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2024-05-31

[News] UMC Optimistic About Second Half Business Outlook, While AI Could Capture 10-20% Market Share

According to a report from Liberty Times, Taiwanese foundry UMC stated yesterday that the company’s operations in the second quarter would see a slight increase compared to the first quarter, and the second half of the year would be better than the first half.

With UMC’s technology and processes, the company estimated that it can capture about 10-20% of the AI foundry market share, which is expected to drive future business growth.

  • Edge Computing to Become Widespread in 4 Years

At UMC’s shareholder meeting yesterday, Co-General Manager Jason Wang stated that semiconductor applications are becoming increasingly diverse and important. The most promising growth areas include autonomous vehicles, AI servers, and AI PCs.

UMC sees significant growth potential in high-speed transmission and power management. In high-performance computing (HPC), UMC will focus on back-end integration, including interposers and advanced 3D IC packaging.

Jason Wang pointed out that AI is currently in early stages, and thus more focused on building the infrastructure for high-speed computing. However, once the infrastructure is complete, the market will gradually expand to the widespread adoption of edge computing, which he estimates will take about four years.

UMC plans to position itself early, developing technologies that align with customer applications. UMC is optimistic about the market prospects and has high expectations for the future, Wang noted.

UMC’s CFO Chitung Liu stated that while UMC does not have advanced processes for producing HPC chips in the AI field, it has made significant progress in edge computing and related process technologies. With UMC’s technology, processes, and capacity, it is estimated that the company can still capture a 10-20% share of the AI foundry market, which is considerable and will be a major driver of future operational growth.

UMC currently produces CoWoS advanced packaging-related silicon interposers at its Singapore plant, with monthly capacity doubling to 6,000 wafers this year. UMC will continue to invest according to market conditions, according to Liu.

  • Effects of U.S.-China Trade War Order Transferring Take At Least Six Month to be Seen

Regarding the benefits of diversification amid the U.S.-China trade war, Liu mentioned that it takes time for customers to redesign and transition orders. It can take at least six to nine months in the short term for the effects to be seen, and up to one to two years in the long term for orders to be successfully transitioned.

Currently, there are no significant effects from diversification in the short term. However, UMC’s production is diversified across regions including Singapore, Japan, China, and Taiwan, with collaborations with Intel in Arizona, USA. Thus, UMC can meet customer needs regardless of where they choose to manufacture, Liu explained.

Liu reiterated the stance from last month’s briefing, stating that the situation in the first half of the year has improved from the economic downturn, and second-quarter revenue is expected to see a slight increase compared to the previous quarter. He hopes for better performance in the second half of the year.

In terms of application markets, the short-term performance of the automotive and industrial sectors appears weak, but growth is expected in the medium to long term. On the other hand, prospects for the communication and consumer sectors in the second half of the year are expected to be better than the first half.

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(Photo credit: UMC)

Please note that this article cites information from Liberty Times.

2024-05-31

[News] US Reportedly Slows NVIDIA and AMD from Selling AI Chips to the Middle East

According to a report from Bloomberg, US officials have slowed down the issuance of licenses for chip manufacturers like NVIDIA and AMD to export large quantities of AI accelerators to the Middle East. Meanwhile, officials are conducting a national security assessment of AI developments in the region.

As per Bloomberg’s report citing sources, it is still unclear how long the assessment will take and what exactly constitutes a large-scale export. They said that officials are particularly concerned about large-scale sales because countries like the UAE and Saudi Arabia are looking to import significant quantities of chips for AI data centers.

AI accelerators can help data centers process the massive amounts of information required for developing AI chatbots and other tools. They have become essential equipment for companies and governments seeking to build AI infrastructure.

Reportedly, sources have revealed that slowing down exports is intended to give Washington time to formulate a comprehensive strategy on how advanced chips should be deployed overseas. Some of these sources mentioned that this includes negotiating who will manage and secure the facilities used to train AI models.

The US Department of Commerce stated in a statement that “protecting national security” is the top priority.

“With regards to the most cutting edge technologies, we conduct extensive due diligence through an interagency process, thoroughly reviewing license applications from applicants who intend to ship these advanced technologies around the world,” a representative for the department said. “As always, we remain committed to working with our partners in the Middle East and around the world to safeguard our technological ecosystem.”

Addressing national security concerns, earlier this month, the U.S. government has reportedly revoked the licenses of Intel and Qualcomm to supply semiconductor chips used in laptops and handsets to Huawei. According to Reuters citing sources, some companies received notices on May 7th, and the revocation of the licenses took immediate effect.

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(Photo credit: NVIDIA)

Please note that this article cites information from Bloomberg and Reuters.

2024-05-27

[News] Amid Growing HBM Demand, SK Hynix Chairman Reportedly Considers Production in Japan and the US

According to a report by Nikkei News, SK Hynix is considering expanding its investment to Japan and the US to increase HBM production and meet customer demand.

