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According to the newest Regional Project Report –“Solar Powering Taiwan: Special Report” by EnergyTrend , a division of TrendForce , 2018 will prove to be the most disastrous year for Taiwan's solar PV manufacturers, yet the best year in terms of solar PV system installations downstream, bringing new installations up to 1GW for the first time in history. The government is now actively pushing towards a goal of 1.5GW in new installations by the end of 2019.
According to the latest report by TrendForce, big brands such as Vivo, Xiaomi, Huawei, OPPO and Samsung have extended FOD (Fingerprint on Display) technology down from flagship devices to mid-high tier smartphones, enlarging market scale and causing the costs of FOD tech to slide. Penetration rates for optical and ultrasonic FOD solutions are therefore predicted to surpass that of traditional capacitive solutions and become the mainstream technology for smartphone fingerprint recognition in 2022.
Demand in end applications has weakened in 1Q19, causing COFs (Chip on film) to exhibit no signs of undersupply in the market. However, according to WitsView, a division of TrendForce, problems in COF supply will begin to become felt in 2Q as demand rises due to the need to stock up. Also entertained is the possibility that there will be a 6-7% gap in demand in 2H this year, and glut ratio for the entire year is estimated to stand at 0.3%. COF will be key in determining whether panel manufacturers may reach shipment goals.
TrendForce states that the global 3D sensing market for smartphones has grown from 819 million USD in 2017 to 3.08 billion USD in 2018 as iPhones make a complete switch to structured light 3D sensing solutions. Yet due to smartphone suppliers mostly focusing on fingerprint on display (FOD), the global smartphone 3D sensing market is expected to grow by 26.3%, to a scale of 3.89 billion USD. Apple, anticipated to take up TOF technology in 2020, may boost market development and bring YoY growth up to 53.1%.
According to the research report by WitsView , a divison of TrendForce , on the supply and demand situation for large-sized panels, production capacity expansions by three of China's production lines and the 8.5 Gen production line belonging to Taiwan's AU Optronics have brought about the 202.4 million square-meter supply area in 2018, presenting a growth of 7.9% YoY, the largest since 2013. TV panel demand was driven up by the FIFA fever and profit cuts in the first half-year , while PC panel demand benefited from specification upgrades and the rising demand in gaming, with overall demand area covering 198.5 million square meters, a growth of 9.5% YoY. The glut ratio for the entire 2018 year shrank from the projected 2.4% to 2%.
