decline, according to TrendForce’s latest investigations. Not only has the demand for consumer electronics slowed, but ODMs’ clients have also eased their procurement activities due to issues including the global chip shortage, mismatched component availabilities, and China’s power rationing. Demand in the automotive market, on the other hand, has remained strong since 3Q21. Automotive applications have therefore become an important point of focus in MLCC suppliers’ latest product planning and capacity expansion efforts. Thanks to these in-demand applications, annual MLCC demand from the automotive market for 2021 is expected to reach 449 billion pcs, a 20% YoY increase.

TrendForce further indicates that the growth of the EV market and improvements in ADAS specifications have resulted in a twofold increase in automotive MLCC consumption. While EVs’ electrified drivetrain and high safety requirements represent a high barrier to entry for MLCC suppliers, these hurdles have also in turn raised MLCC products’ ASP and profitability. Hence, the automotive electronics industry has been increasing its annual MLCC demand by double-digits in recent years. In particular, an analysis of different vehicles and their respective MLCC consumption reveals the following: a conventional EV requires 2.2 times the MLCC usage of a conventional gasoline vehicle, an ADAS-equipped EV requires 2.7 times, and an autonomous EV requires as much as 3.3 times.

Regarding MLCC suppliers, Japanese companies including Murata, TDK, and Taiyo Yuden continue to dominate the automotive MLCC market. These suppliers will expand their production capacities for automotive applications in overseas facilities in China, Philippines, and Malaysia next year, with powertrains, ADAS, and connected systems being among the most significant of the aforementioned applications. Korea-based Samsung, on the other hand, specializes in powertrain applications by leveraging its MLCC offerings’ small form factor, high capacitance, and high voltage. Finally, Taiwanese suppliers, such as Yageo and Walsin, are actively invested in developing automotive products and High-Q products for RF applications in an effort to increase their presence in the infotainment system market and EV charging station market.

Looking ahead to 2022, TrendForce expects annual automotive MLCC demand to reach 562 billion pcs, a 25% YoY increase, primarily attributed to the continued electrification of vehicles. While the global implementation of carbon-neutral policies and excellent sales performances of Tesla vehicles bring about widespread adoption of EVs, various countries have successively set concrete dates for the termination of gasoline vehicle sales. Hence, EVs are gradually becoming not only the mainstream option in the automotive market, but also the primary driving force behind the future growth of the MLCC industry.

For more information on reports and market data from TrendForce’s Department of Semiconductor Research, please click here, or email Ms. Latte Chung from the Sales Department at lattechung@trendforce.com