TSMC, along with research teams like imec, continues to push the boundaries in pursuit of optimal solutions for achieving high bandwidth and low power consumption on the same chip area.

As per a report from Commercial Times, Imec has even mapped out a blueprint for the Angstrom era, with the potential to surpass the A1 threshold by 2040. They have also revealed that the A14 node will require the adoption of High-NA EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography with High Numerical Aperture), reportedly hinting that TSMC’s adoption of High-NA EUV is inevitable.

Per another report from the Economic Daily News, Luc Van den hove, President and CEO of imec, presented imec’s latest technological roadmap at the ITF Taiwan 2024 forum. He outlined plans to advance to the 2nm node by 2025, enter the angstrom era with the A14 process by 2027, and reach the A2 process by 2037.

He also explained the changes in imec’s transistor architecture, stating that the 2nm process will transition from FinFET to Nanosheet architecture, while the A7 process will further shift to complementary FET (CFET) architecture.

This, per Commercial Times’ report, hints that TSMC’s adoption is only a matter of time. TSMC emphasized that whenever new structures and tools, such as High-NA EUV, emerge, they carefully evaluate their maturity, costs, schedules, and feasibility.

Min Cao, Vice President of R&D at TSMC, pointed out that the performance, power, and area (PPA) gains from field-effect transistors (FETs) are diminishing. To sustain high growth, TSMC does not rule out the development of emerging materials.

He further expressed optimism about the significant growth wave driven by artificial intelligence, noting that the complexity of AI models and computational power is expected to grow exponentially.

Min Cao noted that the automotive sector will soon adopt 3nm and 5nm chips, and TSMC will be able to support the advancement of autonomous driving. He estimated that the semiconductor market will reach a scale of USD 1 trillion by 2030.

Read more

• [News] TSMC’s Expansion beyond 2nm Taking Shape? Angstrom-Class Fabs Possibly in Southern Taiwan
• [News] Decipher TSMC’s Calm Take on High-NA EUV Lithography Machines: Who May Have the Last Laugh in the Angstrom Era?

(Photo credit: TSMC)

Recently, wafer foundry market has seen various dynamics from related manufacturers.

TSMC is reportedly planning to build its third plant in Japan, while Samsung has delayed the construction of its Pyeongtaek P4/P5 chip plants to 2026, prioritizing the Texas Taylor wafer plant instead.

Meanwhile, SMIC, Huahong Group, and Nexchip have all released their semi-annual reports, showing steady improvements in capacity utilization rates. SMIC expects its 12-inch monthly capacity to increase by around 60,000 wafers in late 2024 compared to the end of last year.

Huahong is accelerating the construction of its new 12-inch production line in Wuxi, which is expected to start production in the first quarter of next year.

According to a survey by TrendForce, strong demand for AI server has driven the total output value of the world’s top ten wafer foundries to increase by 9.6% quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter, reaching USD 32 billion.

TSMC, Samsung, SMIC, Huahong Group, and Nexchip ranked first, second, third, sixth, and tenth, respectively, among the world’s top ten wafer foundries.

• TSMC Plans to Build the Third Plant in Japan After 2030

J.W. Kuo, head of Taiwan’s economic department, recently stated in an interview that TSMC plans to build its third plant in Japan to produce advanced semiconductors, with the construction expected to commence after 2030.

TSMC’s first plant in Kumamoto, Japan, (Kumamoto P1) is expected to start mass production in 4Q24 (October-December), using 28/22nm and 16/12nm process technologies, with a monthly capacity of 55,000 wafers.

The second planned plant, also located in Kumamoto, is scheduled to commence construction at the end of 2024, with operations starting in late 2027, focusing on 6/7nm processes.

The combined monthly capacity of TSMC’s Kumamoto P1 and P2 is expected to exceed 100,000 wafers. TSMC Chairman C.C.Wei mentioned in June that after the first and second plants are operational, TSMC may consider building a third plant in Kumamoto if the local residents agree.

