The application period for the tax incentives under Taiwan’s Chip Act ended in late May. According to a report from the Economic Daily News, the Ministry of Economic Affairs announced on June 3rd that four semiconductor-related companies have applied, with the review process expected to be completed by mid to late July. Reportedly, it is said that major semiconductor companies, such as TSMC and MediaTek, have submitted their applications.

Under this act, eligible companies can benefit from certain tax deduction measures, including a 25% tax deduction for expenses on cutting-edge innovative R&D expenses and a 5% deduction on expenses of advanced process equipment, reportedly to be the most generous tax deduction measures ever in Taiwan.

The first round of applications from enterprises was accepted in February of this year, with the deadline on May 31st.

Regarding the eligibility criteria, according to the investment deduction measures announced by the Ministry of Economic Affairs, an eligibility company’s R&D expenses must reach NTD 6 billion, while its R&D intensity be at least 6%, and expenditures on equipment for advanced processes must reach NTD 10 billion.

The aforementioned criteria are not restricted by industry category. However, an effective tax rate of 12% for 2023 is required to qualify for the tax reductions under Article 10-2 of the Statute for Industrial Innovation.

Per the same report, it is understood that in 2023, there are nine listed companies meeting the two major thresholds, namely, reaching the NTD 6 billion threshold for R&D expenses and an R&D intensity of 6%, of which TSMC and MediaTek may potentially benefit from.

The Industrial Development Bureau stated that only four companies have applied for the tax benefits under the Taiwan Chip Act. They did not disclose the names of these companies, only mentioning that all applicants are semiconductor-related firms. It is widely anticipated that TSMC and MediaTek, the two most competitive companies in the country with the highest investment in R&D, are likely to benefit from the Taiwan Chip Act.

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• [News] Taiwan’s Chip Act Takes Effect in February, TSMC to Benefit from Historic Tax Incentives

(Photo credit: TSMC)

Kioxia, one of the world’s major NAND manufacturer, anticipates a strong market outlook, emphasizing a full recovery this season in key NAND applications such as PCs and smartphones.

According to a report from the Economic Daily News, coupled with an expected surge in demand for new laptops and smartphones driven by AI, NAND chip prices, which increased by 20% last season, are likely to continue rising this season, marking the fourth consecutive price hike. The industry’s future appears quite promising.

Benefiting from the recovering NAND market, Kioxia reported its first revenue growth in seven quarters and profitability for the first time in six quarters. During an investor conference, Kioxia noted that NAND chip prices in US dollar rose by approximately 20% last season, continuing an upward trend for three consecutive quarters, with the company’s quarterly shipment volume increasing by about 5% to 9%.

Kioxia emphasized that this season sees a recovery trend in key NAND end applications such as PCs and smartphones. Additionally, a new wave of laptop and smartphone upgrades driven by AI is expected, along with data centers requiring higher-capacity solid-state drives (SSDs) to support AI applications. All these factors positively impact the NAND industry.

Kioxia is reportedly optimistic that the proliferation of AI and the increase in memory capacity will continue to drive long-term growth in the NAND market. Due to disciplined production output by NAND chip manufacturers, the price increase trend is expected to continue this season, making the industry’s future prospects quite optimistic.

Taiwanese NAND manufacturer ADATA believes that although upstream NAND suppliers are gradually returning to profitability and steadily increasing capacity utilization rates, their approach to pricing and capacity planning remains rational. Coupled with a noticeable recovery in demand for enterprise and data center SSDs, ADATA is reportedly optimistic that NAND chip prices will continue to rise in a stable manner, per the same report from Economic Daily News.

As per a research from TrendForce on March 6, in 4Q23, Samsung still firmly held the top position in the NAND Flash market, with its market share increasing from 31.4% in the previous quarter to 36.6%; SK Group, with its market share increasing from 20.2% in the previous quarter to 21.6%, stood in the second place quarterly revenue.

Following them were Western Digital, whose market share decreased from 16.9% in the previous quarter to 14.5%, Kioxia, whose market share decreased from 14.5% in the previous quarter to 12.6%, and Micron, whose market share decreased from 12.5% in the previous quarter to 9.9%.

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• [News] Memory Giants Reportedly Increasing Prices, But Is the Market Outlook Truly Positive?
• [News] NAND Flash Market Landscape to Change?

(Photo credit: Kioxia)

After several quarters of inventory depletion, the NAND market is gradually heating up, and there are concerns of a tighten supply in 2024. During an Investor Meeting held on the 7th, Phison Electronics Corporation, a supplier of NAND flash memory controllers and modules, announced that due to capacity limitations in NAND flash production, NAND supply has become constrained. When entering 4Q23, the company is already facing tighten supply for some of its products. Consequently, Phison plans to prepay its NAND flash suppliers to ensure a stable supply, as reported by CTEE.

Phison noted that its suppliers have been reducing production since the 4Q22, and it has accelerated since the 2Q23. Following three to four quarters of inventory depletion, the NAND market is gradually recovering, leading to a stabilization in NAND prices.

