As the demand for AI chips surges, orders for thermal compression (TC) bonders, which play a critical role in HBM (high-bandwidth memory) manufacturing, are also heating up.

To further gain market momentum, South Korean chip packaging equipment manufacturer Hanmi Semiconductor plans to launch 2.5D big die TC bonder models in the second half of 2024, while increasing its annual sales target for this year to 650 billion won (USD 471 million), according to the latest report by the Korea Economic Daily.

Citing Kwak Dong-shin, vice chairman and CEO of Hanmi Semiconductor, the report notes that the company eyes strong revenue growth in the next two years, projecting 1.2 trillion won (USD 870 million) in sales for 2025, and 2 trillion won (USD 1.45 billion) for 2026.

TC bonders play a pivotal role in HBM production by employing thermal compression to bond and stack chips on processed wafers, thereby significantly influencing HBM yield. According to the report, Hanmi plans to introduce several upgraded models in the next two years, including 2.5D big die TC bonders in the second half of this year, mild hybrid bonders in the latter half of 2025, and hybrid bonders in 2026.

Memory giants have developed their own ecosystems to secure TC bonders’ supply. The report notes that Hanmi has been providing its TC bonders to SK hynix, while the latter is a major HBM supplier to Nvidia. In addition, the company also entered into a 22.6 billion won agreement with Micron in April.

Whether in the near future, Hanmi Semicodutor would be able to finalize similar contracts with Samsung, another memory heavyweight, remains to be seen. For now, Samsung sources its equipment from Japan’s Toray and Sinkawa, as well as its subsidiary SEMES.

Hanmi Semiconductor produces TC bonders at its six factories located in Incheon, where its headquarters are situated. The report indicates that it aims to increase the capacity of its newest, the sixth factory from 264 units of TC bonders annually this year to 420 units next year, which makes it the largest annual capacity for TC bonder producers worldwide.

Read more

• [News] Rising HBM Production by Samsung and SK Hynix Energizes Korea’s TC Bonder Industry
• [News] ASMPT Reportedly Provided Demo TC Bonder to Micron for HBM Production

(Photo credit: Hanmi Semicondutor)

Unlike other major semiconductor manufacturers, including Intel and TSMC, memory giant Micron is not in a hurry to adopt EUV (extreme ultraviolet) lithography for its DRAM production. However, according to a latest report from Technews, in 2024, Micron plans to begin trial production using EUV on its 1γ (1-gamma) process technology at 10-nm level.

The report also notes that currently, all of the company’s mass-produced products are made using DUV (deep ultraviolet) lithography. However, after entering trial production in 2024 with EUV, Micron also anticipates that this process technology will enter large-scale production in 2025.

Another Korean memory giant, Samsung, announced in 2020 that it has successfully shipped one million of the industry’s first 10nm-class (D1x) DDR4 (Double Date Rate 4) DRAM modules based on EUV technology.

In 2021, SK hynix has started mass production of its 10-nm DRAM chips using EUV technology, and is said to invest USD 1.5 billion this year to acquire 8 advanced EUV lithography machines, according to an earlier report from Disc Manufacturer.

Previously, Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra stated during an earnings call that the trial production of 10-nm-class 1γ (1-gamma) process DRAM using EUV lithography is progressing well, and they are on track to achieve mass production by 2025 as planned. Currently, Micron is developing the 10-nanometer-class 1γ process DRAM manufacturing technology using EUV lithography at its Hiroshima plant in Japan, which is also the first site for the trial production of 1γ memory, according to Technews.

In order to meet the strong demand for high-performance memory chips driven by AI, Micron is reportedly building a pilot production line for HBM in the U.S. and is considering producing HBM in Malaysia for the first time.

Read more

• [News] Micron’s HBM Expansion at Full Throttle: Rumored to Expand in US, Malaysia Also an Option
• [News] HBM Supply Shortage Prompts Micron’s Expansion, Expected Schedule in Japan and Taiwan Revealed

(Photo credit: ASML)

South Korean memory giant SK Hynix has released its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2023 and the full year 2023, ending on December 31, 2023. In the fourth quarter, the revenue reached KRW 11.306 trillion, operating profit amounted to KRW 346 billion, and net loss was KRW 1.38 trillion. The operating profit margin for Q4 2023 was 3%, with a net profit margin of negative 12%.