• Samsung Delays the Construction of Pyeongtaek P4/P5 Plants to 2026, Prioritizing Texas Taylor Plant

Per global media reports on September 2, Samsung has postponed the construction of the second and fourth phase production lines of the Pyeongtaek P4 and P5 plants to 2026. Samsung is currently focusing on building a wafer plant in Taylor, Texas.

It is reported that Samsung did not conduct the necessary financial review for the Pyeongtaek P5 plant by the end of July 2024, leading to delays in the construction plans for both P5 and P4 plants.

However, the first-phase production line of P4 plant, which produces NAND Flash, is expected to start production soon. The third-phase production line is currently under construction, with plans to install power equipment after the Mid-Autumn Festival.

The original plan for P4 plant was to first build a memory production line (Phase 1), then a wafer foundry line (Phase 2), followed by additional memory and wafer foundry lines (Phases 3 and 4) to complete P4 plant.

However, it is reported that the wafer foundry business at this production line failed to meet expectations, prompting Samsung to prioritize the construction of memory production lines.

The sources cited by DRAMExchange revealed that the product lineup for the P4 Phase 2 production line is expected to be finalized between January and February 2025.

The Taylor plant began construction in the first half of 2022 and is expected to put into operation in 2026. The project’s investment scale is approximately USD 17 billion, with wafer manufacturing originally planned for the 4nm node.

However, industry news from June 2024 indicates that Samsung has added 2nm advanced process technology to meet the demand driven by the AI wave.

In April 2024, Samsung signed an agreement with the U.S. Department of Commerce to receive USD 6.4 billion in subsidies under the CHIPS Act.

• SMIC’s Revenue Grows by 23.2% Year-on-Year

Recently, SMIC released its half-yearly financial results, showing that the company achieved a revenue of CNY 26.269 billion, a year-on-year increase of 23.2%.

The net profit attributable to the parent company was CNY 1.646 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 45.1%, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was CNY 1.288 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 27%.

In terms of capacity utilization, SMIC’s 8-inch utilization rate has rebounded. The company stated that its 12-inch capacity has been near full load in recent quarters, with additional effective capacity added in the first half of this year, and the new capacity has been rapidly put into production.

The company’s overall capacity utilization rate increased to 85%, up 4 percentage points from the previous quarter.

These financial results highlight two key indicators that send an important signal to the market. Although SMIC’s profits fell short of expectations, its revenue continued to rise, reflecting signs of recovery in downstream markets.

Beyond the recovery in revenue, the increase in capacity utilization is a major highlight of the report.

Data indicates that the main drivers of SMIC’s revenue turnaround were the smartphone and consumer electronics business, further demonstrating signs of recovery in the semiconductor market.

As to wafer revenue by size, demand for 8-inch wafers has rebounded, with the revenue share increasing to 26%, up 2 percentage points from the previous quarter, while the revenue share for 12-inch wafer is 74%.

Regarding capacity expansion, SMIC expects its 12-inch monthly capacity to increase by around 60,000 wafers by the end of this year compared to the end of last year. SMIC provided guidance for the third quarter, projecting a revenue growth of 13% to 15% quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin between 18% and 20%.

• Huahong’s Capacity Utilization Rate Exceeded 100% in Q2

Huahong achieved operating income of around CNY 6.732 billion in the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 23.88%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 265 million, a year-on-year decrease of 83.33%.

It expects third-quarter sales revenue of CNY 500 million to 520 million, with a gross margin between 10% and 12%.

In terms of capacity utilization, Huahong reported that the company’s 8-inch capacity utilization rate surpassed 100% in the second quarter, with the 12-inch capacity utilization rate closed to full capacity.

The overall capacity utilization rate was 97.9%, a significant improvement from 91.7% in the first quarter, but still below the 102.7% capacity utilization rate in the second quarter of last year, indicating that Huahong has not yet returned to its peak level.

On product mix, Huahong’s major revenue contributors are discrete device and embedded non-volatile memory. In the second quarter of this year, the combined revenue share of these two segments was 60.5%.

Regarding production, the company is accelerating the construction of its new 12-inch production line in Wuxi.