Reportedly, the demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) is surging thanks to the AI boom. SK Group Chairman and CEO Chey Tae-won stated at the Future of Asia forum in Tokyo on May 23rd that if overseas investment becomes necessary, the company would consider manufacturing these products in Japan and the United States.

Chey Tae-won also mentioned that SK will further strengthen its partnerships with Japanese chip manufacturing equipment makers and materials suppliers, considering increased investments in Japan. He emphasized that collaboration with Japanese suppliers is crucial for advanced semiconductor manufacturing.

When selecting chip manufacturing sites, Chey highlighted the importance of accessing clean energy, as customers are demanding significant reductions in supply chain greenhouse gas emissions.

Additionally, Chey stated that SK intends to enhance R&D collaboration with Japanese partners for next-generation semiconductor products.

Kwon Jae-soon, a senior executive at SK Hynix, stated in a report published by the Financial Times on May 21 that the yield rate of their HBM3e is approaching the 80% target, and the production time has been reduced by 50%.

Kwon emphasized that the company’s goal this year is to produce 8-layer stacked HBM3e, as this is what customers need the most. He noted that improving yield rates is becoming increasingly important to maintain a leading position in the AI era.

SK Hynix’s HBM capacity is almost fully booked through next year. The company plans to collaborate with TSMC to mass-produce more advanced HBM4 chips starting next year.

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(Photo credit: SK Hynix)

Please note that this article cites information from Nikkei News and Financial Times.

2024-05-27

[News] A Subsidy Wave Sweeping in the US, Europe and Japan amid the Cut-Throat Chip Competition

According to Bloomberg, mega economies like the US and the EU have invested tens of billions of dollars in the research and mass production of next-generation semiconductors, and notably, this is only the initial amount of funding already received.

Meanwhile, South Korea and Japan have also joined the “subsidy race” for chips. With substantial investments continuously pouring into the semiconductor industry, global chip competition will intensify.

  • Korea to Allocate USD 19 Billion to Support Chip Industry

On May 23, Korea announced a comprehensive support plan for semiconductor industry, with an investment of up tp KRW 26 trillion (~ USD 19 billion). This plan intends to provide large-scale financing support and rev up investments in the construction of semiconductor parks and various infrastructures, and the cultivation of research and development personnel, involving companies include chip manufacturers, raw material suppliers, and chip design companies.

The core of this plan is a financing support project by the Korea Development Bank, valued at KRW 17 trillion (~USD 12.4 billion), specifically for semiconductor infrastructure investment. Additionally, Korea will extend tax concession for chip investment to ensure the smooth progress of semiconductor supercluster investment.

Semiconductor is a vital industry for Korea’s economic growth. In response to substantial subsidies for chip industry from the US and EU, Korea is actively promoting the development of its local chip industry.

In January 2024, Korea launched the “World’s Largest and Best Semiconductor Supercluster Construction Plan,” proposing an investment of KRW 622 trillion (~USD 454 billion) by 2047, which is to build 16 new plants, inclusive of R&D facilities, and construct “Semiconductor Supercluster”in semiconductor-intensive cities such as Pyeongtaek, Hwaseong, Yongin, Icheon, and Suwon in southern Gyeonggi Province. It’s estimated that the chip production capacity will reach 7.7 million wafers per month by 2030.

  • Europe to Draw in EUR 100 Billion in 2030

Recently, an EU Commission official revealed that the “European Chips Act” is expected to help the European semiconductor industry attract more than EUR 100 billion (~USD 108 billion) in funding by 2030.

The official also stated that the EU Commission plans to complete reviewing the support plan of four advanced semiconductor pilot lines by September and is planning another pilot line for silicon photonics chip with an unspecified investment scale.

The “European Chips Act” officially came into effect in September 2023, aiming to increase the EU’s share of the global semiconductor market from the current 10% to at least 20% by 2030. The act promises to allocate EUR 43 billion (~USD 46.4 billion) in subsidy funds, with EUR 11 billion (~USD 11.8 billion) for the development of advanced process chip technology.

Industry sources indicate that Europe’s two largest chip projects are located in Germany. Germany plans to provide USD 20 billion in subsidies to increase chip production, of which around 75% will go to Intel and TSMC.

Intel is projected to invest over EUR 30 billion (~USD 33 billion) in building a wafer plant in Magdeburg, Germany, with an expected government subsidy of nearly  USD 11 billion. TSMC plans to build its first European factory in Germany, which will also receive government subsidies. Recent media reports indicate that efforts in establishing this factory is proceeding as planned, with construction expected to begin in the fourth quarter of 2024.