Source: SK Hynix

SK Hynix noted that, with the rebound in the memory market, the operating profit for the fourth quarter of 2023 reached KRW 346 billion, successfully marking a turnaround from losses. This signifies that SK Hynix, in just one year, has managed to break free from the continuous operating losses experienced since the fourth quarter of 2022.

SK Hynix emphasizes that the overall memory market conditions improved in the last quarter of 2023 with demand for AI server and mobile applications increasing and average selling price (ASP) rising. 

Simultaneously, the effective implementation of a profit-oriented business plan by SK Hynix has enabled the company to achieve the goal of turning losses into profits within just one year.

Source: SK Hynix

Furthermore, SK Hynix has reduced the cumulative scale of operating losses that persisted until Q3 2023. In total, the consolidated revenue for 2023 reached KRW 32.766 trillion, with an operating loss of KRW 7.73 trillion and a net loss of KRW 9.138 trillion. Overall, the operating loss rate for 2023 is 24%, and the net loss rate is 27%.

SK Hynix also notes that in the DRAM sector for 2023, the company actively addressed customer demands. The revenue for the company’s flagship products, DDR5 and HBM3, increased by more than four and five times, respectively, compared to 2022.

Additionally, considering the relatively slow recovery in the NAND Flash memory market, the business plan primarily focuses on investment and cost efficiency.

In response to the growing trend in demand for high-performance DRAM, SK Hynix will smoothly proceed with the mass production of HBM3e memory for AI and the development of HBM4.

TrendForce’s earlier research into the HBM market indicates that NVIDIA plans to diversify its HBM suppliers for more robust and efficient supply chain management. The progress of HBM3e, as outlined in the timeline below, shows that SK Hynix provided its 8hi (24GB) samples to NVIDIA  in mid-August.

Simultaneously, the company aims to supply high-performance and high-capacity products like DDR5 and LPDDR5T to the server and mobile markets.

Moreover, to address the continued growth in demand for AI servers and the widespread adoption of edge AI computing applications, SK Hynix will exert efforts in the development of high-capacity server module MCR DIMM and mobile module LPCAMM2 to respond to the ever-increasing demand for AI servers and on-device AI adoption.

For NAND, the company aims to continue to improve profitability and stabilize the business by expanding sales of premium products such as eSSD, expected to improve profitability and strengthen internal management.

Lastly, SK Hynix emphasizes its commitment to maintaining and enhancing profitability and efficiency by continuing to expand the production of high-value-added products in 2024, similar to its strategy in 2023. The company will focus on minimizing capital expenditures while prioritizing stable business operations. 

“We achieved a remarkable turnaround, marking the first operating profit in the fourth quarter following a protracted downturn, thanks to our technological leadership in the AI memory space,” said Kim Woohyun, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (CFO) at SK Hynix.

Kim further stated, “We are now ready to grow into a total AI memory provider by leading changes and presenting customized solutions as we enter an era for a new leap forward.”

Read more

• [News] SK Hynix Signs Prioritized Supply Agreement with NVIDIA for HBM3e, 2023 Q4 Revenue Expected to Surpass KRW 10 Trillion Again
• [News] TSMC Reportedly Attracts Influx of 3nm Customers, Predicts Production Capacity Utilization to Surge to 80% by Year-End

(Photo credit: SK Hynix)

After a rebound from the decline in NAND prices, the current quotations still show a gap from reaching the breakeven point for suppliers such as Samsung, Kioxia, SK Hynix, and Micron.

Major domestic players in the NAND Flash industry indicate that NAND Flash suppliers, driven by the goal of profitability, will continue to aggressively raise prices. It is anticipated that prices will need to increase by over 40% once again for major manufacturers to break even. To achieve profitability, future price hikes are expected to be at least 50% or even higher, according to Economic Daily News.