In August, Huahong announced that the first phase of Wuxi base currently has a capacity of 94,500 wafers per month, with nearly all process platforms steadily scaling up production.

The second phase of Wuxi, after about a year of construction, is now 80% of completion, with the first equipment installation scheduled for the end of August. The production line is expected to be completed by the end of the year, with capacity to be released starting in the first quarter of next year.

• Nexchip Turned Profitable Compared to the Same Period of Last Year

Nexchip achieved a revenue of CNY 4.398 billion, a year-on-year increase of 48.09%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of CNY 187 million, turning losses into gains year on year. The company’s gross margin was 24.43%.

Nexchip mainly engages in 12-inch wafer foundry services, providing wafer foundry services for DDIC and other process platforms.

In 1H24, the revenue share from CIS has significantly increased, making it the company’s second-largest product segment, with CIS capacity running at full load.

The company’s current wafer foundry capacity is 115,000 wafers per month, and it plans to expand capacity by 30,000 to 50,000 wafers per month in 2024, focusing on 55nm and 40nm nodes, with a primary focus on advanced CIS.

From a quarter-on-quarter perspective, the semi-annual reports of the three major foundries, SMIC, Huahong, and Nexchip, indicate a gradual upturn in business performance and steady improvement in capacity utilization rate.

Industry sources cited by DRAMExchange suggested that this signals an accelerated speed of recovery in the semiconductor market, and the second half of the year may see more positive surprises.

Read more

• [News] TSMC to Build Third Fab in Japan? The Timing May Be Reportedly after 2030
• [News] Two Contrasting Trends Emerge in Wafer Foundry Industry

(Photo credit: TSMC)

As Intel has reportedly been working out options to navigate the company through crisis, its possible moves are said to include selling off Altera, putting a halt to its investment project in Germany, and though, less unlikely, sale of its foundry business. However, if this restructuring does happen, according to South Korean media outlets The Korea Times and The Korea Herald, Samsung and TSMC are unlikely to be buyers for Intel’s foundry operations.

A Risky Move for Samsung to Make

Intel’s thoughts on its foundry business has been casting ripples in the global semiconductor industry, as the market has been speculating who the buyers might be and whether the falling giant will take action on the potential divestiture of its foundry operations.

Nevertheless, a report by The Korea Times notes that as Intel’s foundry market share is currently small, the impact to its competitors may be minimum. Therefore, it is unlikely that this sale will immediately boost Samsung’s chip market share.

According to TrendForce’s latest analysis, top five rankings in the foundry sector remained unchanged in the second quarter, with TSMC (62.3%), Samsung (11.5%), SMIC (5.7%), UMC (5.3%), and GlobalFoundries (4.9%) stood steadfast in their positions.

Moreover, industry officials cited by the report notes that it could be a risky move for Samsung to make another large investment in Intel’s foundry. Samsung’s non-memory chip division, which encompasses foundry and large-scale system integration devices, reportedly incurred an operating loss of 300 billion won (USD 2.24 million) in the second quarter of this year, according to the report.

On the other hand, Washington’s attitude could also pose a challenge for current market players like TSMC and Samsung, the report indicates. Given that the U.S. regards semiconductor manufacturing as a matter of national security, GlobalFoundries might be the most likely buyer, as it is a U.S. company and aligns with the policy of protecting U.S. national security, according to a semiconductor industry official cited by the report.

An Emerging Foundry Opportunity for Samsung: AI Chips

A report by The Korea Herald observes that Samsung, in a way, has been facing similar difficulties with Intel, as the company finds it challenging in securing significant orders from big techs. While TSMC is known for having close ties with tech giants, Samsung, on the other hand, is seeing increased orders from startups and automotive firms.

However, a turning point may have arrived. IBM unveiled its new AI chips for servers, the IBM Telum II Processor and IBM Spyre Accelerator, at Hot Chips 2024 last week. The report notes that these upcoming chips will be manufactured by Samsung using its 5nm process technology.

The report further suggests that it would be more advantageous for Samsung to focus on identifying potential clients in the AI industry and securing their orders, rather than trying to compete with TSMC on all areas of the logic chips sector.