  • Japan to Raise USD 25.3 Billion for Chip Sector

To enhance semiconductor R&D and production capabilities, Japan is also providing massive subsidies in the semiconductor field, including taking in foreign investment to build factories and strengthening local state-of-the-art process R&D and production.

It’s reported that since Japan formulated the “Semiconductor and Digital Industry Strategy” in June 2021, the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry has raised approximately USD 25.3 billion for its chip industry, involving companies like TSMC and Rapidus.

In February, TSMC’s Kumamoto plant officially opened, marking TSMC’s first factory in Japan (Fab 23). The total production capacity will reach 40-50Kwpm  wafers per month, focusing on 22/28nm processes and a small part on 12/16nm, paving the way for the main process of the second Kumamoto plant.

In April, Japan approved a subsidy of up to USD 3.9 billion for Rapidus, a domestic semiconductor manufacturing company to mass-produce 2nm chips by 2027.

In addition to wafer foundries, Japan is also spotlighting memory industry. Previously, the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry announced a subsidy of JPY 242.9 billion (~USD 1.546 billion) for Kioxia and Western Digital to build two advanced NAND flash memory chip production plants in Mie and Iwate Prefectures, attempting to meet the demands from AI and big data center markets. The joint venture plants will produce 218-layer 3D NAND chips.

  • The US to Offer USD 29 Billion to TSMC, Samsung and Intel

The US “CHIPS and Science Act” was introduced in August 2022, providing USD 52.7 billion for chip research, development, manufacturing, and workforce development in the US, and offering a 25% investment tax credit for capital expenditures on manufacturing chips and related equipment.

It’s reported recently that since December 2023, the US has allocated about USD 29 billion in subsidies to companies such as Samsung, TSMC, Intel, and Micron. These chip manufacturers have pledged to invest approximately USD 300 billion in current and future chip manufacturing projects in the US.

In April, Micron, Samsung, and TSMC received US funding subsidies. Micron will establish two new chip manufacturing plants in upstate New York and Boise, Idaho (Its headquarter), with a fund of USD 6.14 billion. Samsung will build a plant covering leading logic, R&D, and advanced packaging in Taylor, Texas, and expand the production of mature process nodes in Austin, Texas, with a fund of USD 6.4 billion. TSMC is developing three cutting-edge wafer plants in Phoenix, Arizona, receiving USD 6.6 billion in subsidies.

Previously, Microchip Technology and Intel also secured USD 162 million and USD 8.5 billion in funding, respectively. Intel’s USD 8.5 billion is the largest single subsidy provided under the CHIPS Act to date, with which Intel will advance its commercial chip projects in Arizona, New Mexico, Ohio, and Oregon.

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(Photo credit: Intel)

Please note that this article cites information from WeChat account DRAMeXchange.

2024-05-24

[News] Export Crisis Averted, TSMC’s Nanjing Plant Reportedly Granted Indefinite Exemption

TSMC’s Nanjing plant has averted an export permit expiration crisis. On May 23rd, TSMC confirmed that it has recently received the “Validated End-User” (VEU) authorization from the U.S. Department of Commerce for TSMC (Nanjing) Co., Ltd., according to a report by Commercial Times.

Currently, the same report noted that the Nanjing plant focuses on mature processes such as 16nm and 28nm, and will continue to expand to meet customer demand. With the official U.S. authorization, the plant will no longer require individual case reviews.

TSMC stated that this formal VEU authorization replaces the temporary written authorization issued by the Department of Commerce since October 2022. The VEU does not grant new privileges but confirms that the items and services covered under U.S. export control regulations can continue to be supplied to TSMC (Nanjing) Co., Ltd. without the need for individual licenses from suppliers.

The VEU authorization allows TSMC’s Nanjing plant to maintain its current production status. Industry sources cited by Commercial Times noted that, although TSMC received its indefinite exemption later than Samsung, it has not affected TSMC’s competitiveness in the local market. Offering more competitive specialized processes is the key to TSMC’s continued customer trust.

Industry sources cited in the same report further pointed out that more specialized processes help TSMC tackle geopolitical risk challenges. For example, in the panel driver IC sector, after beginning mass production of 28nm high-voltage products this year, TSMC is now developing a 16nm high-voltage FinFET process to enable customers to design more competitive OLED panel driver ICs.

Additionally, TSMC is reportedly collaborating with customers to validate its 16nm consumer-grade products and co-develop automotive-grade 16nm magnetic random-access memory (MRAM) technology. TSMC is also progressing towards higher storage density and lower cost solutions in preparation for the next generation of 16nm MRAM.

TSMC is also accelerating its deployment of future technology applications such as software-defined vehicles (SDVs), smart sensors, and edge AI, developing the most suitable products for various regional markets, spanning from China, United States, Japan, and Germany.

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(Photo credit: TSMC)

Please note that this article cites information from Commercial Times.

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