Amid the passion of the wild election, U.S. chip giant Qualcomm reported an upbeat first-quarter (ended December 31) sales forecast, with revenue rising between USD 10.5 billion and USD 11.3 billion, eyeing for an over 10% quarter-over-quarter growth at most. The strong momentum, according to a report by Reuters, could be attributed to the smartphone market recovery led by China.

Boosted by New Smartphone Launches led by Xiaomi, Oppo

It is worth noting that China remains Qualcomm’s largest market, and the momentum is driven by new smartphone releases from brands like Xiaomi, Oppo, and Vivo, according to the report. Qualcomm has derived 46% of its revenue in its most recent fiscal year from customers with headquarters in China, Reuters says.

A previous report by the South China Morning Post suggests that China’s smartphone maker Xiaomi will be the first to equip Qualcomm’s newly-released Snapdragon 8 Elite with its Xiaomi 15 series at the end of October, followed by other local smartphone brands such as Honor, Oppo’s OnePlus and Realme.

As the smartphone market starts to rebound following a challenging 2023, Qualcomm’s positive outlook is said to be driven by consumers upgrading devices for AI applications like chatbots and image generation tools, Reuters notes.

Business Expansion beyond Apple Remains Key  

On the other hand, Qualcomm is working hard to diversify its revenue streams in anticipation of the eventual end of its profitable partnership with Apple, which is developing its own modem chips to replace Qualcomm’s. According to Reuters, though the agreement to supply chips to Apple lasts until at least 2026, attention is on whether Qualcomm’s expansion into laptops and AI-driven data centers will grow swiftly enough to balance any future reductions in Apple-related revenue.

Regarding the potential impact if President-elect Donald Trump does impose broad tariffs of 10% to 20% on nearly all imports, with potential tariffs exceeding 60% on Chinese goods, Reuters notes that if higher tariffs were applied to chips from Taiwan, though rather unlikely, could incentivize Qualcomm to shift manufacturing to the U.S.

For the fourth quarter (ended September 30), Qualcomm posted a net income of USD 2.92 billion, or USD 2.59 per share, marking a significant increase from last year’s USD 1.49 billion, or USD 1.23 per share. The company’s total revenue for fiscal 2024 reached USD 38.9 billion, a 9% rise compared to 2023, according to its press release.

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• [News] Qualcomm Rumored to Decide Its Next Move Regarding Potential Intel Acquisition after US Election

(Photo credit: Qualcomm)

According to a report from TechNews, Samsung is expanding its use of Qualcomm’s Snapdragon processors in its Galaxy flagship phones, while its own Exynos processors are primarily utilized in mid- to low-end smartphones, tablets, and home appliances.

However, Exynos processors may no longer be used even in home appliances, as Samsung is reported considering installing Qualcomm’s processors in these devices, according to the report from SEDaily.

The report from SEDaily pointed out that since Samsung needs to install expensive Qualcomm processors in the Galaxy S25 series of smartphones set to launch in 2025, it plans to actively use Qualcomm products in home appliances to achieve related cost efficiencies.

The report indicated that, according to Yoo Mi-young, Vice President and Head of the Software Development Team in the Digital Appliances (DA) Division, Samsung is currently developing new products aimed at launching home appliances that utilize large-scale language models, or edge computing, in 2025. Additionally, Samsung is working on its own low-power, high-performance neural network processing unit chip.

Furthermore, the report noted that the home appliance most affected will be the refrigerator, as the latest Samsung refrigerators feature AI that can identify ingredients and recommend recipes. To support this AI function, powerful processors will be needed.

According to the report, Samsung has been developing Exynos 2500 series processors in the past. However, due to performance and yield issues, sources indicate that Samsung’s Galaxy S25/S25+/Ultra and other mobile phones will use Qualcomm Snapdragon 8 Elite processor.

The report indicated that the price of the Snapdragon 8 Elite processor is approximately twice that of the Exynos. Therefore, Samsung is reportedly planning to actively incorporate Qualcomm chips into home appliances to help share costs, which also aligns with the trend toward smart home devices.

According to the report, the price of the latest Qualcomm Snapdragon processor has increased by 20%, so Samsung’s cost burden has also increased significantly. With the trend toward smart home appliances, actively expanding the use of Qualcomm chips in these products is expected to help reduce Qualcomm’s mobile AP purchase prices.