Read more

• [News] AMD Could Emerge as a Prospective Buyer for Intel’s Potential Sale of Altera
• [News] TSMC May Benefit from Intel’s Potential Altera Sale Due to Close Ties with Buyers

(Photo credit: Samsung)

Reuters previously reported that Intel is considering selling its stake in Altera, a FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Array) manufacturer, as part of its business restructuring and cost-cutting efforts, as AMD and Marvell are said to be potential buyers.

As per a report from Economic Daily News citing sources, it’s believed that if the sale goes through, a significant portion of Altera’s orders could be redirected to TSMC, which would be highly beneficial for the Taiwanese foundry giant.

The same report indicated that Altera used to be a major customer of TSMC. However, after Intel acquired Altera in 2015, the orders were redirected to Intel. TSMC’s rapid growth, bolstered by orders from clients like Apple, AMD, and NVIDIA, helped mitigate the impact of losing Altera’s business though.

If Altera is no longer part of Intel, as it might be is acquired by companies like AMD or Marvell, which are currently key clients of TSMC, it is likely that Altera’s orders may return to TSMC in significant volumes.

Intel acquired Altera for USD 16.7 billion in 2015, and has previously indicated plans to sell a portion of its stake through an initial public offering (IPO), though no specific date has been set.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, Reuter’s report suggested that Intel’s plan does not currently include splitting up the company or selling its foundry business to buyers like TSMC, Reuters notes.

Intel had already begun segregating its wafer foundry business into an independent division and financials, starting from the first quarter of this year.

Per Reuters, the company has established a wall between its foundry and IC design business to ensure that the design division’s potential customers cannot access the confidential technologies of Intel’s foundry clients.

Read more

• [News] AMD Could Emerge as a Prospective Buyer for Intel’s Potential Sale of Altera
• [News] Intel Reportedly Mulls to Sell FPGA Unit Altera and Freeze USD 32 Billion German Project amid Crisis

(Photo credit: Intel)

Taiwanese Minister of Economic Affairs J.W. Kuo, who was invited to visit Japan, attended a forum on August 30 organized by the Taiwan-Japan Research Institute and delivered a keynote speech. As reported by Kyodo News citing the interview with Kuo, he indicated that TSMC plans to build a third fab in Japan, but with a projected timeline after 2030.

However, Kuo emphasized that the final decision on whether to proceed with the expansion in Japan rests with TSMC, and he refrained from discussing specific site locations.

In addition, in response to Kuo’s comments, the Ministry of Economic Affairs clarified that any details regarding TSMC’s potential third fab should be confirmed with the foundry giant itself.

Reportedly, Kumamoto Prefecture Governor Takashi Kimura visited TSMC’s headquarters on the afternoon of August 26 and held talks with TSMC’s senior executives.

Notably, Takashi Kimura, who took office in April, stated in an report from Bloomberg on May 11th that he would spare no effort to persuade TSMC to establish a third fab in the region, believing that during the preparations for TSMC’s first fab in Kumamoto, the region already possesses better-quality road and water infrastructure and an education system that better supports international school students, which could be advantageous.

TSMC’s fabs in Kikuyo Town, Kumamoto Prefecture (Kumamoto Fab 1) is set to begin mass production in Q4 (October-December), utilizing 28/22nm and 16/12nm process technologies, with a monthly production capacity of 55,000 wafers.

The Kumamoto Fab 2 is scheduled to begin construction at the end of 2024, with the goal of starting operations by the end of 2027, focusing on 6/7nm processes. The combined monthly production capacity of TSMC’s Kumamoto fab 1 and 2 is estimated to exceed 100,000 wafers.

TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei mentioned in June that after the successful operation of the first and second fabs, TSMC would consider building a third fab if it receives the approval of the local residents.

Read more

• [News] TSMC Reports No Major Damage to Kumamoto Plant after 7.1 Magnitude Earthquake near Kyushu, Japan
• [News] TSMC’s Kumamoto Fab 2 Reportedly Begins Land Preparation

(Photo credit: TSMC)