Looking at the global NAND Flash market share in 3Q23, according to a report from TrendForce, Samsung holds the leading position with a market share of 31.4%. The second position is held by the SK group, with a market share of 20.2%, followed by the U.S.-based Western Digital at third place with a market share of 16.9%. The Japanese company, Kioxia ranks fourth with a market share of approximately 14.5%.

The industry indicates that due to the lower profitability of NAND Flash compared to DRAM, international giants are actively reducing NAND Flash production.

Taking Samsung as an example, since September of this year, the reduction in NAND chip production has expanded to 50% of total capacity, focusing on products with stacked layers up to 128 layers. The goal is to accelerate destocking and stabilize prices, with plans to gradually increase prices in 2024.

TrendForce has indicated that following Samsung’s expansion of the production reduction to 50%, other suppliers are also maintaining a restrained wafer allocation strategy. After more than half a year of production reduction in some processes and capacities, there is a structural supply shortage, providing an advantage for chip manufacturers in price control. Observing the market in the fourth quarter, there are almost no low-priced sources available for purchase. However, buyers still tend to maintain high inventory levels and continue purchasing.

Industry sources revealed that the NAND chip prices had plummeted too deeply before. Although the quarterly increase in contract prices seems substantial, there is still a distance for chip manufacturers to achieve a turnaround. It is expected that prices need to increase by another 40% to allow suppliers to cross the breakeven point. Therefore, prices are expected to be quite strong in the coming quarters.

Read more

• NAND Flash Industry Revenue Grows 2.9% in 3Q23, Expected to Surge Over 20% in Q4, Says TrendForce
• [Insights] Memory Spot Price Update: Modest DRAM Increase; NAND Flash 512Gb Premium Fades

(Photo credit: Samsung)

After more than two years of stagnation in the memory market, which was exacerbated by production cuts from major players like Samsung and Micron earlier this year, the issue of overstock has finally seen improvement.

As per Nikkei’s report, this has driven an increase in prices for DRAM, marking the first such occurrence in nearly two and a half years. Observers are optimistic that the memory market will hit bottom this year, with a recovery and growth expected in 2024.

According to TrendForce’s data, the contract price for the DDR4 8GB, considered a benchmark product for DRAM, reached USD 1.50 in October, a 15.4% increase from September and the first increase since July 2021. The contract price for the same product continued to rise in November by 10%, reaching USD 1.65.

In addition to the DDR4 8GB product, other specifications of DRAM contract prices generally experienced monthly increases of around 10% in October this year. Generally, memory contract prices are determined collaboratively by chip suppliers and corporate customers, and an increase in contract prices signifies an advantage for suppliers.

There are signs of a bottoming out and rebound in the DRAM market in the third quarter of this year. TrendForce indicated that the global DRAM market’s revenue increased by 18% compared to the previous quarter, reaching USD 13.48 billion.

This growth, reportedly, is primarily attributed to production cuts by major suppliers throughout the year, gradually restoring balance to the market supply and demand.

The report also reflects on the pandemic period, noting that the global surge in remote work initially led to a sharp increase in demand for memory. However, as the pandemic gradually subsided in 2021, market demand cooled.

Additionally, persistent challenges such as high inflation and interest rates impacting consumer spending weakened demand for PCs and various consumer electronic devices. This, in turn, led to global oversupply in memory, causing prices to decline consistently.

Major DRAM manufacturers, including Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, have been reducing production since the beginning of this year, and they have recently managed to reverse the downturn.

Samsung reported a 16% revenue growth in the third quarter, while SK Hynix achieved an impressive growth rate of 34.4%. Despite a decline in average selling prices, Micron’s third-quarter chip shipment growth contributed to an overall revenue growth of 4.2%.

Moreover, the global NAND Flash market saw a 2.9% sequential increase in revenue in the third quarter, and a growth rate of 20% is anticipated for the fourth quarter, according to TrendForce’s latest research.

Read more

• [Insights] Due to Year-End Sluggish Demand, Spot Prices Hover for DRAM and NAND Flash
• [News] After Memory Price Hike, Shortages Emerge in Some Products?

(Photo credit: Samsung)