The US government’s CHIPS and Science Act is reportedly injecting funds into chip manufacturing at an unprecedented rate. According to a recent report by the U.S. Census Bureau, the growth rate of construction funding for computer and electrical manufacturing is remarkably high. The amount of money the government is pouring into this industry in 2024 alone is equivalent to the total of the previous 27 years combined.

Due to the substantial funding provided by the U.S. CHIPS Act, the construction industry in the United States is experiencing explosive growth. Companies such as TSMC, Intel, Samsung, and Micron have received billions of dollars to build new plants in the U.S.

Research by the Semiconductor Industry Association indicates that the U.S. will triple its domestic semiconductor manufacturing capacity by 2032. It is also projected that by the same year, the U.S. will produce 28% of the world’s advanced logic (below 10nm) manufacturing, surpassing the goal of producing 20% of the world’s advanced chips announced by U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo. 

Currently, new plant constructions are underway. Despite the enormous expenditures, there have been delays in construction across the United States, affecting plants of Samsung, TSMC, and Intel.

Notably, a previous report from South Korean media BusinessKorea revealed Samsung has postponed the mass production timeline of the fab in Taylor, Texas, US from late 2024 to 2026. Similarly, a report from TechNews, which cited a research report from the Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET), noted the postponement of the production of two plants in Arizona, US. Additionally, Intel, as per a previous report from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), was also said to be delaying the construction timetable for its chip-manufacturing project in Ohio.

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• [News] A Subsidy Wave Sweeping in the US, Europe and Japan amid the Cut-Throat Chip Competition
• [News] US Allocates USD 39 Billion Subsidy to Semiconductor Industry for Establishing Plants

(Photo credit: TSMC)

The ongoing tightening of US restrictions on China’s access to advanced chips and production equipment may have significant impact on China’s semiconductor development progress. According to a report from Liberty Times, a top executive at Huawei, a Chinese tech giant, admitted that China’s ambitious semiconductor efforts may have reached a plateau. This statement has surprised many in the industry, as China has consistently expressed confidence in its semiconductor growth capabilities.

During the Mobile Computility Network Conference in Suzhou, China on June 9th, Zhang Ping’an, the Chief Executive Officer of Huawei Cloud Services, expressed concern that China, due to US sanctions, is unable to purchase 3.5nm chip equipment.

Recently, Huawei successfully mass-produced 7nm chips without using lithography technology. This development has surprised the global semiconductor market and has led to speculation that Huawei may soon also mass-produce 5nm chips.

Per a report from Business Korea, Zhang further noted that manufacturing 3.5 nm semiconductors necessitates EUV lithography machines, which Huawei is reportedly working on independently. However, overcoming U.S. and Dutch patents to internalize this technology is considered highly challenging.

Previously, as per a report from Chinese media outlet “Phoenix New Media,” Zhang Ping’an also pointed out that the semiconductor industry in China currently cannot directly compete with developed countries in cutting-edge processes, such as 3nm and 5nm. This is an indisputable fact, but it does not mean that China’s semiconductor industry has no prospects for development. Furthermore, Zhang believed that the semiconductor industry in China should be more focused on deepening efforts in relatively mature processes, such as 7nm, to enhance product performance and reliability, meeting the needs of the market and users.

Moreover, some Chinese manufacturers are exploring ways to overcome these restrictions. Notably, Chinese DRAM manufacturer ChangXin Memory Technologies is reportedly preparing to mass-produce 18.5nm DRAM to circumvent US sanctions on DRAM equipment below 18nm.

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• [News] Huawei Executive Acknowledges Production Bottleneck, Addressing that Solving 7nm Issues Would be Good Enough 
• [News] China’s Big Fund Phase Three Commences, Injecting 344 Billion RMB into Semiconductor Industry Growth

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The New York Times reported on June 5th that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) have reached an agreement, led by senior officials of both agencies, over the past week. The DOJ will investigate whether NVIDIA has violated antitrust laws, while the FTC will examine the conducts of OpenAI and Microsoft.

Reportedly, Jonathan Kanter, who is said to be the top antitrust official in the DOJ’s Antitrust Division, highlighted at an AI conference at Stanford University last week that AI’s reliance on massive amounts of data and computing power gives dominant companies a significant advantage. In a February interview, FTC Chair Lina Khan stated that the FTC aims to identify potential issues in the early stages of AI development.

As per Reuters’ report, Microsoft, OpenAI, NVIDIA, DOJ and FTC did not immediately respond to requests for comment outside regular business hours.

In a May interview with CNBC, Appian co-founder and CEO Matt Calkins stated that AI might not be a winner take all market. He suggested that if alliances could secure victory in the AI race, Google would already have won.

Per a report from Roll Call on May 15th, a bipartisan Senate AI working group led by Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer released an AI roadmap, calling for the federal government to invest at least USD 32 billion annually in non-defense-related AI systems.

In March, The Information reported that Microsoft does not want its hiring of Inflection AI’s two co-founders and the majority of its 70-member team to be perceived as an acquisition.

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• [News] A Recap of NVIDIA’s Four Major Application Areas of New Technology from Jensen Huang
• [News] Micron Slightly Raises Capital Expenditure for 2024, HBM Expected to Further Drive Revenue Growth in 2025

(Photo credit: NVIDIA)

Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger gave a keynote speech at the 2024 COMPUTEX TAIPEI yesterday. According to a report from UDN, Gelsinger addressed that the U.S. must carefully find an appropriate balance in its chip ban against China to avoid pushing China to accelerate the development of its own chips. He stated that Intel’s technology holds a competitive advantage in China and will continue to export appropriate products to China.

Regarding the AI era, Gelsinger mentioned that all devices will eventually become AI devices, and all businesses will become AI businesses. He also introduced Intel’s foundry services as the first production system designed for the AI era. He stated that AI will be ubiquitous, its applications including AI PCs, end devices, enterprise products, and data centers.

