Driven by AI demand, the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) announced on August 5 that global semiconductor sales for the second quarter of this year increased by 18.3% year-over-year and 6.5% quarter-over-quarter, reaching USD 149.9 billion.

SIA data shows that in June 2024, global semiconductor sales increased by 18.3% year-over-year and 1.7% month-over-month, reaching USD 50 billion.

In terms of sales by country or region, in June alone, the U.S. market recorded USD 14.77 billion in sales in June, posting a 42.8% year-over-year increase. Meanwhile, sales in China reached USD 15.09 billion, marking a 21.6% year-over-year increase.

Aside from the U.S. and China, the Asia Pacific and other areas saw sales of USD 12.15 billion in June, marking a 12.7% year-over-year increase. In contrast, Japan experienced a 5% decrease to USD 3.78 billion, and Europe saw an 11.2% decrease to USD 4.18 billion.

Comparing these figures to May, U.S. sales grew by 6.3%, while sales in Japan and China increased by 1.8% and 0.8%, respectively. However, European sales decreased by 1%, and sales in the Asia Pacific and other areas declined by 1.4%.

SIA President and CEO John Neuffer stated that the semiconductor market continued to perform well in the second quarter of 2024. This quarter’s sales have surpassed the record set in the fourth quarter of 2021 after a gap of two and a half years, and have also seen a sequential increase for the first time since the fourth quarter of 2023.

The SIA recently forecasted that global semiconductor sales will grow by 16% in 2024, reaching USD 611.2 billion, and will further increase to USD 687.4 billion next year, continuing to set new historical records. According to the SIA, the primary driver of this growth is the booming development of generative AI, which is boosting overall industry demand.

Read more

• [News] China’s Semiconductor Industry Ushers in a New Period
• [Insights] Trendforce: Foundry Capacity Market Share of Advanced Process to Decline in Taiwan, Korea until 2027, While US on the Rise

(Photo credit: TSMC)

According to a report from Bloomberg, the US is reportedly considering new measures and could unilaterally impose restrictions on China as early as late August. These measures would limit China’s access to AI memory and related equipment capable of producing them.

Moreover, another report from Reuters further indicates that US allies, including semiconductor equipment manufacturers from Japan, the Netherlands, and South Korea—such as major Dutch semiconductor equipment maker ASML and Tokyo Electron—will not be affected in their shipments. The report also notes that countries whose exports will be impacted include Israel, Taiwan, Singapore, and Malaysia. 

Bloomberg, citing sources, revealed that the purpose of these measures is to prevent major memory manufacturers like Micron, SK hynix, and Samsung Electronics from selling high-bandwidth memory (HBM) to China.

These three companies dominate the global HBM market. Reportedly, regarding this matter, Micron declined to comment, while Samsung and SK hynix did not immediately respond to requests for comment. 

Bloomberg’s source also emphasized that the US has yet made a final decision. The source also state that if implemented, the new measures would cover chips such as HBM2, HBM3, and HBM3e, as well as the equipment needed to manufacture these chips.

The source further revealed that Micron will essentially not be affected by the new regulations, as Micron stopped exporting HBM to China after China banned Micron’s memory from being used in critical infrastructure in 2023.

Reportedly, it is still unclear what methods the US will use to restrict South Korean companies. One possibility is the Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR). Under this rule, if a foreign-made product uses any US technology, even just a small amount, the US can impose restrictions.

Both SK hynix and Samsung are said to be relying on chip design software and equipment from US companies such as Cadence Design Systems and Applied Materials.

Read more

• [News] U.S. Reportedly Enhancing Chip Export Restrictions to China, while NVIDIA’s H20 Might Get Banned
  
• [News] China-US Chip War Escalated as YMTC Sues Micron for Patent Infringement

(Photo credit: SK hynix)

With the U.S.-China tech war heating up as the U.S. election approaches, industry sources cited by the Economic Daily News report that Chinese IC design companies are rushing to place more orders with TSMC for chip production using advanced processes before the U.S. potentially imposes stricter control policies. At the same time, they are initiating a backup plan by shifting orders to Samsung for chips manufactured with advanced nodes to avoid potential future U.S. bans on Chinese companies using Taiwanese foundries.

As a result, Samsung is becoming a beneficiary of the escalating U.S.-China tech conflict, sparking a new round of competition for orders with TSMC. As of the deadline for this report, TSMC has not responded to these rumors.

Per TSMC’s second-quarter financial report, the revenue proportion from China increased significantly from 9% in the first quarter to 16% in the second quarter. This surpasses other Asia-Pacific regions, making China the second-largest source of revenue after North America, which accounts for 65%.

The same report cites sources indicating that the increase in TSMC’s revenue share from China last quarter is likely due to Chinese IC design companies sensing potential future U.S. pressure that could prevent them from placing orders with TSMC.

As a result, these companies have been placing larger orders in advance to stockpile chips, similar to the situation previously seen when Huawei’s HiSilicon placed massive orders with TSMC to stockpile chips just before being blacklisted by the U.S.