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• [News] Samsung Rumored to Abandon Exynos 2500, Equipping Entire S25 Series with Snapdragon
• [News] Samsung May Integrate MediaTek’s Dimensity 9400 in Galaxy S25 Series, Google Accidentally Reveals

(Photo credit: Samsung)

A battle between two tech giants has been launched, as major IP supplier Arm Holdings is terminating its architectural license agreement with Qualcomm, the world’s top mobile chipmaker. The move may be regarded as a counter measure by Arm to the emerging trend of custom silicon designs, as companies like Apple, Qualcomm and MediaTek take sides.

According to a report by The Register, Arm has been the leading architecture provider for mobile chips since modern smartphones emerged, with its Cortex processors powering nearly every mobile device. However, as Apple and Qualcomm move toward custom silicon designs, Arm’s dominance seems increasingly under pressure.

Qualcomm’s Acquisition of Nuvia Reportedly Sidesteps Royalty Increase

It is worth noting that the recent lawsuit between Arm and Qualcomm may arise from technologies acquired by Qualcomm from Nuvia, a startup founded by former Apple chip engineers, which Qualcomm purchased for USD 1.4 billion in 2021.

According an industry insider familiar with the situation, originally, Arm charged royalties based on chip price, typically around 5% to 7% of the price tag. This structure reportedly applied to customers directly using Arm’s CPU IP or those licensing the instruction set/architecture, with the instruction set licensing generally being slightly lower.

Nevertheless, around two years ago, Arm attempted to significantly increase royalties by implementing a new licensing agreement for its highest-tier mobile CPU IP, changing the structure from 7% to a flat fee of USD 20 per chip, which would be quite a boon for the company, the source explained.

Qualcomm, by acquiring Nuvia, a company focused on Arm server and PC CPUs with an instruction set architecture licensed by the world’s leading semiconductor IP supplier, allows it to leverage this team’s CPU base for high-end mobile applications, therefore sidestepping Arm’s strategy (potentially paying only 5% of the chip price under their agreement), the source noted.

Arm’s Pre-built Cortex Designs Face Challenges from Custom Silicon Designs

To put things in context, Qualcomm’s acquisition of Nuvia indicates its efforts to develop custom Snapdragon cores and reduce dependence on Arm’s pre-built Cortex designs, which is now the main approach adopted by several tech giants.

For instance, according to the report by The Register, the Oryon CPU cores featured in Qualcomm’s latest Snapdragon X Elite are based on Arm’s v8.7-A ISA, which are similar to earlier designs prior to Nuvia’s integration into Qualcomm However, this strategy allows Qualcomm to create cores tailored to its specific requirements, making it capable of competing directly with Apple’s M-series and challenge Intel and AMD in the notebook sector, the report notes.

On the other hand, Apple is leading the way in custom chips, as it has shifted from the traditional licensing model to create proprietary designs. Earlier in May, Apple announced M4, which is built using second-generation 3-nm technology. A report by Wccftech also suggests that the Cupertino tech giant is preparing for the next-gen chipset, M5, which is said to be launched next year.

According to the analysis by The Register, Apple’s strategy for custom silicon stands in contrast to Arm’s, which offers a broad ecosystem based on its Instruction Set Architecture (ISA). In contrast, Apple manages both its hardware and software ecosystems using its signature iEverything approach.

Nevertheless, it would be hasty to underestimate Arm’s impact. The Register highlights that MediaTek recently revealed that it is maintaining the Armv9 architecture for its new Dimensity 9400 chips, indicating that Arm’s Cortex-X4 and A720 cores are still competitive.

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• [News] Arm Holdings Reportedly Cancels Qualcomm Chip Design License
  
• [News] Taiwanese Chipmaker MediaTek Likely to Benefit Most from Arm-Qualcomm Licensing Dispute

(Photo credit: Qualcomm)

Following Qualcomm’s recent launch of Snapdragon 8 Elite, it was confronted by Arm Holdings to terminate its architectural license agreement with Qualcomm, which permitted the U.S. chip giant to use Arm’s intellectual property for chip design, according to Bloomberg. According to the reports by MoneyDJ and Commercial Times, Taiwan-based smartphone IC designer MediaTek may turn out to be the main beneficiary amid the dispute.

According to media reports, Arm has issued a mandatory 60-day notice to Qualcomm regarding the cancellation of the licensing agreement, which previously enabled the latter to develop its own chips based on Arm’s proprietary standards.