At a press conference following the event, Gelsinger was asked about the development of Intel’s foundry services. He noted that everything is on track, with the goal of achieving this through a more flexible and balanced supply chain.

Regarding whether the U.S. chip export ban is prompting China to accelerate its chip development, Gelsinger said that the ban acts like a “magic line.” If the bans are too strict, it could force China to speed up the development of its own chips, so it is indeed crucial to carefully find the appropriate balance.

Per a report from tom’s hardware, Gelsinger agrees on strict restrictions on manufacturing technology, particularly emphasizing limitations on EUV lithography, which he believes will curb Chinese chipmakers’ capabilities to keep American companies competitive in China.

Notably, per Reuters citing sources, the U.S. government has reportedly revoked the licenses of Intel and Qualcomm to supply semiconductor chips used in laptops and handsets to Huawei. Some companies received notices on May 7th, and the revocation of the licenses took immediate effect.

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• [News] Intel CEO Gelsinger Unveils Lunar Lake Processors, Giving Credit to TSMC
• [News] U.S. Imposes Further Sanctions, Revoking Intel and Qualcomm’s License to Supply Chips to Huawei

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In the past two years, the semiconductor industry has experienced a market downturn, a recovery slower than expected, and a cash crunch. Major companies such as Intel, TSMC, and Samsung, while continuing to advance their expansion projects, have been constantly adjusting and slowing down the pace and schedule of their fab construction to better serve their long-term development goals. It’s found that seven fabs worldwide are projected to delay construction.

• Intel’s 1nm Chip Plant in Germany and Ohio Plant in the US Delay Construction

According to a report from global media outlet Volksstimme, the construction of Intel’s Fab 29.1 and Fab 29.2 near Magdeburg, Germany, has been postponed due to pending approval of EU subsidies and the need to remove and reuse black soil. The date of commencement has been pushed from summer 2024 to May 2025.

Earlier reports indicated that the construction of this chip planr was initially expected to begin in 1H23, but due to subsidy delays, construction was put off to summer 2024. Moreover, the topsoil at the construction site cannot be cleared until May 2025 at the earliest.

It is reported that Intel’s Fab 29.1 and Fab 29.2 were originally scheduled to start operations by late 2027 and were expected to employ advanced manufacturing processes, potentially Intel 14A (1.4nm) and Intel 10A (1nm) process nodes. However, Intel now estimates that it will take four to five years to build these two plants, and production is expected to commence between 2029 and 2030.

• Samsung’s Chip Plant in Pyeongtaek, South Korea and Fab in Taylor, US Delay Construction

In February 2024, Samsung revealed that it had partially halted the construction of its fifth semiconductor plant in Pyeongtaek, Gyeonggi Province. Samsung originally planned to build six semiconductor plants on an 855,000 square meter site in Pyeongtaek, creating the world’s largest semiconductor hub. Currently, the P1, P2, and P3 plants at the Pyeongtaek park house the most advanced DRAM, NAND flash memory, and foundry production lines, while the P4 and P5 plants are under construction.

Samsung stated that the halt was for further inspection. However, industry sources have revealed that Samsung’s adjustment of the new production lines for P4 and P5 fabs is to prioritize the construction of the PH2 production line at P4 fab. It is reported that P4 plant might build PH3 production line to produce high-end DRAM to meet market demands.

Besides, South Korean media Businesskorea also revealed Samsung has postponed the mass production timeline of the fab in Taylor, Texas, US from late 2024 to 2026, which is possibly due to a slowdown in the wafer foundry market growth, and the delay was attributed to U.S. government subsidies and issues related to the complexities in gaining permits.

• TSMC Postponed the Production of Two Plants in Arizona, US

On April 9, TSMC announced the plan to build a third fab in Arizona. Once completed, this fab will use 2nm process or even more advanced technologies to manufacture wafers for customers. With this addition, TSMC’s total capital expenditure in Phoenix, Arizona, will exceed USD 65 billion.

Meanwhile, TSMC disclosed that their first fab in Arizona will start production in 1H25, using 4nm process. The second fab, initially announced to use 3nm process, will also incorporate the more advanced 2nm process, with mass production set to begin in 2028. This fab was announced in December 2020, which was originally scheduled to start mass production using 3nm process in 2026, primarily, but the latest schedule represents a delay of nearly two years from the original one.

As to the third fab planned to set up in Arizona, TSMC has not yet disclosed the date for construction. However, they mentioned that it will use 2nm process or more advanced ones, with production expected to commence in the late 2030s.

• Wolfspeed’s 8-Inch SiC Fab might Delay Construction to 2025

Wolfspeed’s 8-inch SiC fab in Ensdorf, Saarland planned to invest about EUR 2.75 billion, but the construction has been postponed. The project has already secured subsidies of EUR 360 million from the German federal government and EUR155 million from the Saarland government. In addition, Wolfspeed is also seeking financial assistance from the European Chips Act. ZF will provide Wolfspeed with several hundred million dollars of financial investment in exchange for a minority stake in the plant.

Industry sources indicate that Wolfspeed aims to secure more funding before the groundbreaking ceremony. If it fails to gain financial assistance from the European Chips Act, the project is very likely to be delayed. The plant was initially scheduled to start construction in summer 2024, but Wolfspeed CEO Gregg Lowe revealed that it might now begin in 2025.

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• [News] Intel’s 1nm-class Fabs in Germany Reportedly Delayed Due to Black Soil Concerns and Pending EU Subsidy Approval
• [News] TSMC’s Nanjing Plant Reportedly Pushes for Indefinite Exemption From US Before the May 31 Deadline
  

(Photo credit: TSMC)