According to TrendForce’s latest memory spot price trend report, regarding DRAM spot prices, since inventory levels are not excessively high, the selling pressure remains manageable. DDR4 products, though, have been suffering from the downward pressure more than DDR5. As for NAND flash, the spot market continues to sustain repercussions of sluggishness among consumer products. A number of brands are now pessimistic regarding how this wave of market enervation would persist until 1H25. Details are as follows:

DRAM Spot Price:

Due to an underwhelming peak season, spot sellers are under pressure to offload inventory, leading to a slight sell-off. However, since inventory levels are not excessively high, the selling pressure remains manageable. Meanwhile, Samsung has recently begun releasing reball DDR5 chips stripped from decommissioned modules at low prices. For instance, 2Gx8 (16Gb) chips are being sold for around US$3, contributing to the overall decline in spot prices. For DDR4 products, the plentiful supply of reball chips is exerting even more downward pressure compared with DDR5 products. Consequently, there is no sign of stabilization in spot prices. The average spot price of the mainstream chips (i.e., DDR4 1Gx8 2666MT/s) slightly decreased by 0.05% from US$1.973 last week to US$1.972 this week.

NAND Flash Spot Price:

The spot market continues to sustain repercussions of sluggishness among consumer products, where lackluster transactions are seen from client SSD, embedded products (eMMC & UFS), and memory cards. A number of brands are now pessimistic regarding how this wave of market enervation would persist until 1H25. Spot prices, compared to last week, have been continuously dropping at a small margin. Spot prices for 512Gb TLC wafers have dropped by 0.81% this week, arriving at US$3.185.

According to TrendForce’s latest memory spot price trend report, regarding DRAM spot prices, improvements are unlikely in the near term as reballed chip supply remains plentiful and DDR5 price pressure emerges. As for NAND flash, several suppliers have also lowered their official prices amidst ongoing sluggishness of demand. Details are as follows:

DRAM Spot Price:

The spot market has shown no signs of improvement this week and prices continue to fall. In addition to weak channel demand, the supply of reballed chips also remains plentiful. Moreover, a South Korean supplier has recently slightly increased its supply of DDR5 products to the spot market, generating more downward price pressure. Hence, improvements in current spot price trends are unlikely in the near term. The average spot price of the mainstream chips (i.e., DDR4 1Gx8 2666MT/s) dropped by 0.25% from US$1.978 last week to US$1.973 this week.

NAND Flash Spot Price:

Several suppliers have lowered their official prices amidst ongoing sluggishness of demand, and spot prices could continue to weaken if demand for consumer products remains lackluster. Spot prices for 512Gb TLC wafers have dropped by 0.71% this week, arriving at US$3.211.

According to TrendForce’s latest memory spot price trend report, regarding DRAM spot prices, though the top three DRAM suppliers have not lowered their official prices, spot prices could weaken further because buyers are more passive than before. On the other hand, the ample supply of reball DDR4 chips have also depressed the momentum for DDR4’s price hike. As for NAND flash, spot traders are depleting in anticipation on a revitalization of demand for 3Q24 having perceived the sluggishness from the contract market. Details are as follows:

DRAM Spot Price:

Continuing from last week, there has been no noticeable demand rebound in the spot market. Although the top three DRAM suppliers have not lowered their official prices, spot prices could weaken further because spot buyers are more passive than before, and the demand situation for consumer electronics has yet to experience a turnaround. It is worth noting that spot prices of DDR4 products have been rising by a smaller margin compared with spot prices of DDR5 products since the start of this year. Consequently, some module houses are showing willingness to restock DDR4 products. However, there is still ample supply of reball DDR4 chips, so spot prices of DDR4 products reveal no indication of hikes. The average spot price of the mainstream chips (i.e., DDR4 1Gx8 2666MT/s) dropped by 0.35% from US$1.985 last week to US$1.978 this week.

NAND Flash Spot Price:

Spot traders are depleting in anticipation on a revitalization of demand for 3Q24 having perceived the sluggishness from the contract market. Wafer prices have dropped compared to last week, which reflect how traders are hoping to minimize their losses from inventory by attempting to finalize transactions as soon as possible amidst pessimism. Spot prices of 512Gb TLC wafers have dropped by 1.15% this week, arriving at US$3.234.

According to TrendForce’s latest memory spot price trend report, regarding DRAM spot prices, demand has yet to show improvement, leading to increased inventory pressure on suppliers, which indicates the potential for larger price drops in the future. As for NAND flash, the overall price trend is still shifting to a reduction, which led to a small drop in prices for packaged dies and wafers from the spot market. Details are as follows:

DRAM Spot Price:

Continuing from last week, demand has yet to show improvement, leading to increased inventory pressure on suppliers. Consequently, suppliers are more willing to offer price concessions in the spot market. Overall, spot transactions continue to show low volumes. Additionally, the prices that buyers are willing to accept are significantly lower than the official prices set by sellers, resulting in a stalemate. Therefore, there is a potential for larger price drops in the future. The average spot price of mainstream chips (i.e., 1Gx8 2666MT/s) fell by 0.20% from US$1.989 last week to US$1.985 this week.

NAND Flash Spot Price:

Sluggishness persists among spot market transactions after the opening in August, where buyers are maintaining their strong on-the-fence sentiment. Despite emergence of demand for partial stocking orders, the overall price trend is still shifting to a reduction due to a lack of continuity, which led to a small drop in prices for packaged dies and wafers from the spot market this week, where 512Gb TLC wafer has fallen by 0.58% in spot prices, now arriving at US$3.272.

Japanese semiconductor equipment maker Tokyo Electron (TEL) has raised its profit forecast for the fiscal year 2024 (ending March 2025), expecting an operating profit of JPY 627 billion (approximately USD 4.3 billion), an 8% increase from its previous guidance.

Tokyo Electron contributed the strong growth trend compared to the previous fiscal year, driven by China’s significant investment in mature semiconductor nodes. The company has also raised its sales and profit outlook for the period from April to September.

For the quarter ending in June, Tokyo Electron reported revenue of JPY 555 billion, reversing a declining trend seen since 2022. Operating profit for these three months was JPY 165.7 billion.

Source: TEL

The past year, to Tokyo Electron, has been in turbulence year, as initial optimism from AI demand and the semiconductor manufacturing industry was tempered by U.S. export restrictions.

Regarding the matter, Hiroshi Kawamoto, finance division officer of Tokyo Electron, stated in a conference call that there are currently no signs of the U.S. implementing stricter restrictions on chip-making tools, while the company will continue to closely monitor the situation.

As of the quarter ending in March, over 47% of its revenue came from China due to increased equipment stockpiling in anticipation of potential U.S. sanctions. In the recent quarter, nearly 50% of revenue was generated from the Chinese market.

Source: TEL

Looking ahead to the next fiscal year (FY2025), Tokyo Electron expects double-digit growth, driven by strong demand for AI servers and an increase in AI-enabled PCs and smartphones.

This resurgence in demand is anticipated to boost the market. The company expects further expansion in DRAM production and a recovery in NAND investment due to inventory adjustments. However, investment in advanced logic and foundry services is expected to offset the slowdown in mature process technologies.