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Impacted by the surprising initial verdict on unfair subsidies for Chinese solar panels announced by the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC), PV manufacturers in both China and Taiwan are now on their toes anticipating the preliminary verdict for product dumping announcement by the end of July. Moreover, with one extra month reserved for manufacturers to deal with transportation and customs issues on the schedule, changes towards market condition in the end of June are emerging. Based on EnergyTrend’s observations, Taiwanese cell manufacturers’ utilizations rate remained high between the beginning of June and mid-June. However, the utilization rates will substantially drop by the end of June.
Based on the recent U.S. Department of Commerce's countervailing duties (CVD) preliminary ruling, anti-dumping (AD) preliminary results can be deduced to be in line with the CVD rulings, analyzesEnergyTrend, the Green Energy Research Division ofTrendForce,the Global Market Intelligence Company. Products included in the AD preliminary ruling should be similar to the CVD ruling. Under the premise that the final rulingis identical to the preliminary ruling and under the assumption thatproduct volumes cap and pricing limitations are not imposed, EnergyTrend estimates that Chinese and Taiwanese manufacturers will come up with different strategies to reduce the impact from the imposed tariffs.
The U.S. Department of Commerce announced to impose countervailing duties (CVD) on certain Chinese PV cells and modules, hitting Trina Solar with rate of 18.56%, Wuxi Suntech with 35.21% and all others with 26.89%. EnergyTrend forecasts a beneficial result for Taiwanese manufacturers because this phase’s tariffs are higher than the tariffs imposed on 2012. However, the CVD ruling can be regarded as a preview of what may follow with the anti-dumping case ruling, indicating the possibility of even higher anti-dumping duties.
Demand in the China’s Distributed PV market continues to increase, which caused manufacturers to come up with solutions in response to the trend. From the 8th SNEC Exhibition, which ended last week, we can see that PV service integration has become the strategic focus for Chinese manufacturers.
EnergyTrend, green energy research division of TrendForce, and SNEC, the organizer of the world’s largest solar industry exhibition jointly hosted EnergyTrend PVforum 2014 at Kerry Hotel in Shanghai on May 21, 2014. EnergyTrend’s analysts offered in-depth analyses, covering important issues within PV and energy-storage industries.