It is understood that although the related Chinese IC companies may not using the most advanced processes, they are employing relatively advanced processes, which have been developed over several years, and applied in areas such as ADAS, mobile phones, and high-speed computing. Recently, these customers have continued to place orders with TSMC and have also begun evaluating backup plan, which involves switching orders to Samsung.

Sources cited by the report also pointed out that while Chinese IC design houses would like to diversify risks regarding the relatively advanced nodes by placing orders with companies other than TSMC, they may not be allowed to collaborate with Intel. This is why Samsung may emerge as an option.

Read more

• [News] TSMC Reportedly Received Urgent Orders from Chinese Clients, as They Offered to Pay up to 40% Extra
• [News] TSMC Projects 7.5% Q3 Revenue Growth, Adjusts Full-Year CAPEX Range

(Photo credit: TSMC)

According to sources cited in a report from Reuters, NVIDIA is said to be planning to design a new flagship AI chip tailored for the Chinese market, which will still comply with current U.S. export control regulations.

NVIDIA, the global AI chip giant, unveiled its Blackwell chip series in March this year, with mass production expected to start later this year. The B200 chip in this series boasts powerful performance, capable of completing chatbot response tasks at speeds up to 30 times faster than the previous generation.

The sources cited by Reuters further point out that NVIDIA will collaborate with China’s Inspur to launch and sell this chip, tentatively codenamed B20. Inspur is one of NVIDIA’s primary distribution partners in China.

Currently, NVIDIA’s spokesperson has declined to comment on this news, and Inspur has also not issued any statements.

The U.S. government, citing national security concerns, began strictly tightening controls on the export of advanced semiconductors to China in 2023. Since then, NVIDIA has released three chips specifically for the Chinese market.

Per a previous report from TechNews citing industry sources, it is also believed that the US will significantly escalate the trade war after the presidential election, intensifying export restrictions on China.

It is noteworthy that the US government previously announced the imposition or increase of tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, semiconductors, lithium batteries, and other products, with the semiconductor tariff rate set to rise from 25% to 50% by 2025.  Meanwhile, for the future direction of the US, it can be inferred that chips manufactured in Taiwan and South Korea may also face tariffs.

Read more

• [News] U.S. Reportedly Enhancing Chip Export Restrictions to China, while NVIDIA’s H20 Might Get Banned
• [News] China’s Third Big Fund Reportedly Set to Inject USD 27 Billion to Counter US Chip Restrictions

(Photo credit: NVIDIA)

According to a report from Tom’s Hardware, the U.S. is considering implementing new trade sanctions on China, looking to limit China’s access to advanced AI chip technology. This could result in a ban on NVIDIA’s HGX-H20 AI GPUs to China. If implemented, NVIDIA could potentially lose roughly USD 12 billion in revenue.

To comply with U.S. export regulations, NVIDIA introduced the HGX H20 GPU specifically for the Chinese market. Although it has reduced performance, it still offers powerful AI capabilities.

As per the report, the HGX H20 GPU features 296 INT8 TOPS/FP8 TFLOPS computational performance, 96 GB of HBM3 memory, and 4.0 TB/s memory bandwidth, making it competitive with the current entry-level AI chips on the market. Despite its downgraded performance, the HGX H20 outperforms Huawei’s self-developed Ascend 920 series AI chips in practical applications due to its better memory performance.

However, during the U.S. semiconductor export policy review in October, NVIDIA’s HGX H20 GPU might face a sales ban. The anticipated restrictions could take various forms, including product-specific bans, reduced computational power, or limited memory capacity.

Most Chinese AI companies have built their application ecosystems on NVIDIA’s CUDA computing platform, which makes switching to other platforms, like Huawei’s Ascend chips, both costly and time-consuming. Although the HGX H20 GPU’s computational performance is significantly lower than the H100, its full compatibility with NVIDIA’s CUDA computing platform makes it the preferred choice for many Chinese companies and applications, the report noted.

However, it is worth noting that despite the current export controls on China, Chinese companies still manage to acquire advanced NVIDIA GPU computing power for AI and high-performance computing through intermediaries and by renting cloud service servers from companies like Google and Microsoft. This is a primary reason which prompts the U.S. to tighten restrictions.

Additionally, the U.S. might extend export restrictions to other Asian countries, such as Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and potentially overseas Chinese companies. However, due to the complexity of these measures, effective implementation poses significant challenges, according to the report.

TrendForce notes in April that the extension of export controls now includes not only the previously restricted AI chips from NVIDIA and AMD, such as the NVIDIA A100/H100, AMD MI250/300 series, NVIDIA A800, H800, L40, L40S, and RTX4090, but also their next-generation successors like NVIDIA’s H200, B100, B200, GB200, and AMD’s MI350 series.

In response, HPC manufacturers have quickly developed products that comply with the new TPP and PD standards, such as NVIDIA’s adjusted H20/L20/L2, which remain eligible for export.

Read more

• [News] NVIDIA Reportedly Facing Price Cut Pressure of H20 Chip in China Amid Competition with Huawei
• [News] NVIDIA’s China-Exclusive H20 to Begin Pre-sales Next Month

(Photo credit: NVIDIA)