In fact, the strategy of module manufacturers is influenced by NAND flash suppliers. For instance, Samsung has been actively raising NAND prices. After the company initially raised NAND prices by 10% to 20% this quarter, it has decided to continue increasing prices by quarter in 2024. This strategic decision reflects Samsung’s determination to stabilize NAND prices with the aim of reversing the market’s direction in the first half of the upcoming year.

Notably, NAND chips and DRAM account for roughly half of Samsung’s memory chip sales. Simultaneously, while raising prices, Samsung continues to decrease production to control market supply, which, in turn, improves market stability and profitability.

TrendForce previously indicated that with NAND wafer prices leading the increase since August and suppliers adopting a firmer stance in negotiations, Q4 enterprise SSD contract prices are projected to rise by approximately 5~10%. On the client SSD front, as suppliers gain more bargaining power, both high-end and low-end products are expected to increase concurrently, with 4Q23 PC client SSD contract prices projected to rise by 8~13%.

TrendForce’s NAND Flash price analysis released today also highlighted that due to continuous shortages in recent wafer supply, the market has been experiencing rising prices under a shrinking volume. While spot quotations for NAND Flash packaged dies have been oscillating narrowly in quotations on account of the persistently constrained level of visibility in demand.
(Image: Samsung)

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• [News] Samsung’s Announcement of a 20% Quarterly Price Increase for NAND Signals Promising Industry Trends
• Suppliers Scale Back Production, Q4 NAND Flash Contract Prices Projected to Climb 8~13%, Says TrendForce

As reported by UDN News, Samsung Electronics is making a significant move by increasing the prices of NAND Flash memory by 20% every quarter until the second quarter of 2024. This price surge exceeds industry expectations.

Within the semiconductor industry, Samsung initially raised NAND wafer prices by 10% to 20% this quarter, Pulse reported. Now, the company has decided to continue this trend by progressively increasing prices by 20% during the first and second quarters of the next year. This strategic decision reflects Samsung’s determination to stabilize NAND wafer prices with the aim of reversing the market’s direction in the first half of the upcoming year.

Based on TrendForce’s research in October, with NAND wafer prices leading the increase since August and suppliers adopting a firmer stance in negotiations, Q4 enterprise SSD contract prices are projected to rise by approximately 5~10%. Meanwhile, reduced production of mainstream processes and fewer suppliers for high-end client SSDs have endowed suppliers with better bargaining power. Consequently, both high-end and low-end products are expected to increase concurrently, with 4Q23 PC client SSD contract prices projected to rise by 8~13%.

TrendForce also reports that Q4 contract prices for mobile DRAM are poised to see an increased quarterly rise of 13–18%. But that’s not all—NAND Flash is also joining the party, with contract prices of eMMC and UFS expected to climb by approximately 10–15% in the same quarter. This quarter is set to star mobile DRAM, traditionally the underperformer in profit margins compared to its DRAM counterparts, as it takes the lead in this round of price increases.

TrendForce foresees that memory prices are expected to continue trending upward in 1Q24. The rate of increase will depend on whether suppliers maintain a conservative production strategy and whether there is enough consumer demand to bolster the market.

Samsung’s Strategy on NAND Affect the Market and Company Performance

Following the latest financial report, NAND is a staple memory chip alongside DRAM, and together they account for around half of Samsung Electronics’ memory chip sales. In conjunction with the aggressive price hikes, Samsung is also curbing production to manage market supply effectively, promoting a positive market environment, and enhancing profitability.

At a recent financial conference on October 31st, Kim Jae-jun, Vice President of Samsung Eletronics, publicly stated, “There will be selective production adjustments to normalize inventories in a short time. A supply cut will be larger for NAND flash than for DRAM.”

Financial analysts estimate that as memory production cuts take effect and prices rise, Samsung’s operations will see a significant improvement starting from the fourth quarter of this year.

NAND Industry Foresee Bright Future amid Memory Price Surge

NAND-related businesses in Taiwan are also optimistic about the industry’s future. Khein Seng Pua, CEO of Phison Electronics Corp, indicated that the adjustment of OEM customer inventories, spanning the past six to nine months, is nearly complete. Consequently, Phison has secured more design-in projects, resulting in a gradual increase in wafer demand. Furthermore, Phison’s controller IC products have advanced into a new process generation, leading to a rise in value-added custom development projects.

Simon Chen, Chairman and CEO of ADATA, anticipates a prolonged period of rising memory prices, starting from the fourth quarter of this year and continuing into the first half of the next year. This is expected to create a two-year era of prosperity in the memory market, with supply shortages predicted in the coming years.

Industry experts highlight the reinvigoration of the NAND wafer market, with customers progressively returning. Samsung, being the global memory chip leader, is spearheading the price hikes, thereby contributing to a favorable pricing trend across the overall market.
(Image: Samsung)

Explore more:

• Suppliers Scale Back Production, Q4 NAND Flash Contract Prices Projected to Climb 8~13%, Says TrendForce
• Q4 DRAM Contract Prices Set to Rise, with Estimated Quarterly Increase of 3-8%, Says TrendForce