Citing sources familiar with the industry, the report by MoneyDJ notes that the move implies the strained relationship between a major IP supplier and a leading mobile chip firm. If the licensing agreement does break up, it would be detrimental to both parties. Therefore, Arm’s act seems rather to be a “push for peace through conflict,” the source observes.

According to sources cited by the Commercial Times, it is likely that the two parties would eventually reach a reconciliation, as Arm’s ultimate goal might be securing a share of the profits from the Snapdragon series chips. While the AI PC ecosystem led by Arm architecture is still in its nascent stage, the company can only garner more licensing fees if Qualcomm actively promotes its WoA (Windows on Arm) products, the report suggests.

According to Commercial Times, MediaTek will likely benefit as brand manufacturers prefer chip suppliers with no litigation concerns and who also offer competitive pricing.

MediaTek’s upcoming launch of a Windows on Arm (WoA) solution will further strengthen its collaboration between Arm and Taiwanese manufacturers, the report notes. A previous report by Wccftech notes that MediaTek has teamed up with NVIDIA to develop a custom chip to confront Qualcomm’s Snapdragon X Elite series, which will be manufactured using TSMC’s 3nm node, based on ARM architecture.

On the other hand, institutional investors cited by MoneyDJ also believe that the ongoing lawsuit between Arm and Qualcomm could benefit MediaTek, helping the Taiwanese chip giant further expand its market share in the flagship smartphone segment. It is also worth noting that MediaTek’s newly-launched Dimensity 9400 reportedly offers higher price-performance ratio compared to Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Elite, according to MoneyDJ.

According to a report by Wccftech, MediaTek’s Dimensity 9400, built with TSMC’s N3E node, may be priced at around USD 155 per chipset, reportedly 20% higher than that of the Dimensity 9300. Also built with TSMC’s N3E node, Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Elite is expected to be priced at around USD 180, with an ASP increase of about 15%, according to analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

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• [News] Arm Holdings Reportedly Cancels Qualcomm Chip Design License
  
• [News] Qualcomm Rumored to Decide Its Next Move Regarding Potential Intel Acquisition after US Election

(Photo credit: MediaTek)

Arm Holdings Plc is terminating its architectural license agreement with Qualcomm Inc., which permitted Qualcomm to use Arm’s intellectual property for chip design, Bloomberg reported on Tuesday.

According to the report, Arm has issued a mandatory 60-day notice to Qualcomm regarding the cancellation of the licensing agreement. This contract previously enabled Qualcomm to develop its own chips based on Arm’s proprietary standards.

Arm declined to comment on the situation, while Qualcomm did not respond to a request for comment from Reuters outside of regular business hours.

This announcement coincides with an ongoing legal battle between the two tech companies, which is slated to begin in federal court in Delaware this December.

The British firm, majority-owned by Japan’s SoftBank Group, filed a lawsuit against Qualcomm in 2022 for allegedly failing to negotiate a new licensing agreement after acquiring a new company.

The lawsuit centers on technology acquired by Qualcomm from Nuvia, a startup founded by former Apple chip engineers, which Qualcomm purchased for $1.4 billion in 2021. Qualcomm aimed to leverage Nuvia’s technology to compete with Apple by developing chips that could rival the Apple M-series processors and challenge the desktop market dominated by Intel and AMD.

While the acquisition was initially seen as routine, Arm claims that Qualcomm’s use of Nuvia’s designs violates the licensing agreement. The licenses granted to Nuvia were specifically intended for a startup and could not be directly used by Qualcomm without Arm’s approval.

Arm has previously emphasized that, ‘Arm is filing this claim to protect Arm, our partners, and the unparalleled ecosystem we have built together. Arm and its partners have invested billions of dollars to create industry-leading intellectual property. Because Qualcomm attempted to transfer Nuvia licenses without Arm’s consent, which is a standard restriction under Arm’s license agreements, Nuvia’s licenses were terminated in March 2022. Before and after that date, Arm made multiple good faith efforts to seek a resolution. In contrast, Qualcomm has breached the terms of the Arm license agreement by continuing development under the terminated licenses. Arm was left with no choice but to bring this claim against Qualcomm and Nuvia to protect our IP, our business, and to ensure customers are able to access valid Arm-based products.’

(Photo credit: Arm)